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Finance, Growth and Democracy: Connections and Challenges in Europe and Latin America in the Era of Permacrisis

Democracy, Finance, and Growth

herausgegeben von: Dimitris Katsikas, Maria Antonieta Del Tedesco Lins, Andrea Ribeiro Hoffmann

Verlag: Springer Nature Switzerland

Buchreihe : United Nations University Series on Regionalism

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Über dieses Buch

The present volume uses a comparative regional approach to analyze how permacrisis—an extended period of instability and insecurity—has been experienced and dealt with in the European Union (EU) and Latin America. Written by academicians and policy experts from both regions, the volume has three main objectives. Firstly, it critically evaluates the response of regional organizations and governments in the EU and Latin America to the crises that have shaken these regions in recent years. Secondly, chapters contribute to a better understanding of the promised benefits and risks of digital currencies and fintech more generally to economic growth, financial stability and inclusion. Finally, the volume promotes an understanding of the challenges of permacrisis in both the EU and Latin America, as well as encouraging their cooperation at the multilateral and bi-regional levels. Providing an interdisciplinary perspective, this volume will be of interest to researchers and students of international relations, international political economy, international finance and economics, international law, global governance, and regionalism, as well as public officials of ministries of foreign affairs, finance and the economy, public officials of international and regional organizations.

This is an open access book.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter

Democracy in Times of Crisis: Regional Perspectives

Frontmatter

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Chapter 2. Crisis of Democracy and Multilateralism: Effects of Bolsonaro’s Far-Right Government on EU-LAC Relations
Abstract
The crises of democracy and of multilateralism are crucial phenomena to understand international relations, as well as relations between the Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) and the European Union (EU) at this point of history. The rise of the far-right and authoritarian movements and leaders is a central process in the era of ‘permacrisis’ that we discuss in this edited volume. This chapter analyses the crises of democracy and multilateralism and its effects on EU-LAC relations, focusing on the case of Brazil under the government of Bolsonaro.
Monica Herz, Andrea Ribeiro Hoffmann

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Chapter 3. Democratic Crises in Latin America and the Responses of Regional Institutions: An Evaluation of the Case of the OAS
Abstract
The objective of this paper is to evaluate the role the Organization of American States (OAS) in addressing the democratic crises the Latin American countries have experienced since the 1990s. It is argued that despite initial successes such as the OAS’ response in the cases of Perú and Haiti in the 1990s or in the mediation in Venezuela in 2003, after 2009, the efficiency of the OAS was much lower. The first two sections of this chapter are devoted to the analysis of the concept of democratic crisis and the role of international institutions in the protection and promotion of democracy. The two last sections of the chapter examine the democratic crises in Latin America and the role of the OAS in the solution of these crises.
José Briceño-Ruiz

Open Access

Chapter 4. Fighting Crime and Preserving Democracy in Latin America
Abstract
This academic article examines the expansion of Nayib Bukele’s popular crackdown on gangs throughout Latin America and its potential risks to democratic setbacks. While Bukele’s approach has garnered widespread attention for its effectiveness in reducing gang-related violence, questions arise regarding its implications for democracy. This article evaluates whether Bukele’s tactics have been an electoral game changer in the region by analysing the experiences of Latin American countries, particularly focusing on the 2023 elections where candidates proposing similar anti-gang strategies have not ascended to the presidency. Through a comprehensive examination of these cases, we elucidate the complex interplay between anti-gang policies, democratic stability, and electoral outcomes in Latin America.
Tiziano Breda

Open Access

Chapter 5. The European Union Will Be Built on Solidarity: Lessons Learned and the Financial Crisis Management of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Abstract
Ever since the outbreak of the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2007/2008, the European Union (EU) is confronted by a new reality of poly- and permacrisis which requires the EU to constantly adjust and reform. Crises management responses, however, vary in their legitimacy, which affects the evolution of the EU in the long term, and its resilience. In a previous publication in the context of the research conducted by the Jean Monnet Network ‘Crisis-Equity-Democracy for Europe and Latin America’, I focused on EU’s crisis management of the global financial crisis (GFC) and subsequent sovereign debt crisis (SDC) and showed that they were managed in an intergovernmental way, largely sidelining the European Parliament (EP) and national parliaments, creating a ‘double democratic deficit’ (De Souza Guilherme, 2020). This chapter compares the EU responses to the COVID-19 to the GFC, analyses and explains the paradigm change introduced in the financial management of the COVID-19 crisis, in particular, the creation of the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) in 2020, and focuses on democratic aspects of the crisis management at EU level. The articles highlights the role of the EP in this process and how it contributed to the input and throughput legitimacy of the response and concludes that the management of the COVID-19 crisis by the community method strengthened EU’s legitimacy and contributed to its resilience, reflecting and confirming Jean Monnet’s and Robert Schuman’s visions.
Bettina De Souza Guilherme

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Chapter 6. Revisiting the Democratic Foundations of European Integration During the Permacrisis
Abstract
The European Union (EU) has experienced several shocks in recent years. During this time, its performance as crisis manager was not consistent; in some cases, like the Eurocrisis and the refugee crisis, its handling cannot be considered successful, while in others, like the pandemic and, up to a point, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, EU’s performance was undoubtedly better. Given the EU’s inconsistent performance across different crisis episodes, we employ Easton’s diffuse support concept, to gauge the impact of permacrisis, as an extended period of stress and insecurity, on citizens’ support for European integration. We use Eurobarometer data on different aspects of public attitudes vis-à-vis the EU during the last 15 years. The findings show that overall, the EU seems to have benefited in terms of popular support, strengthening thereby its democratic legitimacy. On the other hand, the share of people who state that they do not trust the EU or that they are dissatisfied with the way democracy works in the EU has also risen over time. In other words, we observe a bifurcation of citizens’ attitudes, whereby both positive and negative answers have risen. This outcome is consistent with the idea that the EU has become more politicized during a period marked by successive crises.
Dimitris Katsikas

Financial Governance and Resilience in the EU

Frontmatter

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Chapter 7. Financing Recovery and Development in the Post-pandemic EU: Issues of Strategy, Institutions and Implementation
Abstract
EU cohesion policy—a network of variable mixes of European and national sectoral policies serving the objective of economic, social and territorial cohesion—was the main source of growth-supporting EU investment during the economic and financial crisis of the previous decade. In 2020, in its attempt to mitigate the economic and social impact of the COVID-19 crisis, the EU established a new, temporary recovery instrument called NextGenerationEU. The centrepiece of the latter is the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF), which has been activated for a 6-year period through the implementation of National Recovery and Resilience Plans (NRRPs). RRF also aims at promoting the goal of cohesion but is also focused on strengthening economic and social resilience, mitigating the social and economic impact of the crisis and supporting the green and digital transitions. For 2021–2026, RRF and the cohesion policy are operating in parallel, funding similar—though not identical—investment activities based on different terms and conditions, processes and mechanisms. The goal of this chapter is to offer a comparative analysis of the activities of RRF and cohesion policy in post-pandemic Europe, focusing on issues of strategy, institutions and implementation.
George Andreou

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Chapter 8. The European Failure to Tackle ‘Too-Big-to-Fail’ Banks
Abstract
This chapter evaluates the reach of post-crisis banking regulation adopted in the United Kingdom (UK), France, Germany, the Netherlands, and at the European Union (EU) level, with specific focus upon its effectiveness in addressing issues connected to too-big-to-fail (TBTF) universal banks: notably, incentives for excessive risk-taking and the potential financial burden imposed upon the public sector. Examining capital requirements, liquidity rules, resolution and structural reform, and contrasting European experiences with those of the United States (US), we highlight the inability of all adopted regulations except for UK and US structural reforms to effectively tackle TBTF. At national and supranational levels, domestic and European sectoral ‘specificities’ and worries over competitiveness led to significant derogations from Basel III capital and liquidity requirements, shaped a politically unreliable resolution regime and contributed to a failed structural reform package. The inadequacy and uncertainty of European banking regulation, together with the unstable nature of finance, demonstrate the usefulness of the concept of ‘permacrisis.’
Mikael Mäkipää, David Howarth, Scott James

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Chapter 9. From Bailouts to Bail-Ins: Political Economy Constraints to Effective Crisis Resolution in the EU
Abstract
The global financial crisis and the ensuing Eurozone crisis proved catalytic for the reform of the EU’s financial regulatory and supervisory framework. One of the most important innovations of the Banking Union, EU’s flagship reform, was the adoption of the bail-in principle in the resolution of failing banks. The bail-in principle was introduced to eliminate publicly funded bailouts, break the link between banks and sovereigns and instil discipline in financial market participants. Although the adoption of bail-in as a resolution tool undoubtedly constitutes a step forward, it has its own limitations. In this chapter, we focus on the constraints imposed on bail-in implementation, by the political economy dynamics of banking crises, by examining in detail two such crises, in Cyprus and Italy. The analysis shows that both before and after the introduction of the new European resolution regime, bail-in requirements were not fully and equally implemented across all creditors, while public bailouts were not averted. Our tentative explanation for this result is that structural transformations such as globalization, securitization and financialization have complicated the resolution of banks by creating new interest constellations, which resist incurring the losses of bail-in. Accordingly, unless more radical reforms are introduced, banking crises will continue to disrupt financial stability and impose significant fiscal burdens on states.
Dimitris Katsikas

Economic Policy and Governance in Times of Crises: Evidence from Latin America

Frontmatter

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Chapter 10. Economic Policies Amid Political Instability in Latin America
Abstract
Latin America has grappled with a history marked by economic crises, posing ongoing challenges for the region’s inclusive development. Focusing on the three largest economies in the region, the analysis sheds light on the intricacies of their responses to crises, particularly in the context of external shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic or the effects of Russia’s invasion to Ukraine. Despite governmental interventions, these economies faced pronounced impacts on inequality and poverty, highlighting the pressing need for nuanced economic strategies in the face of political turbulence. This chapter delves into the dynamic relationship between economic policies and political transformations during the last 15 years, emphasizing the deleterious effects of political instability on economic performance.
Maria Antonieta Del Tedesco Lins

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Chapter 11. How Permacrisis Has Redefined EU–LAC Trade Governance
Abstract
This chapter examines how the repercussions of an era of permacrisis have shaped the dynamics of trade governance between the European Union and Latin America. This study delves into the evolution of interregional trade governance, scrutinizing data and documents to identify trends and changes during the last decade. The chapter analyzes the limitations of the “old” governance mechanism built by a series of free trade agreements and identifies three new key mechanisms that are shaping interregional trade governance: the modernization of existing free trade agreements and conclusion of pending negotiations, the establishment of a new type of trade-related cooperation sectoral agreements, and unilateral reforms. Our findings highlight the continued relevance of trade for interregional integration. They offer valuable insights into the changing dynamics of trade governance in the permacrisis context and, at the same time, highlight the asymmetries and vulnerabilities in the EU–Latin America relationship.
Julieta Zelicovich

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Chapter 12. The Past as Insufficient Prologue: Sovereign Debt Restructurings in Latin America Since the 1980s
Abstract
In the absence of a global bankruptcy court for sovereign debt, crises leading to debt restructurings have evolved within an imperfect architecture mired in creditor coordination problems. These challenges are now part of a permacrisis of interconnected global dysfunction that defies existing institutions and their approaches to tackling recurrent problems. The chapter reviews the ways in which debt restructurings have taken place since the 1980s: from the securitization of commercial bank loans to financial fragility and new defaults on sovereign bonds. The costs of default have been compounded by the risks of litigation in foreign courts brought about by a minority of creditors. In the shadow of failed attempts to institute a statutory mechanism for resolving sovereign debt disputes, “market-based” contractual changes have become the norm. However inventive and incremental, these do not preclude some creditors from trying to leverage contract provisions to disrupt restructurings and extract larger repayments from debtors. Without fundamental change brought about by global cooperation, ad hoc ingenuity has had to make do. The past is thus condemned to remain an insufficient prologue to a future where sovereign debt restructurings are a predictable part of an ever-confounding permacrisis.
Giselle Datz

Digital Currencies and FinTech: Promised Benefits and New Risks

Frontmatter

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Chapter 13. Systemic Potential Aspects of CBDCs
Abstract
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) appear as a necessary step for preserving monetary sovereignty and seizing the benefits of digitalization for the efficiency of payments and financial inclusion. Their blockchain technology permits significantly faster, safer, cheaper payments than cash or bank accounts, particularly for cross-border payments. They will probably affect bank profitability, increasing competition for funding them and they will also increase the effects of interest rate adjustments on the economy (higher efficiency of monetary policy). But, more importantly, CBDCs carry the necessary potential to shake up the status quo of the international monetary system thanks to their technological properties. Basically, CBDCs eradicate the difference between domestic and cross-border transactions, eliminating the intermediary costs, risks (credit and liquidity risks), and delays required by the traditional cross-border payments. Moreover, they might act as a systemic “game-changer” by triggering two mutually supportive developments: (i) a strong increase in currency substitution implying higher exchange-rate volatility and (ii) a fast-growing demand for digital SDRs that will become costless by bundling and unbundling their five CBDCs components, therefore providing the most competitive safe asset and the best vehicle for the Forex and “repo” transactions. This e-SDR could become the missing tool for stabilizing global liquidity and emerge as a multilateral reserve currency, which would upgrade the IMF into a global Lender-of-Last-Resort. The IMF could issue or withdraw e-SDRs for stabilizing global liquidity, and the costly Triffin Dilemma could be efficiently solved.
Christian Ghymers

Open Access

Chapter 14. Bitcoin: Vehicle for Speculation and Fictitious Wealth Generation in the Age of Finance Capital
Abstract
The chapter offers a synthetic and compact view of the essence and functions of the bitcoin phenomenon in the context of the still prevailing type of capitalism, that is, finance capitalism. Hence, it addresses the following issues: What are the core properties of bitcoins? How are their enormous price fluctuations brought about? What is the impact of the related creation and destruction of “fictitious” financial wealth on the real economy? How is the phenomenon of cryptocurrencies embedded into that type of capitalism where striving for profits is focused on changes in the valuation of already existing assets? This “finance capitalism” has been shaping the global economy for almost 50 years—in contrast to the “real capitalism” of the 1950s and 1960s where striving for profits was focused on producing new real assets.
Stephan Schulmeister

Open Access

Chapter 15. Digital Currencies, Monetary Power, and Inequalities: Discussing the Potential Impacts of the Brazilian Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC)
Abstract
In the different forms they can take, private or issued by central banks, digital currencies are becoming a reality around the world. In addition to the alleged advantages in terms of transaction cost reduction and agility, the creation of central banks digital currencies can alter the distribution of monetary power in a global context marked by instability and crisis. Economic, social, and political impacts at the domestic level have been underexplored. The huge success of the instant payment system launched by the central bank in 2020 (Pix) and the launching of the Brazilian Central Bank digital currency (Drex) foreseen to take place in 2024 make this an interesting case for understanding in more depth the potential impacts of the digitalization of finance and the creation of central banks digital currencies at the domestic, regional, and global levels.
Maria Antonieta Del Tedesco Lins, Andrea Ribeiro Hoffmann

Open Access

Chapter 16. Financial Technology in Global Context: Risks and Opportunities
Abstract
The 2008 financial crisis became a milestone in the development of financial technology (FinTech). Leveraging innovative technologies and data science, FinTech companies have introduced entirely new products and services for lending, wealth management, and payments. At the same time, new market players entering financial markets necessitate a regulation dealing with the risks stemming from innovative technologies. This chapter unveils the security challenges arising in FinTech sector focusing on vulnerabilities in data management, cybersecurity, and operational resilience. These risks require an enhanced regulatory framework to uphold the safety of financial markets considering technological innovation. Nonetheless, FinTech opens significant opportunities for growth and transformation. FinTech is promising in addressing the problem of financial inclusion for those who lack access to basic financial services such as savings and credit. Assessing the specific landscape of the Latin American market, FinTech’s development in this region appears particularly promising in terms of tackling the issue of financial inclusion. Furthermore, there is evidence that FinTechs may reduce the gender gap in access to finance for women in some developing economies. In this chapter, those technological innovations and their implications for the financial market in the era of permacrisis are discussed.
Anastasia Kotovskaia

Open Access

Chapter 17. Consumer Protection and Financial Innovation: Microeconomic, Policy, and Behavioral Considerations for the Digital Era
Abstract
In the digital era, financial innovation has transformed the financial services landscape, providing greater accessibility and convenience for consumers. Yet, the comparative advantages it presents and the facilities it has recently offered to firms and investors do not always come at a low cost, particularly in the form of externalities. These costs may appear while consumers use financial innovations or services that may engender predatory lending practices, the misuse of complex financial products, or other consumer threats. At the same time, governments and international bodies have introduced various investor protection measures, such as consumer disclosures, consumer education programs, and stricter regulatory oversight. While financial innovation has brought about great opportunities for international portfolio allocation and risk diversification, the contagion and regulatory shortcomings render the international regulatory cooperation imperative. The chapter closes by examining the way that future regulatory frameworks should ensure their relevance by embedding more behavioral components in the analysis of digital and other financial innovations when endeavoring to align efficiency and growth targets with consumer protection.
Panagiotis Barkas

Learning from the Past and Looking to the Future

Frontmatter

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Chapter 18. Climate Crisis: Systemic Aspects of De-Carbonization and Macro-financial Requirements
Abstract
Urgent de-carbonization means a massive systemic change that requires a coherent approach for spurring global investments while reorientating them toward Emerging Market and Developing Economies (EMDEs). Both issues require a macroeconomic rebalancing with geographical and geopolitical impacts. Available model-based scenarios are dangerously misleading because they rely upon implicit assumptions that ignore the permacrisis with its growing uncertainty and the systemic and governance issues that plague the present unsustainable economic order. After giving the order of magnitude of the huge amounts of urgent investments required by global de-carbonization, this chapter warns against “greenwishing” (the illusion that low-cost solutions are at hand) and, more precisely, against two major flaws in the current financial system. First, even with a CO2 tax in view, private yields are unable to reorient investments to de-carbonization on time. Second, the asymmetric International Monetary System is unable to ensure the capital inflows necessary to close the estimated funding gap in the EMDEs. This assessment implies the need for a multilateral intervention at two levels: (i) to compensate today’s private yields in investments that abate greenhouse gases, because CO2 taxation, which needs to be slowly progressive, is unable to compensate ex ante the too high uncertain expectations on de-carbonization investments; and (ii) to issue a safe asset at the multilateral level, creating a global Lender-of-Last-Resort able to manage global liquidity, solving the Triffin Dilemma.
Christian Ghymers

Open Access

Chapter 19. Stabilizing Asset Prices Through Transition from Continuous Trading to Electronic Auctions
Abstract
This chapter analyzes a core component of what is defined in this volume as Permacrisis, namely, the pattern of asset price dynamics as a sequence of “bull markets” and “bear markets.” Based on this analysis, a new concept for stabilizing the “long swings” of asset prices is elaborated, namely, replacing continuous asset trading with electronic auctions. First, I sketch the channels through which the “overshooting” of exchange rates, commodities prices, and stock prices but also of EU carbon prices dampens the real economy and hampers fighting global heating. Second, a theoretical alternative to the still dominating “efficient market hypothesis” is presented, the “bull-bear-hypothesis.” Third, I discuss the role of “technical” or “algorithmic” trading strategies in exploiting short-term asset price trends and strengthening them at the same time. Fourth, it is shown that bulls (bear) markets result from (very) short-term trends (“runs”) in line with the prevailing (bullish or bearish) market sentiment lasting longer than counter-movements. Fifth, to mitigate the extent of the “long swings” of asset prices one needs to restrict (super) fast speculation unrelated to market fundamentals, thereby dampening the short-term trending of asset prices. Instead of implementing a financial transactions tax, one could achieve this objective also by replacing continuous trading with electronic auctions, for example, every 3 h. This approach is theoretically more appealing, technically easy to implement, and has so far not seriously been discussed.
Stephan Schulmeister

Open Access

Chapter 20. The Weaponization of Finance and Digitalization: A Cooperative Approach Between the EU and LAC
Abstract
Since the demise of the Gold Standard, the US dollar has stood as the sole global currency, empowering the United States with considerable foreign policy leverage. However, developments like economic dislocations, geopolitical tensions, and digitalization pose challenges that could lead to fragmentation in the global monetary system. The risk is forming economic blocs that establish parallel, non-complementary systems that impede the free flow of capital and money across borders. The potential rise of national Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) offers a new tool to reshape the international monetary architecture for settling cross-border transactions. This chapter proposes a cooperation exercise between the European Union (EU) and the Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) region to explore and develop interoperable CBDC systems. The EU and LAC share a common interest in collaborating to influence the architecture of the following international monetary system. The cooperative development of CBDC experiments presents an opportunity for the EU and LAC to shape the future of cross-border transactions and strengthen their positions in the evolving international financial order.
Nicola Bilotta

Open Access

Chapter 21. European Union–Latin American Interregional Relations: Taking Stock and Looking Ahead
Abstract
The European Union (EU) and Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) have a long and deep-rooted history of economic and political relations, which has shown fluctuations, due to a diverse combination of structural and agential variables. On the EU side, different mechanisms and strategies have been put in place, at different levels, ranging from bilateral dialogues to formal agreements and interregional summits. Moreover, relations revolve around three main agendas, including political dialogue, cooperation, and trade, and involve a wide array of state and nonstate, private and public actors. The literature on EU–LAC relations is vast and widely scattered across fields, but it often remains limited to examining specific dimensions, either a particular policy area, analytical level, or period. This chapter attempts to move forward by proposing a wider perspective on the interregional relations, based on an analytical policy approach. It introduces a novel database, which provides a mapping of the policy instruments that have been employed by the EU to activate such relations, including the agreements governing the relations between the EU and LAC, and the cooperation programs funded by the EU in LAC. Based on this, the chapter will provide an encompassing insight into how interregional relations have evolved, considering their variations across instruments, policy areas, territorial levels, and over time.
Andrea C. Bianculli, Laia Brossa, Jacint Jordana

Open Access

Chapter 1. Introduction: A New Era? Permacrisis and the Challenges to Financial Stability, Economic Growth, and Democracy
Abstract
We live in a world shuddered by multiple and profound crises. From the global financial crisis and the Eurocrisis that followed to the pandemic, Russia’s invasion in Ukraine, the consequent energy and inflation crises, the continuously evolving climate crisis, and the brewing tension among the world’s major powers, the last few years have been marked by political and economic instability, leading many to talk about a new era in the world’s history. New concepts have emerged to describe this era. ‘Permacrisis’ is one of these concepts. Permacrisis differs from the traditional notion of crisis, which is characterized by temporality, as it implies that crisis should be seen as ‘context’, which in turns means that we are now living in a ‘new normal’, which is more volatile and unpredictable than the past. In this book, we focus on how permacrisis has been experienced and dealt with in Europe and in Latin America, employing the analytical lens of comparative regionalism. Our focus is on finance and its connections to growth and democracy. This choice is deliberate and lies at the heart of the Jean Monnet Network ‘Crisis-Equity-Democracy for Europe and Latin America’, which funded the research conducted for the book. With this book, we aim (a) to critically analyse and evaluate the response of regional organizations and governments in the EU and Latin America to the crises that have shook these regions in recent years, (b) to contribute to a better understanding of the promised benefits and risks of digital currencies and fintech, more generally, for economic growth, financial stability, and inclusion and (c) to promote mutual understanding about the challenges of permacrisis in Europe and Latin America and advocate for their cooperation at the multilateral and bi-regional levels.
Dimitris Katsikas, Maria Antonieta Del Tedesco Lins, Andrea Ribeiro Hoffmann
Metadaten
Titel
Finance, Growth and Democracy: Connections and Challenges in Europe and Latin America in the Era of Permacrisis
herausgegeben von
Dimitris Katsikas
Maria Antonieta Del Tedesco Lins
Andrea Ribeiro Hoffmann
Copyright-Jahr
2025
Electronic ISBN
978-3-031-68475-3
Print ISBN
978-3-031-68474-6
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-68475-3

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