Skip to main content
Erschienen in:
Buchtitelbild

2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Exploring Spatial and Social Factors of Crime: A Case Study of Taipei City

verfasst von : Nathan Kuo, Chun-Ming Chang, Kuan-Ta Chen

Erschienen in: Intelligent Information and Database Systems

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Recognizing the significance of transparency and accessibility of government information, the Taipei Government recently published city-wide crime data to encourage relevant research. In this project, we explore the underlying relationships between crimes and various geographic, demographic and socioeconomic factors. First we collect a total of 25 datasets from the City and other publicly available sources, and select statistically significant features via correlation tests and feature selection techniques. With the selected features, we use machine learning techniques to build a data-driven model that is capable of describing the relationship between high crime rate and the various factors. Our results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology by providing insights into interactions between key geographic, demographic and socioeconomic factors and city crime rate. The study shows the top three factors affecting crime rate are educational attainment, marital status, and distance to schools. The result is presented to the Taipei City officials for future government policy decision making.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
Factor is the term used in Criminology while feature is the technical term used in data science.
 
2
Taipei is a relatively safe city with extremely low violent crime rate.
 
3
Sex ratio is defined as the ratio of males to females in a population.
 
4
Ageing Index is calculated as the number of persons 60 years old or over per hundred persons under age 15.
 
5
Ratios of education levels include the six percentages: The percentage of population illiterate, with elementary school, junior high, senior high, undergraduate and graduate education.
 
6
Ratios of marital status include the four percentages: The percentage of population single, married, divorced or widowed.
 
Literatur
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Anwer, M., Nasreen, S., Shahzadi, A.: Social and demographic determinants of crime in Pakistan: a panel data analysis of Province Punjab. Int. J. Econ. (2015) Anwer, M., Nasreen, S., Shahzadi, A.: Social and demographic determinants of crime in Pakistan: a panel data analysis of Province Punjab. Int. J. Econ. (2015)
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Bogomolov, A., Lepri, B., Staiano, J., Oliver, N., Pianesi, F., Pentland, A.: Once upon a crime: towards crime prediction from demographics and mobile data. In: Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Multimodal Interaction, pp. 427–434. ACM (2014) Bogomolov, A., Lepri, B., Staiano, J., Oliver, N., Pianesi, F., Pentland, A.: Once upon a crime: towards crime prediction from demographics and mobile data. In: Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Multimodal Interaction, pp. 427–434. ACM (2014)
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Bowers, K., Newton, M., Nutter, R.: A GIS-linked database for monitoring repeat domestic burglary. In: Mapping and Analysing Crime Data-Lessons from Research and Practice, pp. 120–137 (2001) Bowers, K., Newton, M., Nutter, R.: A GIS-linked database for monitoring repeat domestic burglary. In: Mapping and Analysing Crime Data-Lessons from Research and Practice, pp. 120–137 (2001)
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Box, G.E., Cox, D.R.: An analysis of transformations. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B (Methodol.) 211–252 (1964) Box, G.E., Cox, D.R.: An analysis of transformations. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B (Methodol.) 211–252 (1964)
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Chainey, S., Tompson, L., Uhlig, S.: The utility of hotspot mapping for predicting spatial patterns of crime. Secur. J. 21(1–2), 4–28 (2008)CrossRef Chainey, S., Tompson, L., Uhlig, S.: The utility of hotspot mapping for predicting spatial patterns of crime. Secur. J. 21(1–2), 4–28 (2008)CrossRef
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Chang, Y.-W., Lin, C.-J.: Feature ranking using linear SVM. In: WCCI Causation and Prediction, Challenge, pp. 53–64 (2008) Chang, Y.-W., Lin, C.-J.: Feature ranking using linear SVM. In: WCCI Causation and Prediction, Challenge, pp. 53–64 (2008)
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen, H., Chung, W., Xu, J.J., Wang, G., Qin, Y., Chau, M.: Crime data mining: a general framework and some examples. Computer 37(4), 50–56 (2004)CrossRef Chen, H., Chung, W., Xu, J.J., Wang, G., Qin, Y., Chau, M.: Crime data mining: a general framework and some examples. Computer 37(4), 50–56 (2004)CrossRef
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Lin, H.-T., Lin, C.-J., Weng, R.C.: A note on Platt’s probabilistic outputs for support vector machines. Mach. Learn. 68(3), 267–276 (2007)CrossRef Lin, H.-T., Lin, C.-J., Weng, R.C.: A note on Platt’s probabilistic outputs for support vector machines. Mach. Learn. 68(3), 267–276 (2007)CrossRef
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Lochner, L., Moretti, E.: The effect of education on crime: evidence from prison inmates, arrests, and self-reports. Am. Econ. Rev. 94(1), 155–189 (2004)CrossRef Lochner, L., Moretti, E.: The effect of education on crime: evidence from prison inmates, arrests, and self-reports. Am. Econ. Rev. 94(1), 155–189 (2004)CrossRef
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Murray, A.T., McGuffog, I., Western, J.S., Mullins, P.: Exploratory spatial data analysis techniques for examining urban crime implications for evaluating treatment. Br. J. Criminol. 41(2), 309–329 (2001)CrossRef Murray, A.T., McGuffog, I., Western, J.S., Mullins, P.: Exploratory spatial data analysis techniques for examining urban crime implications for evaluating treatment. Br. J. Criminol. 41(2), 309–329 (2001)CrossRef
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Platt, J., et al.: Probabilistic outputs for support vector machines and comparisons to regularized likelihood methods. Adv. Larg Margin Classif. 10(3), 61–74 (1999) Platt, J., et al.: Probabilistic outputs for support vector machines and comparisons to regularized likelihood methods. Adv. Larg Margin Classif. 10(3), 61–74 (1999)
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Ratcliffe, J.H., McCullagh, M.J.: Hotbeds of crime and the search for spatial accuracy. J. Geogr. Syst. 1(4), 385–398 (1999)CrossRef Ratcliffe, J.H., McCullagh, M.J.: Hotbeds of crime and the search for spatial accuracy. J. Geogr. Syst. 1(4), 385–398 (1999)CrossRef
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Spicer, V., Song, J., Brantingham, P., Park, A., Andresen, M.A.: Street profile analysis: a new method for mapping crime on major roadways. Appl. Geogr. 69, 65–74 (2016)CrossRef Spicer, V., Song, J., Brantingham, P., Park, A., Andresen, M.A.: Street profile analysis: a new method for mapping crime on major roadways. Appl. Geogr. 69, 65–74 (2016)CrossRef
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Sweeten, G., Piquero, A.R., Steinberg, L.: Age and the explanation of crime, revisited. J. Youth Adolesc. 42(6), 921–938 (2013)CrossRef Sweeten, G., Piquero, A.R., Steinberg, L.: Age and the explanation of crime, revisited. J. Youth Adolesc. 42(6), 921–938 (2013)CrossRef
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Tilley, N., Tseloni, A., Farrell, G.: Income disparities of burglary risk security availability during the crime drop. Br. J. Criminol. azr010 (2011) Tilley, N., Tseloni, A., Farrell, G.: Income disparities of burglary risk security availability during the crime drop. Br. J. Criminol. azr010 (2011)
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Wang, T., Rudin, C., Wagner, D., Sevieri, R.: Learning to detect patterns of crime. In: Blockeel, H., Kersting, K., Nijssen, S., Železný, F. (eds.) ECML PKDD 2013. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 8190, pp. 515–530. Springer, Heidelberg (2013). doi:10.1007/978-3-642-40994-3_33 CrossRef Wang, T., Rudin, C., Wagner, D., Sevieri, R.: Learning to detect patterns of crime. In: Blockeel, H., Kersting, K., Nijssen, S., Železný, F. (eds.) ECML PKDD 2013. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 8190, pp. 515–530. Springer, Heidelberg (2013). doi:10.​1007/​978-3-642-40994-3_​33 CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Exploring Spatial and Social Factors of Crime: A Case Study of Taipei City
verfasst von
Nathan Kuo
Chun-Ming Chang
Kuan-Ta Chen
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-54430-4_1