4. The Future of Fission-Track Thermochronology

The methods of fission-track (FT) thermochronology, based on a combination of the external detector method, zeta calibration against independent age standards and measurements of horizontal confined track lengths, have undergone relatively little change over the last 25 years. This conventional approach has been highly successful and the foundation for important thermal history inversion methods, supporting an expanding range of geological applications. Several important new technologies have emerged in recent years, however, that are likely to have a disruptive effect on this relatively stable approach, including LA-ICP-MS analysis for ²³⁸U concentrations, new motorised digital microscopes and new software systems for microscope control, digital imaging and image analysis. These technologies allow for new image-based and highly automated approaches to FT dating and eliminate the need for neutron irradiations. Together they are likely to have a major influence on the future of FT analysis and gradually replace the older, highly laborious manual methods. Automation will facilitate the acquisition of larger and more comprehensive data sets than was previously possible, assist with standardisation and have important implications for training and distributed analysis based on image sharing. Track length measurements have been more difficult to automate, but 3D measurements and automated semi-track length measurements are likely to become part of future FT methods. Other important trends suggest that FT analysis will increasingly be combined with other isotopic dating methods on the same grains, and multi-system methods on coexisting minerals, to give much more comprehensive accounts of the thermal evolution of rocks. There are still a range of important fundamental issues in FT analysis that are poorly understood, such as a full understanding of the effects of composition and radiation damage on the annealing properties of different minerals, which are likely to be fruitful areas for future research in this field.