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2005 | Buch

Global Warming — Myth or Reality?

The Erring Ways of Climatology

verfasst von: Professor Marcel Leroux

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Buchreihe : Springer Praxis Books

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Über dieses Buch

In the global-warming debate, definitive answers to questions about ultimate causes and effects remain elusive. In Global Warming: Myth or Reality? Marcel Leroux seeks to separate fact from fiction in this critical debate from a climatological perspective. Beginning with a review of the dire hypotheses for climate trends, the author describes the history of the 1998 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and many subsequent conferences. He discusses the main conclusions of the three IPCC reports and the predicted impact on global temperatures, rainfall, weather and climate, while highlighting the mounting confusion and sensationalism of reports in the media. After taking a hard look at the reality of the greenhouse effect, the ‘evidence’ from climate models, and the models’ limitations, Leroux postulates alternate causes of climate change and analyzes the trends for global temperatures, rainfall patterns, and sea level. He poses the ‘heretical’ question if warming may be considered a benefit in some regions. Finally Leroux suggests a number of priorities for climatologists to better understand processes of climate change, to integrate them into climate models, and to predict accurately future changes in climate. This timely and controversial book lays out the scientific case of the sizable skeptical scientific community who challenge the accepted wisdom.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter

Introduction

1. Introduction

The subject, the players, and the principle basis

Frontmatter
2. History of the notion of global warming
2.9 Summary
The notion of ‘global warming’, which teaches that humans are responsible for climate change, has been forming for more than a century and a half, at first very slowly, and then, since the 1985 second Villach Conference, very rapidly. Since 1985 to the present day, and more especially since 1988, the ‘certainty’ that man is an essential factor in climate change, indeed the principal factor, seems established. The expected global warming is bound to bring in its wake the modification of various elements of the climate, and meteorological parameters will be increasingly modified.
This assurance emerges in the conclusions of the IPCC, in its Summary for Policymakers: a result of the previously mentioned démarches, a blending of scientific and ecological processes driven by international politics.
3. Conclusions of the IPCC (Working Group I)
4. Science, media, politics...
5. Greenhouse effect — water effect
6. Causes of climate change
7. Models and climate
8. The general circulation of the atmosphere

The lessons of the observation of real facts

Frontmatter
9. The observational facts: Past climates
10. The observational facts: Present temperatures
11. The observational facts: Weather, rainfall, and drought
The observational facts: Climate and aerological units
12. The North Atlantic aerological unit
13. The North Pacific aerological unit
The lessons of the observation of real facts in the aerological units: Conclusion
14. The observational facts: Sea level and circulation
15. General conclusion
Backmatter
Metadaten
Titel
Global Warming — Myth or Reality?
verfasst von
Professor Marcel Leroux
Copyright-Jahr
2005
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Electronic ISBN
978-3-540-28100-9
Print ISBN
978-3-540-23909-3
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-28100-2