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2011 | Buch

Frontiers in Major League Baseball

Nonparametric Analysis of Performance Using Data Envelopment Analysis

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Über dieses Buch

This book focuses on the application of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to Major League Baseball (MLB). DEA is a nonparametric linear programming model that is used across academic disciplines. In sports economics, authors have applied the technique primarily to assess team and/or managerial efficiency. The basis for performance analysis is economic production theory, where it is assumed that baseball can be viewed as a production process whereby inputs (player quality measures) are transformed into outputs (wins, attendance). The primary advantage that DEA has over more traditional regression based approaches is the ability to handle multiple inputs and multiple outputs. Further, the approach is nonparametric and hence, does not require a priori specification of the production function. The book develops the theory of DEA in the context of a production environment. A focal point is the assessment of technical and cost efficiency of MLB teams. It is shown that previous frontier applications that measure efficiency provide biased results given that the outcome of a game is zero-sum. If a team loses a game due to inefficiency, another team wins a lost game. A corrected frontier is presented to overcome this problem. Free agent salary arbitration is analyzed using a dual DEA model. Each free agent's contract zone is identified. The upper and lower bounds, representing the player's and team's perspective of value, respectively, are estimated. Player performance is estimated using a modified DEA model to rank order players based on multiple attributes. This model will be used to evaluate current Hall of Fame players. We provide arguments for other players who are deserving of membership. We also use our measure of performance and evaluate age-performance profilers for many ball players. Regression analysis is used to identify the age of peak performance. The method is used to evaluate some of the all-time greats. We also use the method to analyze admitted and implicated steroid users. The results clearly show that performance was enhanced. This book will provide appropriate theoretical models with methodological considerations and interesting empirical analyses and is intended to serve academics and practitioners interested in applying DEA to baseball as well as other sports or production processes. >

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. Introduction
Abstract
Koopmans (1951) provided a useful framework for the measurement of efficiency by defining technical efficiency as feasible input–output combinations where it is not possible to increase output (decrease inputs) without simultaneously increasing inputs (decreasing output). In a seminal paper, Farrell (1957) showed how efficiency can be measured relative to a given isoquant as the maximum radial reduction in observed inputs holding output constant. Farrell further provided the decomposition of overall efficiency into technical and allocative parts. Farrell’s paper serves as the foundation for the nonparametric and parametric models of technical efficiency estimation. While Farrell provided a useful foundation for the measurement of technical efficiency, the model allowed only one output and assumed constant returns to scale. The assumption was relaxed to allow increasing returns to scale in Farrell and Fieldhouse (1962).
John Ruggiero
Chapter 2. Data Envelopment Analysis
Abstract
Analysis of performance has economic production theory as its foundation. Firms employ inputs to produce output typically with an incentive to maximize profits. Firms that are technically inefficient could increase outputs and revenue with the same inputs or could decrease inputs and cost with the same outputs. Farrell (1957) provided a decomposition of inefficiency into technical and allocative parts. From an input-oriented perspective, firms that are not operating on the isoquant associated with observed production are technically inefficient. Farrell provided a comprehensive measure of technical efficiency as the equiproportional reduction of all inputs holding output at current levels. Allocative efficiency is then measured relative to the cost minimizing mix of inputs given observed input prices.
John Ruggiero
Chapter 3. Measuring Team Efficiency
Abstract
In this chapter we discuss the limitation of the standard DEA models in estimating team and manager inefficiency. If all teams are efficient, the standard assumptions of the production frontier hold. However, if managerial inefficiency causes a team to lose a game that should have been won, another team wins a game that should have been lost. As a result, the departure from the frontier due to inefficiency leads to upward-biased estimates of the frontier and hence, downwardly biased efficiency estimates. Lins et al. (2003) first discussed this issue with respect to zero-sum gains in an analysis of the Olympic games. Collier et al. (2010b) provided a linear programming model to achieve the same correction.
John Ruggiero
Chapter 4. Measuring Cost Efficiency
Abstract
In this chapter, we extend the analysis by analyzing the cost efficiency of MLB teams. We apply the corrected DEA model introduced in Chap. 3 to analyze the relationship between team wins and team payroll. One of the concerns for competitive balance is the ability of large market teams to spend higher amounts to lure the better players. In 2009, the New York Yankees had a total payroll above $200 million, over $50 million above the second-place New York Mets. The median team payroll was only $80 million. Large market teams are able to generate more local revenue from attendance, advertising, television and radio fees, etc. In 2006, a new revenue sharing program was agreed upon to restore competitive balance; teams contribute approximately one third of their local revenue into a pool and the money is split among the teams.
John Ruggiero
Chapter 5. Evaluating Hitters
Abstract
Mazur (1995) applied DEA to rank the performance of MLB players. Mazur assumed that all players had the same input level and chose three outputs: batting average, home runs, and runs batted in. These three measures comprise the “triple crown” in major league baseball. Certainly, a team would prefer players with higher values of each of these variables. However, as pointed out by Anderson and Sharpe (1997), runs batted in by a particular player largely depends on the ability of the player’s teammates to reach base prior to the at bat.
John Ruggiero
Chapter 6. Evaluating Pitchers
Abstract
In this chapter, we evaluate both starting pitchers and relief pitchers using the aggregate performance model presented in the Chap. 5. For both classes of pitchers, we choose three outputs: innings pitched (IP), innings pitched per earned run (IP/ER), and innings pitched per hit (IP/H). The measures chosen here are consistent with Mazur (1995), who used earned run average, hits per inning pitched, and the ratio of base on balls to strike outs.
John Ruggiero
Chapter 7. Arbitration and Free Agency
Abstract
The first collective bargaining agreement was negotiated in 1968 and has been modified over time. The current agreement in Major League Baseball was negotiated to expire after the 2011 season. In this chapter, we analyze arbitration cases and nontendered free agents. In most cases, after the player or team files for arbitration, a settlement is reached, negating the need for a hearing.
John Ruggiero
Chapter 8. The Hall of Fame
Abstract
Selection into the MLB hall of fame is a special honor reserved for the all-time great players and managers. And, over time, the selection or nonselection of players has provided controversies for discussion. Many fans believe that Pete Rose belongs in the HOF based solely on his playing career; other fans are less forgiving about his admitted gambling on baseball games as a manager. Similar arguments are made about Shoeless Joe Jackson. On the other side, arguments arise over some players who have been inducted into the hall. Notably, did Phil Rizzuto deserve the honor when he was voted in by the Veteran’s Committee in 1994?. Bill James (1995) argued that Rizzuto’s career statistics did not warrant his selection.
John Ruggiero
Chapter 9. Steroids in MLB: An Analysis of Hitters
Abstract
Among the most controversial topics in major league baseball is the steroid era, apparently beginning in the mid-1980s and continuing until the mid-2000s. Steroids not only help players rehabilitate injuries faster, but with proper diet and weight training, they help build muscle and increase strength. Steroids have been linked to many of the top stars in baseball and much has been written about the topic.
John Ruggiero
Chapter 10. Steroids in MLB: An Analysis of Pitchers
Abstract
In the last chapter, we applied DEA to obtain a measure of aggregate performance by each hitter in each season. We then analyzed each player’s age–performance profile to identify unusual performances. The theory is that eventually, diminishing returns sets in as a player gets older. A quadratic specification was chosen to identify the age of peak performance and to predict performance as age increases. Using stars who played prior to the steroid era, we established benchmark age–performance profiles. We then applied the method to known steroid users to see if enhancement allowed players to defy the standard profiles. The results do provide insight into potential steroid use.
John Ruggiero
Backmatter
Metadaten
Titel
Frontiers in Major League Baseball
verfasst von
John Ruggiero
Copyright-Jahr
2011
Verlag
Springer New York
Electronic ISBN
978-1-4419-0831-5
Print ISBN
978-1-4419-0830-8
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-0831-5