Skip to main content
Top

2014 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Who Were Where When? On the Use of Social Collective Intelligence in Computational Epidemiology

Author : Magnus Boman

Published in: Social Collective Intelligence

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

A triangular (case, theoretical, and literature) study approach is used to investigate if and how social collective intelligence is useful to computational epidemiology. The hypothesis is that the former can be employed for assisting in converting data into useful information through intelligent analyses by deploying new methods from data analytics that render previously unintelligible data intelligible. A conceptual bridge is built between the two concepts of crowd signals and syndromic surveillance. A concise list of empirical observations supporting the hypothesis is presented. The key observation is that new social collective intelligence methods and algorithms allow for massive data analytics to stay with the individual, in micro. It is thus possible to provide the analyst with advice tailored to the individual and with relevant policies, without resorting to macro (statistical) analyses of homogeneous populations.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Anderson, R.M., May, R.M.: Population biology of infectious diseases: Part 1. Nature 280(5721), 361–367 (1979)CrossRef Anderson, R.M., May, R.M.: Population biology of infectious diseases: Part 1. Nature 280(5721), 361–367 (1979)CrossRef
2.
go back to reference Anderson, R.M., May, R.M.: Infectious Diseases of Humans—Dynamics and Control. Oxford Univ Press, Oxford (1991) Anderson, R.M., May, R.M.: Infectious Diseases of Humans—Dynamics and Control. Oxford Univ Press, Oxford (1991)
3.
go back to reference Arantes, A., Carvalho, E.S., Medeiros, E.A., Farhat, C.K., Mantese, O.C.: Use of statistical process control charts in the epidemiological surveillance of nosocomial infections. Rev. Saúde Pública 37(6), 768–774 (1993)CrossRef Arantes, A., Carvalho, E.S., Medeiros, E.A., Farhat, C.K., Mantese, O.C.: Use of statistical process control charts in the epidemiological surveillance of nosocomial infections. Rev. Saúde Pública 37(6), 768–774 (1993)CrossRef
4.
go back to reference Aurell, E., Kirkpatrick, S., Koski, T., Skoglund, M., Öktem, O.: KTH-Aalto initiative on big data to small information. ICT platform White Paper (2013). KTH Aurell, E., Kirkpatrick, S., Koski, T., Skoglund, M., Öktem, O.: KTH-Aalto initiative on big data to small information. ICT platform White Paper (2013). KTH
5.
go back to reference Batagelj, V., Mrvar, A.: Pajek—program for large network analysis. Connections 21(2), 47–57 (1998) Batagelj, V., Mrvar, A.: Pajek—program for large network analysis. Connections 21(2), 47–57 (1998)
6.
go back to reference Boman, M., Ghaffar, A., Liljeros, F., Stenhem, M.: Social network visualization as a contact tracing tool. In: Jennings, N.e. (ed.) Proc AAMAS Workshop on Agent Technology for Disaster Management, pp. 131–133. Future University, Hakodate, Japan (2006) Boman, M., Ghaffar, A., Liljeros, F., Stenhem, M.: Social network visualization as a contact tracing tool. In: Jennings, N.e. (ed.) Proc AAMAS Workshop on Agent Technology for Disaster Management, pp. 131–133. Future University, Hakodate, Japan (2006)
7.
go back to reference Boman, M., Holm, E.: Multi-agent systems, time geography, and microsimulations. In: Olsson, M.O., Sjöstedt, G. (eds.) Systems Approaches and their Application, chap. 4, pp. 95–118. Springer, Netherlands (2004) Boman, M., Holm, E.: Multi-agent systems, time geography, and microsimulations. In: Olsson, M.O., Sjöstedt, G. (eds.) Systems Approaches and their Application, chap. 4, pp. 95–118. Springer, Netherlands (2004)
8.
go back to reference Bouam, S., Girou, E., Brun-Buisson, C., Lepage, E.: Development of a web-based clinical information system for surveillance of multiresistant organisms and nosocomial infections. In: Proc AMIA Symp, pp. 696–700 (1999) Bouam, S., Girou, E., Brun-Buisson, C., Lepage, E.: Development of a web-based clinical information system for surveillance of multiresistant organisms and nosocomial infections. In: Proc AMIA Symp, pp. 696–700 (1999)
9.
go back to reference Bowles, S., Gintis, H.: The inheritance of inequality. J. Econ. Perspect. 16(3), 3–30 (2002)CrossRef Bowles, S., Gintis, H.: The inheritance of inequality. J. Econ. Perspect. 16(3), 3–30 (2002)CrossRef
10.
go back to reference Brandes, U., Kenis, P., Raab, J., Schneider, V., Wagner, D.: Explorations into the visualization of policy networks. Theor. Polit. 11, 75–106 (1999)CrossRef Brandes, U., Kenis, P., Raab, J., Schneider, V., Wagner, D.: Explorations into the visualization of policy networks. Theor. Polit. 11, 75–106 (1999)CrossRef
11.
go back to reference Brockmann, D., Hufnagel, L., Geisel, T.: The scaling laws of human travel. Nature 439(7075), 462–465 (2006)CrossRef Brockmann, D., Hufnagel, L., Geisel, T.: The scaling laws of human travel. Nature 439(7075), 462–465 (2006)CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Brouwers, L., Boman, M., Camitz, M., Mäkilä, K., Tegnell, A.: Micro-simulation of a smallpox outbreak using official register data. Eurosurveillance 15(35) (2010) Brouwers, L., Boman, M., Camitz, M., Mäkilä, K., Tegnell, A.: Micro-simulation of a smallpox outbreak using official register data. Eurosurveillance 15(35) (2010)
13.
go back to reference Brouwers, L., Cakici, B., Camitz, M., Tegnell, A., Boman, M.: Economic consequences to society of pandemic H1N1 influenza 2009: Preliminary results for Sweden. Eurosurveillance 14(37) (2009) Brouwers, L., Cakici, B., Camitz, M., Tegnell, A., Boman, M.: Economic consequences to society of pandemic H1N1 influenza 2009: Preliminary results for Sweden. Eurosurveillance 14(37) (2009)
14.
go back to reference Cakici, B., Boman, M.: A workflow for software development within computational epidemiology. J. Comput. Sci. 2(3), 216–222 (2011)CrossRef Cakici, B., Boman, M.: A workflow for software development within computational epidemiology. J. Comput. Sci. 2(3), 216–222 (2011)CrossRef
15.
go back to reference Cakici, B., Hebing, K., Grünewald, M., Saretok, P., Hulth, A.: CASE: a framework for computer supported outbreak detection. BMC Med. Inform. Decis. Making 10(14) (2010) Cakici, B., Hebing, K., Grünewald, M., Saretok, P., Hulth, A.: CASE: a framework for computer supported outbreak detection. BMC Med. Inform. Decis. Making 10(14) (2010)
16.
go back to reference Chen, H., Zeng, D., Yan, P.: Infectious Disease Informatics: Syndromic Surveillance for Public Health and Bio-Defense, 1 edn. Springer, New York (2009) Chen, H., Zeng, D., Yan, P.: Infectious Disease Informatics: Syndromic Surveillance for Public Health and Bio-Defense, 1 edn. Springer, New York (2009)
17.
go back to reference Corley, C.D., Cook, D.J., Mikler, A.R., Singh, K.P.: Text and structural data mining of influenza mentions in web and social media. Environ. Res. Publ. Health 7(2), 596–615 (2010)CrossRef Corley, C.D., Cook, D.J., Mikler, A.R., Singh, K.P.: Text and structural data mining of influenza mentions in web and social media. Environ. Res. Publ. Health 7(2), 596–615 (2010)CrossRef
18.
go back to reference Culotta, A.: Detecting influenza outbreaks by analyzing Twitter messages. arXiv:1007.4748v1 [cs.IR] (2010) Culotta, A.: Detecting influenza outbreaks by analyzing Twitter messages. arXiv:1007.4748v1 [cs.IR] (2010)
19.
go back to reference Eagle, N., Pentland, A.: Eigenbehaviors: identifying structure in routine. Behav. Ecol. Sociobiol. 63(7), 1057–1066 (2009)CrossRef Eagle, N., Pentland, A.: Eigenbehaviors: identifying structure in routine. Behav. Ecol. Sociobiol. 63(7), 1057–1066 (2009)CrossRef
20.
go back to reference Espino, J.U., et al.: Removing a barrier to computer-based outbreak and disease surveillance–The RODS Open Source Project. MMWR Morb. Mortal Wkly. Rep. 53(Supplement), 32–39 (2004) Espino, J.U., et al.: Removing a barrier to computer-based outbreak and disease surveillance–The RODS Open Source Project. MMWR Morb. Mortal Wkly. Rep. 53(Supplement), 32–39 (2004)
21.
go back to reference Eubank, A., et al.: Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks. Nature 429, 180–184 (2004)CrossRef Eubank, A., et al.: Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks. Nature 429, 180–184 (2004)CrossRef
22.
go back to reference Ferguson, N.M., et al.: Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic. Nature 442, 448–452 (2006)CrossRef Ferguson, N.M., et al.: Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic. Nature 442, 448–452 (2006)CrossRef
23.
go back to reference French, M.A.: Picturing public health surveillance: Tracing the material dimensions of information in ontario’s public health system. Ph.D. thesis, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada (2009). Dept of Sociology French, M.A.: Picturing public health surveillance: Tracing the material dimensions of information in ontario’s public health system. Ph.D. thesis, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada (2009). Dept of Sociology
25.
go back to reference González, M.C., Hidalgo, C.A., Barabási, A.L.: Understanding individual human mobility patterns. Nature 453(7196), 779–782 (2008)CrossRef González, M.C., Hidalgo, C.A., Barabási, A.L.: Understanding individual human mobility patterns. Nature 453(7196), 779–782 (2008)CrossRef
26.
go back to reference Hall, M., Gani, R., Hughes, H.E., Leach, S.: Real-time epidemic forecasting for pandemic influenza. Epid Inf. 135(3), 372–385 (2007)CrossRef Hall, M., Gani, R., Hughes, H.E., Leach, S.: Real-time epidemic forecasting for pandemic influenza. Epid Inf. 135(3), 372–385 (2007)CrossRef
27.
go back to reference Halloran, M.E., et al.: Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the united states. PNAS 105(12), 4639–4644 (2008)CrossRef Halloran, M.E., et al.: Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the united states. PNAS 105(12), 4639–4644 (2008)CrossRef
28.
go back to reference Hedström, P., Swedberg, R. (eds.): Social Mechanisms: An Analytical Approach to Social Theory. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1998) Hedström, P., Swedberg, R. (eds.): Social Mechanisms: An Analytical Approach to Social Theory. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1998)
30.
go back to reference Holling, C.S.: Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Ann. Rev. Ecol. Stat. 4, 1–23 (1973)CrossRef Holling, C.S.: Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Ann. Rev. Ecol. Stat. 4, 1–23 (1973)CrossRef
31.
go back to reference Hulth, A., Rydevik, G., Linde, A.: Web queries as a source for syndromic surveillance. PLoS ONE 4(2), e4378 (2009)CrossRef Hulth, A., Rydevik, G., Linde, A.: Web queries as a source for syndromic surveillance. PLoS ONE 4(2), e4378 (2009)CrossRef
32.
go back to reference Kirkpatrick, M.: Meet the firehose seven thousand times bigger than Twitter’s. ReadWriteWeb (2010) Kirkpatrick, M.: Meet the firehose seven thousand times bigger than Twitter’s. ReadWriteWeb (2010)
33.
go back to reference Liljeros, F., Giesecke, J., Holme, P.: The contact network of inpatients in a regional healthcare system. a longitudinal case study. Math. Popul. Stud. 14(4), 269–284 (2007). DOI 10.1080/08898480701612899 Liljeros, F., Giesecke, J., Holme, P.: The contact network of inpatients in a regional healthcare system. a longitudinal case study. Math. Popul. Stud. 14(4), 269–284 (2007). DOI 10.​1080/​0889848070161289​9
34.
go back to reference Lipsitch, M., et al.: Managing and reducing uncertainty in an emerging influenza pandemic. NEJM 361(2), 112–115 (2009)MathSciNetCrossRef Lipsitch, M., et al.: Managing and reducing uncertainty in an emerging influenza pandemic. NEJM 361(2), 112–115 (2009)MathSciNetCrossRef
36.
go back to reference Lyon, D.: Surveillance Studies: An Overview. Polity Press, Cambridge (2007) Lyon, D.: Surveillance Studies: An Overview. Polity Press, Cambridge (2007)
37.
go back to reference Marathe, M.V., Vullikanti, A.K.S.: Computational epidemiology. Comm. ACM 56(7), 88–96 (2013)CrossRef Marathe, M.V., Vullikanti, A.K.S.: Computational epidemiology. Comm. ACM 56(7), 88–96 (2013)CrossRef
38.
go back to reference Mulligan, M.E., et al.: Methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus: A consensus review of the microbiology, pathogenesis, and epidemiology with implications for prevention and management. Am. J. Med. 94(3), 313–328 (1993)CrossRef Mulligan, M.E., et al.: Methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus: A consensus review of the microbiology, pathogenesis, and epidemiology with implications for prevention and management. Am. J. Med. 94(3), 313–328 (1993)CrossRef
39.
go back to reference Naaman, M.: Social multimedia: highlighting opportunities for search and mining of multimedia data in social media applications. Multimed. Tools Appl., 1–26 (2010) Naaman, M.: Social multimedia: highlighting opportunities for search and mining of multimedia data in social media applications. Multimed. Tools Appl., 1–26 (2010)
40.
go back to reference Nagel, K., Beckman, R.J., Barrett, C.L.: TRANSIMS for regional planning. Int. J. Complex Syst. (1998). Manuscript 244 Nagel, K., Beckman, R.J., Barrett, C.L.: TRANSIMS for regional planning. Int. J. Complex Syst. (1998). Manuscript 244
42.
44.
go back to reference Rosenzweig, M.L.: Paradox of enrichment: Destabilization of exploitation ecosystems in ecological time. Science 171(3969), 385–387 (1971)CrossRef Rosenzweig, M.L.: Paradox of enrichment: Destabilization of exploitation ecosystems in ecological time. Science 171(3969), 385–387 (1971)CrossRef
45.
go back to reference Sanches, P., Svee, E., Bylund, M., Hirsch, B., Boman, M.: Knowing your population: Privacy-sensitive mining of massive data. Netw. Comm. Tech. 2(1), 34–51 (2013) Sanches, P., Svee, E., Bylund, M., Hirsch, B., Boman, M.: Knowing your population: Privacy-sensitive mining of massive data. Netw. Comm. Tech. 2(1), 34–51 (2013)
46.
go back to reference Scheffer, M.: Critical Transitions in Nature and Society. Princeton University Press, Princeton (2009) Scheffer, M.: Critical Transitions in Nature and Society. Princeton University Press, Princeton (2009)
47.
go back to reference Scheffer, M. et al.: Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature 461, 53–58 (2009)CrossRef Scheffer, M. et al.: Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature 461, 53–58 (2009)CrossRef
48.
go back to reference Shiller, R.J.: From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance. J. Econ. Perspect. 17(1), 83–104 (2003)CrossRef Shiller, R.J.: From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance. J. Econ. Perspect. 17(1), 83–104 (2003)CrossRef
49.
go back to reference Smith, R.G., Mitchell, T.M., Chestek, R.A., Buchanan, B.G.: A model for learning systems. In: Proc IJCAI, pp. 338–343. Cambridge, MA (1977) Smith, R.G., Mitchell, T.M., Chestek, R.A., Buchanan, B.G.: A model for learning systems. In: Proc IJCAI, pp. 338–343. Cambridge, MA (1977)
50.
go back to reference Song, C., Koren, T., Wang, P., Barabási, A.L.: Modelling the scaling properties of human mobility. Nat. Phys. 6(10), 818–823 (2010)CrossRef Song, C., Koren, T., Wang, P., Barabási, A.L.: Modelling the scaling properties of human mobility. Nat. Phys. 6(10), 818–823 (2010)CrossRef
51.
52.
go back to reference Steels, L.: Cooperation between distributed agents through self-organisation. In: Decentralized A.I: Proc Modelling Autonomous Agents in a Multi-Agent World (MAAMAW), pp. 175–196. North-Holland (1990) Steels, L.: Cooperation between distributed agents through self-organisation. In: Decentralized A.I: Proc Modelling Autonomous Agents in a Multi-Agent World (MAAMAW), pp. 175–196. North-Holland (1990)
53.
go back to reference Upbin, B.: IBM’s Watson gets its first piece of business in healthcare. Forbes (2013). TECH 2/08/13 Upbin, B.: IBM’s Watson gets its first piece of business in healthcare. Forbes (2013). TECH 2/08/13
55.
go back to reference Zlemells, K.: Complex systems. Nature 410(6825), 241 (2001) Zlemells, K.: Complex systems. Nature 410(6825), 241 (2001)
Metadata
Title
Who Were Where When? On the Use of Social Collective Intelligence in Computational Epidemiology
Author
Magnus Boman
Copyright Year
2014
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-08681-1_10