Introduction
Conservation of threatened species has been a defeating goal of plant management worldwide, especially in the current global change scenario (Wrobleski et al.
2023). At this moment, models predicted that 45% of all known flowering plants are potentially threatened with risk of extinction (Antonelli et al.
2023). In the light of this, literature on conservation biology is now focused on elucidating how to develop proper monitoring studies to assess precise population trends (Lavery et al.
2021; Gauthier et al.,
2023). One of the most important point of monitoring is the assessment of demographical structure, that describes the population viability (i.e., the probability of a population persisting through time), depending on the population size at a given time and individual performance in terms of survival, growth and fecundity (Caswell
2001). For a proper population viability analysis, it is crucial to develop intensive field data survey based on individual monitoring collected across years (Morris and Doak
2002). Particularly, demography of plants is commonly assessed through matrix population models, where individuals are divided into discrete classes based on their age, size or morphological stage (Caswell
2001; Morris and Doak
2002) and allows good reproducibility in the long-term timeframe. Since demographic studies of plants have been exponentially increasing in the last decades, an online-open repository compiling all the existing information was developed, namely COMPADRE (Salguero-Gómez et al.
2015). This database allows to compare population models and facilitate large-scale investigation of timely and key ecological and evolutionary questions.
The use of population viability analyses is traditionally applicable for (i) identification of critical demographic stages on which population viability is most jeopardised, (ii) categorization of threatened species attending to their risk of extinction, (iii) assessment of human activities impact on a population, and (iv) evaluation of different management options (Albert and Iriondo
2009). Commonly, methods to monitor individuals across time include identification by steel nails, metal or plastic labels, or writing number directly on the rocks in the case of rupicolous species (Albert and Iriondo
2009). More recently, the use of drone imagery analysis has been incorporated in plant demographic studies (Olsoy et al.
2024) despite their limitations for time consuming efforts (Tay et al.
2018) and its restricted utility for species with distinguishing architecture that occur in habitats with low plant coverage (Rominguer et al.,
2021). Also, some studies have used non-physical labels such as the geolocation of individuals (Hernández-Pedrero and Valverde,
2017), but it cannot discriminate plants with a small size and aggregated in clusters due to the low precision of GPS position. Although other global navigation satellite systems (GNSS), such as Galileo in Europe, can be much more precise than GPS (Hofmann-Wellenhoff et al.,
2008), the error level is not enough in these cases, and a good alternative method could be the use of a real-time kinematic global positioning systems (RTK-GPS), which provide an error level of centimetres (1–2 cm horizontally and 2–5 cm vertically) that allows individuals to be accurately located (Leica Geosystems
2013; Aykut et al.
2015).
The RTK-GPS technology has been used for validating the use of drones-acquired images in plant population dynamics (Tay et al.
2018) and for species distribution modelling at a micro-scale (Cursach et al.
2020), as well as for geospatial mapping of crops (Karayel et al.
2012; Pérez-Ruiz et al.
2012). However, as far as we know, no studies have used the RTK-GPS technology for plant monitoring in demography studies.
Due to the high potential utility of this technology to improve traditional methods in demography studies of threatened plants, we took the opportunity to test the feasibility of using RTK-GPS for geospatial mapping and individual monitoring using
Euphorbia fontqueriana Greuter as a study case. This species raises as a good opportunity due to (i) new data can be compared to previous traditional assessments with populations matrix included in COMPADRE repository and (ii) it is a good example of risk of extinction threatened species since it is listed as Critically Endangered in the Red List of Spanish Vascular Flora (Moreno
2008).
Hence, the objectives of this study are (i) to assess the real utility of RTK-GPS technology for demographic assessment of plant threatened species, (ii) to compare its applicability with the traditional methods performed previously and (iii) to determine if the use of this technology allows to stablish more optimized decision-making. Taking this aims, we hypothesize that (i) RTK-GPS technology would provide a high-accuracy geographical position of each monitored individual and would allow to find same individuals across time with no necessity of physical labelling, (ii) the robustness of the obtained population matrix will increase since more detailed information of individual transition would be detected, and (iii) the population dynamic trend would be more precise than using traditional methods, which could even differ and offering new considerations.
Discussion
Low seedling recruitment but no declining trend for Euphorbia fontqueriana population
Information about population dynamics is crucial to rapidly detect potential decline trends and motivate conservation actions. Hence, good-quality data becomes essential in conservation biology (Taylor et al., 2021). In our study case, following the permanent plots of
E. fontqueriana, we observed that ramets inside all the permanent plots at the beginning of the study represented c. 24% of the whole population (385 out of 1625, see Cursach et al.
2020), which is a considerably higher proportion than the acceptable 10% used in many demographic studies for threatened species (Iriondo
2011). Our data revealed that vegetative stage is the most common plant stage, followed by reproductive and dormant individuals. Survival rate was considerably high in both vegetative and reproductive individuals (more than 85% and 89% in all the annual transitions studied for vegetative and reproductive individuals, respectively). Also, elasticity analyses revealed that plant survival has the largest impact on λ in the population, which has also been reported in other long-lived perennial Mediterranean plant species such as
Ranunculus weyleri Marès ex Willk. (Cursach et al.
2013),
Helianthemum caput-felis Boiss. (Sulis et al.
2018) and
Dianthus morisianus Vals. (Cogoni et al.
2019). A contrasting result regarding previous studies is the occurrence of seedling recruitment in the only natural population of
E. fontqueriana, which is extremely low but enough to guarantee the population persistence through time. The mean population growth rate obtained from data along 2018–2022 (data from this study) indicates a positive trend for the threatened species (λ = 1.018) in contrast to the declining trend from data along 2001–2006 (λ = 0.969) reported in Albert and Iriondo (
2009). All in all, our results bring hope to the conservation of this threatened species in the long term as the individuals inside the plots are predicted to increase to more than 1050 in 50 years. Conversely, the model based on transition matrixes from Albert and Iriondo (
2009), in which seedling recruitment was not detected, the individuals inside the plots would have predicted to decrease to less than 100 in the next 50 years. The difference between both studies is probably related to the initial number of ramets included in the monitoring (385 in this study and 83 in the previous one) which supports the importance of including a representative number of individual from the global population when assessing the dynamics. Here, we proved that including more individuals at the beginning of the experiment is essential, as it can even switch the population trend from negative to positive.
Geolocating plants with high accuracy optimizes population viability studies
Methods regarding plant monitoring have been a challenge for conservation biologists. Commonly, methods to label plants include metal or plastic labels and writing numbers on the rocks in case of rupicolous species (Albert and Iriondo
2009) or, more recently, using drone imagery analysis (Olsoy et al.
2024). However, all these methods are poorly effective for small-sized plants (few centimetres) inhabiting in slopes with loose substrates. This is the case of
E. fontqueriana, that occurs in mountain scrub clearings areas where loose materials are easily moved by rainwater or frequentation of both ungulates and hikers (Cursach et al.
2020). Here, we propose the use of RTK-GPS to accurately geolocate the individuals, i.e., with an error lower than 5 cm (Leica Geosystems
2013). Based on our experience, this method is very effective to locate individuals along time, even if they are buried above accumulated materials or they become dormant along a period of time. Also, seedlings with typical small size (fewer than 1 cm) that can barely be noticed in the field can be easily located along annual census following this technique. Another advantage of the use of this method is that label loses along time do not interfere with the population monitoring. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the system depends on satellite coverage, and thus some areas would not be suitable for implementing this methodology. For example, in areas near cliffs or understories of dense forests the device’s resolution may be affected, and thus the use of this methodology would be compromised. Therefore, it is important to have a good understanding of the location of the population being studied when implementing these methodologies.
Overall, the use of this tool as a labelling method optimizes plant monitoring and the population viability studies, and it is particularly interesting for perennial threatened species hard to detect in the field due to its reduced dimensions, temporary dormancy or being buried.
Guide for good practices in demographic studies of threatened plants
This work constitutes a pioneering experience in demographic studies of threatened plant species with a high potential to be implemented in other threatened species. In order to be reproducible in the future, we summarize a procedure for an optimized plant monitoring in population viability studies in the following four steps: (1) developing an integral census of the target population gathering geolocation data to generate a distribution map; (2) defining areas that includes more than 10% of the total population of the target species; and (3) monitoring individuals in the previously selected areas by geolocating systems with high accuracy such as RTK-GPS. This methodology can be also useful for the management of threatened species, since the precise data about population size and population dynamics is directly applicable to the assessment of the conservation status of threatened species (IUCN
2001). Also, data obtained using this methodology is directly applicable to developing mapping and species distribution models to find other suitable zones for further management (i.e., prospections or translocations) as reported for
E. fontqueriana in previous studies (Cursach et al.
2020). Finally, this protocol is specially suitable for perennial plants with reduced plant size, that can be buried or with temporary dormancy, and living in open areas (i.e., with optimal satellite coverage).
Accurate and comprehensive plant monitoring is essential in demography studies, as it enables detection of reliable population trends. Our study highlights the importance of using high-precision tools, such as RTK-GPS technology, to improve the accuracy of plant population monitoring. Also, by including a larger and more representative sample size, we observed a positive population trend for E. fontqueriana, contrasting with previous assessments that reported a population decline. This underscores the importance of methodological issues in conservation studies, as improvements in data collection accuracy can significantly alter the predicted outcomes for species viability. However, it is important to consider the specific context and limitations of each study case, as the effectiveness of high-precision tools can be compromised in areas with poor satellite coverage such as areas close to cliffs or understories of dense forests. Overall, our findings suggest that adopting more precise methodologies can strongly improve the assessment of population dynamics, being particularly useful in plant species that are difficult to detect due to their small size, dormancy, or challenging habitats, and thereby contributing to more effective conservation strategies.
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