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Erschienen in:
01.11.2016 | Erratum
Erratum to: Locating foreign aid commitments in response to political violence
Erschienen in: Public Choice | Ausgabe 1-2/2017
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Excerpt
Due to an unfortunate combination of error and oversight on the part of Braithwaite, Tables 2, 3 and 4 in the original published version contain a considerable number of erroneous attributions of statistical significance to coefficient estimates. This error occurred at some stage between acceptance of the manuscript and final publication. Please find in this erratum the correct version of the tables that should be regarded as the final version by the reader. Please also note that all of the coefficient values and standard errors are reported correctly in the original version.
Table 2
Zero-inflated negative binomial regression models for conflict, aid, and terrorism
|
Terrorism model
|
Conflict model
|
Combined model
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
Count model
|
|||
|
Terrorist attackt−1
|
0.541* (0.224)
|
–
|
0.503* (0.233)
|
|
State-based conflictt−1
|
–
|
0.302* (0.118)
|
0.271* (0.120)
|
|
Proportion of neighbors experiencing conflictt−1
|
0.032 (0.135)
|
−0.016 (0.142)
|
−0.008 (0.142)
|
|
ln(gross cell product per capita)t−1
|
0.189* (0.074)
|
0.188* (0.074)
|
0.186* (0.074)
|
|
Human footprint (mean)
|
−0.002 (0.009)
|
−0.0004 (0.009)
|
−0.001 (0.009)
|
|
# Aid commitmentst−1
|
0.206*** (0.025)
|
0.208*** (0.024)
|
0.206*** (0.025)
|
|
Peace area
|
0.237 (0.193)
|
−0.019 (0.193)
|
0.005 (0.196)
|
|
Number of neighbors
|
0.136† (0.076)
|
0.125† (0.073)
|
0.132† (0.072)
|
|
ln(distance to border)
|
−0.065† (0.036)
|
−0.058 (0.037)
|
−0.057 (0.036)
|
|
ln(distance to capital)
|
0.029 (0.056)
|
0.027 (0.055)
|
0.035 (0.056)
|
|
Constant
|
−2.283* (1.103)
|
−2.249* (1.081)
|
−2.328* (1.077)
|
|
Inflate model
|
|||
|
Terrorist attackt−1
|
−1.069 (0.696)
|
–
|
−0.702 (0.722)
|
|
State-based conflictt−1
|
–
|
−1.417*** (0.274)
|
−1.403*** (0.279)
|
|
Proportion of neighbors experiencing conflictt−1
|
0.065 (0.126)
|
0.100 (0.129)
|
0.106 (0.129)
|
|
ln(gross cell product per capita)t−1
|
0.579*** (0.093)
|
0.590*** (0.092)
|
0.588*** (0.093)
|
|
Human footprint (mean)
|
−0.087*** (0.008)
|
−0.086*** (0.008)
|
−0.086*** (0.008)
|
|
# Aid commitmentst−1
|
−4.153*** (0.337)
|
−4.194*** (0.322)
|
−4.172*** (0.321)
|
|
Peace area
|
−0.942*** (0.207)
|
0.414 (0.312)
|
0.408 (0.318)
|
|
Number of neighbors
|
−0.019 (0.100)
|
−0.002 (0.101)
|
0.002 (0.101)
|
|
ln(distance to border)
|
0.161*** (0.041)
|
0.149*** (0.042)
|
0.148*** (0.042)
|
|
ln(distance to capital)
|
0.379*** (0.072)
|
0.353*** (0.072)
|
0.353*** (0.072)
|
|
Constant
|
−2.159† (1.233)
|
−2.165† (1.244)
|
−2.165† (1.248)
|
|
Observations
|
41,331
|
41,331
|
41,331
|
|
AIC
|
20,382.7
|
20,326.6
|
20,318.4
|
Table 3
Zero-inflated negative binomial regression models of time since attack
|
Terror & time since attack model
|
Conflict & time since attack model
|
|
|---|---|---|
|
Count model
|
||
|
Time since attack
|
0.268** (0.095)
|
0.397*** (0.102)
|
|
Time since attack2
|
−0.034 (0.022)
|
0.057* (0.024)
|
|
Time since attack3
|
0.001 (0.001)
|
0.002 (0.001)
|
|
Proportion of neighbors experiencing conflictt−1
|
0.016 (0.137)
|
0.029 (0.135)
|
|
ln(gross cell product per capita)t−1
|
0.181 (0.075)
|
0.156* (0.068)
|
|
Human footprint (mean)
|
−0.004 (0.009)
|
−0.001 (0.010)
|
|
# Aid commitmentst−1
|
0.203*** (0.025)
|
0.193*** (0.025)
|
|
Peace area
|
0.202 (0.197)
|
−0.059 (0.204)
|
|
Number of neighbors
|
0.126 (0.078)
|
0.124 (0.079)
|
|
ln(distance to border)
|
−0.063† (0.037)
|
−0.023 (0.036)
|
|
ln(distance to capital)
|
0.043 (0.056)
|
−0.013 (0.055)
|
|
Constant
|
−2.211* (1.127)
|
−2.173† (1.136)
|
|
Inflate model
|
||
|
Time since attack
|
−0.619* (0.289)
|
−0.522* (0.205)
|
|
Time since attack2
|
0.086 (0.056)
|
0.079 (0.055)
|
|
Time since attack3
|
−0.003 (0.003)
|
−0.003 (0.003)
|
|
Proportion of neighbors experiencing conflictt−1
|
0.085 (0.128)
|
0.202 (0.134)
|
|
ln(gross cell product per capita)t−1
|
0.570*** (0.094)
|
0.626*** (0.091)
|
|
Human footprint (mean)
|
−0.088*** (0.008)
|
−0.076*** (0.009)
|
|
# Aid commitmentst−1
|
−4.175*** (0.342)
|
−4.108*** (0.341)
|
|
Peace area
|
−0.930*** (0.214)
|
−0.336 (0.253)
|
|
Number of neighbors
|
−0.019 (0.101)
|
−0.020 (0.107)
|
|
ln(distance to border)
|
0.147*** (0.043)
|
0.150*** (0.045)
|
|
ln(distance to capital)
|
0.362*** (0.073)
|
0.400*** (0.073)
|
|
Constant
|
−1.899 (1.250)
|
−2.759* (1.266)
|
|
Observations
|
41,331
|
41,331
|
|
AIC
|
20,335.7
|
20,079.2
|
Table 4
Zero-inflated negative binomial regression models of severity and aid
|
Terror & severity model
|
Conflict & severity model
|
|
|---|---|---|
|
Count model
|
||
|
Attackt−1
|
0.654** (0.220)
|
0.279* (0.123)
|
|
Attack severityt−1
|
−0.035** (0.011)
|
0.0003 (0.0004)
|
|
Attack severity t−1 2
|
0.0002** (0.0001)
|
−8.43e−8 (6.27e−8)
|
|
Proportion of neighbors experiencing conflictt−1
|
0.035 (0.135)
|
−0.015 (0.142)
|
|
ln(gross cell product per capita)t−1
|
0.188* (0.074)
|
0.192* (0.075)
|
|
Human footprint (mean)
|
−0.002 (0.009)
|
−0.0001 (0.009)
|
|
# Aid commitmentst−1
|
0.207*** (0.025)
|
0.208*** (0.234)
|
|
Peace area
|
0.245 (0.193)
|
−0.018 (0.192)
|
|
Number of neighbors
|
0.139† (0.075)
|
0.132† (0.072)
|
|
ln(distance to border)
|
−0.064† (0.036)
|
−0.057 (0.037)
|
|
ln(distance to capital)
|
0.029 (0.056)
|
0.030 (0.056)
|
|
Constant
|
−2.304* (1.102)
|
−2.364* (1.101)
|
|
Inflate model
|
||
|
Attackt−1
|
−1.034 (0.808)
|
−1.471*** (0.286)
|
|
Attack severityt−1
|
0.726 (0.714)
|
0.001 (0.001)
|
|
Attack severity t−1 2
|
−0.083 (0.057)
|
−2.33e−7 † (1.20e−7)
|
|
Proportion of neighbors experiencing conflictt−1
|
0.070 (0.126)
|
0.100 (0.129)
|
|
ln(gross cell product per capita)t−1
|
0.580*** (0.093)
|
0.596*** (0.093)
|
|
Human footprint (mean)
|
−0.087*** (0.008)
|
−0.086*** (0.008)
|
|
# Aid commitmentst−1
|
−4.152*** (0.335)
|
−4.190*** (0.320)
|
|
Peace area
|
−0.937*** (0.207)
|
0.411 (0.315)
|
|
Number of neighbors
|
−0.014 (0.100)
|
0.005 (0.101)
|
|
ln(distance to border)
|
0.162*** (0.041)
|
0.151*** (0.042)
|
|
ln(distance to capital)
|
0.379*** (0.072)
|
0.357*** (0.072)
|
|
Constant
|
−2.200† (1.231)
|
−2.289† (1.255)
|
|
Observations
|
41,331
|
41,331
|
|
AIC
|
20,381.8
|
20,329.2
|