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2016 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

How the Change of Risk Announcement on Catastrophic Disaster Affects Property Prices?

verfasst von : Hayato Nakanishi

Erschienen in: The Economics of the Global Environment

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

In this article, we present evidence of the benefits of expected utility that is sensitive to rare events. Specifically, we estimate the treatment effect of reports on rare catastrophic tsunamis by using a land price hedonic approach. To identify this effect, we employed a difference in differences (DD) design. Ordinal expected utility predicts no effect since the probability of catastrophic events is sufficiently small to be ignored. However, the estimation result reveals a significant effect. This implies that ordinal expected utility derived from objective risk distribution may be inappropriate for the economic prediction of rare catastrophic events.

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Metadaten
Titel
How the Change of Risk Announcement on Catastrophic Disaster Affects Property Prices?
verfasst von
Hayato Nakanishi
Copyright-Jahr
2016
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-31943-8_25