Skip to main content

2024 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

2. Evidence-Based Dynamic Effects of Socio-Economic Policies in Public Budgeting

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

How and why has the estimation of dynamic socio-economic effects of policies shaped political decision-making? To address this question, the chapter first presents the prospects and challenges to a rationalist model of evidence-based policy. The chapter shows that criteria developed by the Ministry of Finance for including the dynamic socio-economic effects of policies in forecasting and budgeting have been important for which types of evidence are utilised in socio-economic policy decisions. Despite critiques of the evidence considered when estimating dynamic effects, it is argued that socio-economic policy modelling is a case of evidence-based policy in which evidence has successfully incentivised and shaped formal political decision-making.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Adam, C., Steinebach, Y., & Knill, C. (2018). Neglected challenges to evidence-based policy-making: The problem of policy accumulation. Policy Sciences, 51(2), 269–290.CrossRef Adam, C., Steinebach, Y., & Knill, C. (2018). Neglected challenges to evidence-based policy-making: The problem of policy accumulation. Policy Sciences, 51(2), 269–290.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Baron, J. (2018). A brief history of evidence-based policy. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 678(1), 40–50.CrossRef Baron, J. (2018). A brief history of evidence-based policy. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 678(1), 40–50.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Baumgartner, F., & Jones, B. (1993). Agendas and instability in American politics. Chicago University Press. Baumgartner, F., & Jones, B. (1993). Agendas and instability in American politics. Chicago University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Callesen, P. (2020). Finansministeriets rolle aktuelt og ideelt. Samfundsøkonomen, 2020(1), 101–123. Callesen, P. (2020). Finansministeriets rolle aktuelt og ideelt. Samfundsøkonomen, 2020(1), 101–123.
Zurück zum Zitat Caplan, N. (1979). The two-communities theory and knowledge utilization. American Behavioral Scientist, 22(3), 459–470.CrossRef Caplan, N. (1979). The two-communities theory and knowledge utilization. American Behavioral Scientist, 22(3), 459–470.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cunha, F., & Heckman, J. J. (2007). The technology of skill formation. American Economic Review, 97(2), 31–47.CrossRef Cunha, F., & Heckman, J. J. (2007). The technology of skill formation. American Economic Review, 97(2), 31–47.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Deaton, A., & Cartwright, N. (2018). Understanding and misunderstanding randomized controlled trials. Social Science & Medicine, 210, 2–21.CrossRef Deaton, A., & Cartwright, N. (2018). Understanding and misunderstanding randomized controlled trials. Social Science & Medicine, 210, 2–21.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hall, P. A. (1993). Policy paradigms, social learning, and the state: The case of economic policymaking in Britain. Comparative Politics, 275–296. Hall, P. A. (1993). Policy paradigms, social learning, and the state: The case of economic policymaking in Britain. Comparative Politics, 275–296.
Zurück zum Zitat Hoefer, R. (2012). Policy creation and evaluation: Understanding welfare reform in the United States. Oxford University Press. Hoefer, R. (2012). Policy creation and evaluation: Understanding welfare reform in the United States. Oxford University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Howlett, M. (2009). Policy analytical capacity and evidence-based policy-making: Lessons from Canada. Canadian Public Administration, 52(2), 153–175.CrossRef Howlett, M. (2009). Policy analytical capacity and evidence-based policy-making: Lessons from Canada. Canadian Public Administration, 52(2), 153–175.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Howlett, M. (2015). Policy analytical capacity: The supply and demand for policy analysis in government. Policy and Society, 34, 173–182.CrossRef Howlett, M. (2015). Policy analytical capacity: The supply and demand for policy analysis in government. Policy and Society, 34, 173–182.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Jennings, E. T., Jr., & Hall, J. L. (2012). Evidence-based practice and the use of information in state agency decision making. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 22(2), 245–266.CrossRef Jennings, E. T., Jr., & Hall, J. L. (2012). Evidence-based practice and the use of information in state agency decision making. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 22(2), 245–266.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kingdon, J. W. (1984). Agendas, alternatives, and public policies. Little, Brown. Kingdon, J. W. (1984). Agendas, alternatives, and public policies. Little, Brown.
Zurück zum Zitat Kuhn, T. (1962). The structure of scientific revolutions. University of Chicago Press. Kuhn, T. (1962). The structure of scientific revolutions. University of Chicago Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Lindblom, C. E. (1979). Still muddling, not yet through. Public Administration Review, 39(6), 517–526.CrossRef Lindblom, C. E. (1979). Still muddling, not yet through. Public Administration Review, 39(6), 517–526.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lindblom, C. E., & Cohen, D. K. (1979). Usable knowledge: Social science and social problem solving. Yale University Press. Lindblom, C. E., & Cohen, D. K. (1979). Usable knowledge: Social science and social problem solving. Yale University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Mair, P. (2009). Representative versus responsible government (MPIfG Working Paper 09/8). Mair, P. (2009). Representative versus responsible government (MPIfG Working Paper 09/8).
Zurück zum Zitat Majone, G. (1989). Evidence, argument, and persuasion in the policy process. Yale University Press. Majone, G. (1989). Evidence, argument, and persuasion in the policy process. Yale University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Oh, C., & Rich, R. F. (1996). Explaining use of information in public policymaking. Knowledge and Policy, 9(1), 3–35.CrossRef Oh, C., & Rich, R. F. (1996). Explaining use of information in public policymaking. Knowledge and Policy, 9(1), 3–35.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Oliver, K. (2022). How policy appetites shape, and are shaped by evidence production and use. In P. Fafard, A. Cassola, & E. de Leeuw (Eds.), Integrating science and politics for public health (pp. 77–101). Palgrave Macmillan.CrossRef Oliver, K. (2022). How policy appetites shape, and are shaped by evidence production and use. In P. Fafard, A. Cassola, & E. de Leeuw (Eds.), Integrating science and politics for public health (pp. 77–101). Palgrave Macmillan.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Parkhurst, J. (2017). The politics of evidence: From evidence-based policy to the good governance of evidence. Routledge. Parkhurst, J. (2017). The politics of evidence: From evidence-based policy to the good governance of evidence. Routledge.
Zurück zum Zitat Pawson, R. (2006). Evidence-based policy: A realist perspective. Sage.CrossRef Pawson, R. (2006). Evidence-based policy: A realist perspective. Sage.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Perl, A., Howlett, M., & Ramesh, M. (2018). Policy-making and truthiness: Can existing policy models cope with politicized evidence and willful ignorance in a “post-fact” world? Policy Sciences, 51, 581–600.CrossRef Perl, A., Howlett, M., & Ramesh, M. (2018). Policy-making and truthiness: Can existing policy models cope with politicized evidence and willful ignorance in a “post-fact” world? Policy Sciences, 51, 581–600.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Petticrew, M., & Roberts, H. (2003). Evidence, hierarchies, and typologies: Horses for courses. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 57, 527–529.CrossRef Petticrew, M., & Roberts, H. (2003). Evidence, hierarchies, and typologies: Horses for courses. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 57, 527–529.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Pierson, P. (2000). Increasing returns, path dependence, and the study of politics. American Political Science Review, 94(2), 251–267.CrossRef Pierson, P. (2000). Increasing returns, path dependence, and the study of politics. American Political Science Review, 94(2), 251–267.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Rickinson, M., Sebba, J., & Edwards, A. (2011). Improving research through user engagement. Routledge.CrossRef Rickinson, M., Sebba, J., & Edwards, A. (2011). Improving research through user engagement. Routledge.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Simon, H. A. (1955). A behavioral model of rational choice. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 69(1), 99–118.CrossRef Simon, H. A. (1955). A behavioral model of rational choice. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 69(1), 99–118.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Torfing, J. (2004). Det stille sporskifte i velfærdsstaten: en diskursteoretisk beslutningsprocesanalyse. Aarhus Universitetsforlag. Torfing, J. (2004). Det stille sporskifte i velfærdsstaten: en diskursteoretisk beslutningsprocesanalyse. Aarhus Universitetsforlag.
Zurück zum Zitat Vedung, E. (2004). Evaluation Research and Fundamental Research. In R. Stockmann (Ed.), Evaluationsforschung; Grundlagen under ausgewählte Forschungsfelder (2nd ed., pp. 111–134). Leske and Budrich. Vedung, E. (2004). Evaluation Research and Fundamental Research. In R. Stockmann (Ed.), Evaluationsforschung; Grundlagen under ausgewählte Forschungsfelder (2nd ed., pp. 111–134). Leske and Budrich.
Zurück zum Zitat Voss, J. P., & Freeman, R. (Eds.). (2016). Knowing governance: The epistemic construction of political order. Palgrave Macmillan. Voss, J. P., & Freeman, R. (Eds.). (2016). Knowing governance: The epistemic construction of political order. Palgrave Macmillan.
Zurück zum Zitat Weiss, C. H. (1979). The many meanings of research utilization. Public Administration Review, 39(5), 426–431.CrossRef Weiss, C. H. (1979). The many meanings of research utilization. Public Administration Review, 39(5), 426–431.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Weiss, C. H. (1995). The haphazard connection: Social science and public policy. International Journal of Educational Research, 23(2), 137–150.CrossRef Weiss, C. H. (1995). The haphazard connection: Social science and public policy. International Journal of Educational Research, 23(2), 137–150.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Evidence-Based Dynamic Effects of Socio-Economic Policies in Public Budgeting
verfasst von
Jesper Dahl Kelstrup
Copyright-Jahr
2024
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-73943-9_2

Premium Partner