Skip to main content

2013 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

19. Evolving Currency Trading Agents

verfasst von : Gene I. Sher

Erschienen in: Handbook of Neuroevolution Through Erlang

Verlag: Springer New York

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The application of Neural Networks to financial analysis in general, and currency trading in particular, has been explored for a number of years. The most commonly [2,3,4,5] used NN training algorithm in this application is the backpropagation. The application of TWEANN systems to the same field is only now starting to emerge, and is showing a significant amount of potential. In this chapter we create a Forex simulator, and then use our neuroevolutionary system to evolve automated currency trading agents. For this application we will utilize not only the standard sliding window approach when feeding the sensory signals to the neural encoded agents, but also the sliding chart window, where we feed the evolved substrate encoded agents the actual candle-stick price charts, and then compare the performance of the two approaches. As of this writing, the use of geometrical pattern sensitive NN based agents in the analysis of financial instrument charts has not yet been explored in any other paper, to this author’s knowledge. Thus in this chapter we pioneer this approach, and explore its performance and properties.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Chapter-19 Supplementary material: www.DXNNResearch.com/NeuroevolutionThroughErlang/Chapter19 Chapter-19 Supplementary material: www.DXNNResearch.com/NeuroevolutionThroughErlang/Chapter19
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Halliday R (2004) Equity Trend Prediction With Neural Networks. Res. Lett. Inf. Math. Sci., Vol. 6, pp 15-29. Halliday R (2004) Equity Trend Prediction With Neural Networks. Res. Lett. Inf. Math. Sci., Vol. 6, pp 15-29.
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Mendelsohn L (1993) Using Neural Networks For Financial Forecasting. Stocks & Commodities. Volume 11:12, October. p.518-521. Mendelsohn L (1993) Using Neural Networks For Financial Forecasting. Stocks & Commodities. Volume 11:12, October. p.518-521.
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Min Qi, Peter GZ (2008) Trend Time-Series Modeling and Forecasting With Neural Networks. IEEE Transactions on neural networks, Vol. 19, no. 5. Min Qi, Peter GZ (2008) Trend Time-Series Modeling and Forecasting With Neural Networks. IEEE Transactions on neural networks, Vol. 19, no. 5.
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Lowe David (1994) Novel Exploitation of Neural Network Methods in Financial Markets. Proceedings of the 3rd IEE International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks, IEE Publications, Aston, United Kingdom. Lowe David (1994) Novel Exploitation of Neural Network Methods in Financial Markets. Proceedings of the 3rd IEE International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks, IEE Publications, Aston, United Kingdom.
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Jung H, Jia Y, et al (2010) Stock Market Trend Prediction Using ARIMA-Based Neural Networks. 2008 Proceedings of 17th International Conference on Computer Communications and Networks 4, 1-5. Jung H, Jia Y, et al (2010) Stock Market Trend Prediction Using ARIMA-Based Neural Networks. 2008 Proceedings of 17th International Conference on Computer Communications and Networks 4, 1-5.
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Versace M, Bhatt R, Hinds O, Shiffer M (2004) Predicting The Exchange Traded Fund DIA With a Combination of Genetic Algorithms and Neural Networks. Expert Systems with Applications 27, 417-425.CrossRef Versace M, Bhatt R, Hinds O, Shiffer M (2004) Predicting The Exchange Traded Fund DIA With a Combination of Genetic Algorithms and Neural Networks. Expert Systems with Applications 27, 417-425.CrossRef
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Yao J, Poh HL (1995) Forecasting the KLSE Index Using Neural Networks. IEEE International Conference on Artificial neural networks. Yao J, Poh HL (1995) Forecasting the KLSE Index Using Neural Networks. IEEE International Conference on Artificial neural networks.
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Kimoto T, Asakawa K, Yoda M, Takeoka M (1990) Stock Market Prediction System With Modular Neural Networks. International Joint Conference on Neural Networks 1, 1-6. Kimoto T, Asakawa K, Yoda M, Takeoka M (1990) Stock Market Prediction System With Modular Neural Networks. International Joint Conference on Neural Networks 1, 1-6.
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Hutchinson JM, Lo AW, Poggio T (1994) A Nonparametric Approach to Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities Via Learning Networks. Journal of Finance 49, 851-889.CrossRef Hutchinson JM, Lo AW, Poggio T (1994) A Nonparametric Approach to Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities Via Learning Networks. Journal of Finance 49, 851-889.CrossRef
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Refenes AN, Bentz Y, Bunn DW, Burgess AN, Zapranis AD (1997) Financial Time Series Modelling With Discounted Least Squares Backpropagation. Science 14, 123- 138. Refenes AN, Bentz Y, Bunn DW, Burgess AN, Zapranis AD (1997) Financial Time Series Modelling With Discounted Least Squares Backpropagation. Science 14, 123- 138.
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Li Y, Ma W (2010) Applications of Artificial Neural Networks in Financial Economics: A Survey. 2010 International Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Design, 211-214. Li Y, Ma W (2010) Applications of Artificial Neural Networks in Financial Economics: A Survey. 2010 International Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Design, 211-214.
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Rong L, Zhi X (2005) Prediction Stock Market With Fuzzy Neural Networks. Proceedings of the Fourth International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics, Guangzhou, 18-21. Rong L, Zhi X (2005) Prediction Stock Market With Fuzzy Neural Networks. Proceedings of the Fourth International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics, Guangzhou, 18-21.
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Maridziuk J, Jaruszewicz M (2007) Neuro-Evolutionary Approach to Stock Market Prediction. 2007 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, 2515-2520.CrossRef Maridziuk J, Jaruszewicz M (2007) Neuro-Evolutionary Approach to Stock Market Prediction. 2007 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, 2515-2520.CrossRef
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Soni S (2005) Applications of ANNs in Stock Market Prediction: A Survey. ijcsetcom 2, 71-83. Soni S (2005) Applications of ANNs in Stock Market Prediction: A Survey. ijcsetcom 2, 71-83.
16.
Zurück zum Zitat White H, Diego S (1988) Economic Prediction Using Neural Networks: The Case of IBM Daily Stock Returns. Neural Networks 1988 IEEE International Conference on, 451–458. White H, Diego S (1988) Economic Prediction Using Neural Networks: The Case of IBM Daily Stock Returns. Neural Networks 1988 IEEE International Conference on, 451–458.
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Dogac S (2008) Prediction of stock price direction by artificial neural network approach. Master thesis, Bogazici University. Dogac S (2008) Prediction of stock price direction by artificial neural network approach. Master thesis, Bogazici University.
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Yamashita T, Hirasawa K, Hu J (2005) Application of Multi-Branch Neural Networks to Stock Market Prediction. English, 2544-2548. Yamashita T, Hirasawa K, Hu J (2005) Application of Multi-Branch Neural Networks to Stock Market Prediction. English, 2544-2548.
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Quiyong Z, Xiaoyu Z, Fu D (2009) Prediction Model of Stock Prices Based on Correlative Analysis and Neural Networks. Second International Conference on Information and Computing Science, pp: 189-192 , IEEE. Quiyong Z, Xiaoyu Z, Fu D (2009) Prediction Model of Stock Prices Based on Correlative Analysis and Neural Networks. Second International Conference on Information and Computing Science, pp: 189-192 , IEEE.
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Risi S, Stanley KO (2010) Indirectly Encoding Neural Plasticity as a Pattern of Local Rules. Neural Plasticity 6226, 1-11. Risi S, Stanley KO (2010) Indirectly Encoding Neural Plasticity as a Pattern of Local Rules. Neural Plasticity 6226, 1-11.
Metadaten
Titel
Evolving Currency Trading Agents
verfasst von
Gene I. Sher
Copyright-Jahr
2013
Verlag
Springer New York
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-4463-3_19