Skip to main content

2013 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Evaluation and Comparison of Satellite and GCM Rainfall Estimates for the Mara River Basin, Kenya/Tanzania

verfasst von : Shimelis Behailu Dessu, Assefa M. Melesse

Erschienen in: Climate Change and Water Resources

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Water resources and climate change studies in data-scarce regions of the world are increasingly employing satellite rainfall estimates (RFEs) and rainfall outputs from general circulations models (GCMs). The reliability of these data sources is seldom verified with observed data prior to application. This chapter outlines the application of simple evaluation techniques to assess the potential of RFE and GCMs outputs as a potential rainfall information sources in the Mara River basin (MRB), Kenya/Tanzania. Results of the assessment show that proper care is required in comparing/mixing of results from studies using different RFE in the MRB. In general, RFE and GCMs are promising sources of information, but refining the estimates with a much improved algorithms is essential.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat C-y X (1999) Climate change and hydrologic models: a review of existing gaps and recent research developments. Water Resour Manag 13(5):369–382CrossRef C-y X (1999) Climate change and hydrologic models: a review of existing gaps and recent research developments. Water Resour Manag 13(5):369–382CrossRef
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Dibike YB, Coulibaly P (2005) Hydrologic impact of climate change in the saguenay watershed: comparison of downscaling methods and hydrologic models. J Hydrol 307(1–4):145–163CrossRef Dibike YB, Coulibaly P (2005) Hydrologic impact of climate change in the saguenay watershed: comparison of downscaling methods and hydrologic models. J Hydrol 307(1–4):145–163CrossRef
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Leavesley GH (1994) Modeling the effects of climate change on water resources—a review. Clim Chang 28(1):159–177CrossRef Leavesley GH (1994) Modeling the effects of climate change on water resources—a review. Clim Chang 28(1):159–177CrossRef
4.
Zurück zum Zitat IPCC (2007) In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA IPCC (2007) In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Dessu SB, Melesse AM (2012) Impact and uncertainties of climate change on the hydrology of the Mara River basin, Kenya/Tanzania. Hydrol Process (in press). doi:10.1002/hyp.9434 Dessu SB, Melesse AM (2012) Impact and uncertainties of climate change on the hydrology of the Mara River basin, Kenya/Tanzania. Hydrol Process (in press). doi:10.​1002/​hyp.​9434
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Mango LM, Melesse AM, McClain ME, Gann D, Setegn SG (2011) Land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the upper Mara River basin, Kenya: results of a modeling study to support better resource management. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 15(7):2245–2258CrossRef Mango LM, Melesse AM, McClain ME, Gann D, Setegn SG (2011) Land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the upper Mara River basin, Kenya: results of a modeling study to support better resource management. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 15(7):2245–2258CrossRef
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Hoffman CM, Melesse AM, McClain ME (2011) Geospatial mapping and analysis of water availability-demand-use within the Mara River basin. In: Melesse AM (ed) Nile river basin: hydrology, climate and water use, vol Part I, 1st edn. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 359–382CrossRef Hoffman CM, Melesse AM, McClain ME (2011) Geospatial mapping and analysis of water availability-demand-use within the Mara River basin. In: Melesse AM (ed) Nile river basin: hydrology, climate and water use, vol Part I, 1st edn. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 359–382CrossRef
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Mati BM, Mutie S, Gadain H, Home P, Mtalo F (2008) Impacts of land-use/cover change on the hydrology of the transboundary mara river, Kenya/Tanzania. Lakes Reservoirs Res Manag 13:169–177CrossRef Mati BM, Mutie S, Gadain H, Home P, Mtalo F (2008) Impacts of land-use/cover change on the hydrology of the transboundary mara river, Kenya/Tanzania. Lakes Reservoirs Res Manag 13:169–177CrossRef
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Mango LM (2010) Modeling the effect of land use and climate change scenarios on the water flux of the upper mara river flow, Kenya. Florida International University, Miami Mango LM (2010) Modeling the effect of land use and climate change scenarios on the water flux of the upper mara river flow, Kenya. Florida International University, Miami
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Mango LM, Melesse AM, McClain ME, Gann D, Setegn SG (2011) Hydro-meteorology and water budget of the Mara River basin under land use change scenarios. In: Melesse AM (ed) Nile river basin: hydrology, climate and water use, vol 1, 1st edn. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 39–68CrossRef Mango LM, Melesse AM, McClain ME, Gann D, Setegn SG (2011) Hydro-meteorology and water budget of the Mara River basin under land use change scenarios. In: Melesse AM (ed) Nile river basin: hydrology, climate and water use, vol 1, 1st edn. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 39–68CrossRef
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Mango LM, Melesse AM, McClain ME, Gann D, Setegn SG (2011) Land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the upper Mara River basin, Kenya: results of a modeling study to support better resource management. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 15(7):2245–2258CrossRef Mango LM, Melesse AM, McClain ME, Gann D, Setegn SG (2011) Land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the upper Mara River basin, Kenya: results of a modeling study to support better resource management. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 15(7):2245–2258CrossRef
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Nash JE, Sutcliffe JV (1970) River flow forecasting through conceptual models. Part I—a discussion of principles. J Hydrol 10(3):282–290CrossRef Nash JE, Sutcliffe JV (1970) River flow forecasting through conceptual models. Part I—a discussion of principles. J Hydrol 10(3):282–290CrossRef
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Wilby RL, Charles SP, Zorita E, Timbal B, Whetton P, Mearns LO (2004) Guidelines for use of climate scenarios developed from statistical downscaling methods. Supporting material of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), prepared on behalf of Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impacts and Climate Analysis (TGICA) Wilby RL, Charles SP, Zorita E, Timbal B, Whetton P, Mearns LO (2004) Guidelines for use of climate scenarios developed from statistical downscaling methods. Supporting material of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), prepared on behalf of Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impacts and Climate Analysis (TGICA)
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Maraun D, Wetterhall F, Ireson AM, Chandler RE, Kendon EJ, Widmann M, Brienen S, Rust HW, Sauter T, Themeßl M, Venema VKC, Chun KP, Goodess CM, Jones RG, Onof C, Vrac M, Thiele-Eich I (2010) Precipitation downscaling under climate change: recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user. Rev Geophys 48(3):RG3003 Maraun D, Wetterhall F, Ireson AM, Chandler RE, Kendon EJ, Widmann M, Brienen S, Rust HW, Sauter T, Themeßl M, Venema VKC, Chun KP, Goodess CM, Jones RG, Onof C, Vrac M, Thiele-Eich I (2010) Precipitation downscaling under climate change: recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user. Rev Geophys 48(3):RG3003
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Lenderink G, Buishand A, Van Deursen W (2007) Estimates of future discharges of the river rhine using two scenario methodologies: direct versus delta approach. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 11(3):1145–1159CrossRef Lenderink G, Buishand A, Van Deursen W (2007) Estimates of future discharges of the river rhine using two scenario methodologies: direct versus delta approach. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 11(3):1145–1159CrossRef
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Graham L, Andreasson J, Carlsson B (2007) Assessing climate change impacts on hydrology from an ensemble of regional climate models, model scales and linking methods: a case study on the lule river basin. Clim Chang 81:293–307CrossRef Graham L, Andreasson J, Carlsson B (2007) Assessing climate change impacts on hydrology from an ensemble of regional climate models, model scales and linking methods: a case study on the lule river basin. Clim Chang 81:293–307CrossRef
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Mango LM, Melesse AM, McClain ME, Gann D, Setegn SG (2011) Hydro-meteorology and water budget of the Mara River basin under land use change scenarios. In: Melesse AM (ed) Nile river basin: hydrology, climate and water use, vol 1, 1st edn. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 39–68CrossRef Mango LM, Melesse AM, McClain ME, Gann D, Setegn SG (2011) Hydro-meteorology and water budget of the Mara River basin under land use change scenarios. In: Melesse AM (ed) Nile river basin: hydrology, climate and water use, vol 1, 1st edn. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 39–68CrossRef
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Lamprey RH, Reid RS (2004) Expansion of human settlement in Kenya’s maasai mara: what future for pastoralism and wildlife? J Biogeogr 31(6):997–1032CrossRef Lamprey RH, Reid RS (2004) Expansion of human settlement in Kenya’s maasai mara: what future for pastoralism and wildlife? J Biogeogr 31(6):997–1032CrossRef
22.
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Herman A, Kumar VB, Arkin PA, Kousky JV (1997) Objectively determined 10 day African rainfall estimates created for famine early warning systems. Research and Data Systems Corporation, and National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Climate Prediction Center Herman A, Kumar VB, Arkin PA, Kousky JV (1997) Objectively determined 10 day African rainfall estimates created for famine early warning systems. Research and Data Systems Corporation, and National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Climate Prediction Center
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Xie P, Arkin PA (1997) Global precipitation: a 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 78(11):2539–2538CrossRef Xie P, Arkin PA (1997) Global precipitation: a 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 78(11):2539–2538CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Meehl GA, Covey C, Delworth T, Latif M, McAvaney B, Mitchell JFB, Stouffer RJ, Taylor KE (2007) The wcrp cmip3 multi-model dataset: a new era in climate change research. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 88:1383–1394CrossRef Meehl GA, Covey C, Delworth T, Latif M, McAvaney B, Mitchell JFB, Stouffer RJ, Taylor KE (2007) The wcrp cmip3 multi-model dataset: a new era in climate change research. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 88:1383–1394CrossRef
26.
Zurück zum Zitat White KL, Chaubey I (2005) Sensitivity analysis, calibration, and validations for a multisite and multivariable swat model1. J Am Water Resour Assoc 41(5):1077–1089CrossRef White KL, Chaubey I (2005) Sensitivity analysis, calibration, and validations for a multisite and multivariable swat model1. J Am Water Resour Assoc 41(5):1077–1089CrossRef
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Setegn SG, Srinivasan R, Melesse AM, Dargahi B (2009) Swat model application and prediction uncertainty analysis in the lake tana basin, ethiopia. Hydrolog Process 24(3):357–367 Setegn SG, Srinivasan R, Melesse AM, Dargahi B (2009) Swat model application and prediction uncertainty analysis in the lake tana basin, ethiopia. Hydrolog Process 24(3):357–367
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Jayakrishnan R, Srinivasan R, Santhi C, Arnold JG (2005) Advances in the application of the swat model for water resources management. Hydrolog Process 19(3):749–762CrossRef Jayakrishnan R, Srinivasan R, Santhi C, Arnold JG (2005) Advances in the application of the swat model for water resources management. Hydrolog Process 19(3):749–762CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Evaluation and Comparison of Satellite and GCM Rainfall Estimates for the Mara River Basin, Kenya/Tanzania
verfasst von
Shimelis Behailu Dessu
Assefa M. Melesse
Copyright-Jahr
2013
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/698_2013_219