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2011 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

14. Hooptedoodle 3: The Seductive Gene

verfasst von : Derek Partridge

Erschienen in: The Seductive Computer

Verlag: Springer London

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Abstract

Sequencing DNA (and hence genes) is a hot topic. Weekly we get media reports of a new sequence and associated promises of breakthroughs just as soon as this sequence is understood in terms of the behaviour it controls – e.g. the genetic basis of certain cancers. Gene (or DNA) understanding is similar to the central problem of this book, i.e., program understanding, and we now know how difficult (more accurately, impossible) that is. The main difference is that gene understanding will be far more difficult in every way. We look at the similarities between these two ‘understanding’ tasks, and conclude pessimistically for the future of gene understanding. This conclusion does, however, also has an optimistic angle.

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Fußnoten
1
“Scientists crack ‘entire genetic code’ of cancer
By Michelle Roberts Health reporter, BBC News Wednesday 16th December 2009
Scientists have unlocked the entire genetic code of two of the most common cancers – skin and lung – a move they say could revolutionise cancer care. Not only will the cancer maps pave the way for blood tests to spot tumours far earlier, they will also yield new drug targets, says the Wellcome Trust team. Scientists around the globe are now working to catalogue all the genes that go wrong in many types of human cancer.”
As usual “unlock the entire genetic code” should be read as “written out the entire genetic code,” and that is almost certainly an overstatement (see note 2). This major news story of the day then continued to say: “The lung cancer DNA code had more than 23,000 errors largely triggered by cigarette smoke exposure.”
So, in the much simpler programming terms: the scientists now just have to determine which of the 23,000 identified errors, or combination of some subset of the 23,000, causes the undesired system behaviour. There are more candidate subsets than atoms in the Universe (even if we assume the simplification that the temporal order of occurrence of the accumulated errors is not a significant factor). In addition, we note that this is the DNA of one individual, and therefore there is no general problem (such as which errors, in general, trigger lung cancer) until many more lung-cancerous genomes have been sequenced and the common errors among the 23,000 have been identified. This strategy for homing in on the likely suspects further assumes that there is a general lung-cancer disease whose genetic causes are being sought. Each example may be individual, or any intermediate option between totally general and totally individual. If this is not daunting enough, we might also note that significant causal factors may be external to the genome itself.
 
2
L. D. Stein’s Nature article (see note 9, below) begins by explaining the ‘unfinished’ nature of the human genome sequence work.
 
3
Broadcast on Radio 4, 1 June 2010: Martin Rees’ use of the term “read-out” is perhaps strictly true, but it implies an understanding that the alternative term “write-out” correctly avoids.
 
4
“British scientists tout human sperm creation”, July 8, 2009, The Associated Press. LONDON – British scientists claimed Wednesday to have created human sperm from embryonic stem cells for the first time, an accomplishment they say may someday help infertile men father children. The technique could in 10 years allow researchers to use the basic knowledge of how sperm develop to design treatments to enable infertile men the chance to have biological children, said lead researcher Karim Nayernia, of Newcastle University, whose team earlier produced baby mice from sperm derived in a similar way.
The research, published in the Journal Stem Cells and Development, was conducted by scientists at Newcastle University and the North East England Stem Cell Institute.
 
5
N. Dillon, Nature 425, 2 Oct. 2003, p. 457.
 
6
Chris Fields (personal communication, July–November 2009) notes:
The information coded into the body of the computer can with reasonable assumptions be ignored, and is easy to discover at any rate. We know, after all, what wires are. But the information encoded by the body of an organism can NEVER be ignored, there’s a lot more of it than there is information encoded by the genome, and we have very little idea how to specify any of it. We can’t predict protein folding. We can’t model metabolism. In any really interesting case, we can’t even measure a metabolic state, at least not without perturbing it so badly we have no idea what the next state would have been. We do not know, and cannot find out, the biochemical history of any given organism, so there is no sense in which we can predict the current biochemical state of any organism’s body, or even any one its cells, from some hypothetical initial state. So even if the genome was TRIVIAL, we’d still be totally in the soup.
 
7
The issue of ‘junk’ DNA is constantly under review. In 2004, M. Peplow (Nature, 21 October, p. 923) stated that “More than one-third of the human genome, previously thought to be non-functional [i.e., junk], may in fact help to regulate gene expression …”.
 
8
D. Bentley writing in Nature in 2004 (27 May, p. 440) suggests that it was perhaps “premature to write noncoding DNA off as ‘junk’, and so it has proved” for among other things, “it maintains short-range and long-range spatial organization of sequences”.
 
9
In his article “The End of the Beginning” (Nature, 21 October, 2004, pp. 915–916) L. D. Stein begins to acknowledge the enormity of the new task of decoding the genome; he wrote:
In sequencing the human genome, researchers have already climbed mountains and travelled a long and winding road. But we are only at the end of the beginning: ahead lies another mountain range that we will need to map out and explore as we seek to understand how all the parts revealed by the genome sequence work together to make life.
This recognition of the new difficulties might be summarised as (borrowing from Dawkins in order to stick with Stein’s alpine metaphor) Climbing Mount Improbable. However, the inescapable implication from IT-systems experience is that Climbing Mount Impossible is a more accurate description if getting to the top means possession of a full and guaranteed understanding of the functions coded in a genomic sequence. Accomplishing the improbable is hard, but so much easier than scaling the truly impossible.
 
10
In the genome-cell-organism system there is the further danger (in, for example, the sperm-creation project mentioned above) that ill-understood innovations, once introduced will spread out into the organisms gene pool for all time. Dangerous IT-systems can be trashed, and that’s the end of the story, but for some genome applications it will be the beginning of a never-ending problem. The IT-system analogue, ‘runaway’ programs (the subject of the next chapter), will seem benign by comparison.
 
11
S. Bottomly, Bioinformatics: smartest software is just a tool, Correspondence, Nature 429, 20 May 2004, p. 241.
 
Metadaten
Titel
Hooptedoodle 3: The Seductive Gene
verfasst von
Derek Partridge
Copyright-Jahr
2011
Verlag
Springer London
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-84996-498-2_14