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2016 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

3. Initiation: Scoping and Managing ForSTI

verfasst von : Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov

Erschienen in: Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Given the pervasiveness of STI in most aspects of our lives, our cultures and societies, ForSTI of one sort or another may be relevant to many policymakers, and many decision-makers in business and third sector bodies. ForSTI may be undertaken at almost any level of decision-making, though it has been most prominent to date at the national level. It has been used by international organisations, such as the European Commission (EC) and UNIDO (e.g. in support of TF activities in Latin America). More recently, regional authorities and governments in many countries have carried out ForSTI exercises. However non-governmental actors, such as professional associations and industry federations, have also been active in ForSTI, with exercises on topics such as agriculture, the automotive and aerospace industries, and higher education, having taken place since the late-1990s.

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Fußnoten
1
For the implications of viewing Foresight as a service, see Miles (2013).
 
2
See also Keenan and Miles (2008).
 
4
The focal object is a major factor in choosing a time horizon. For example, ForSTI on the IT sector tends to have shorter time horizon (perhaps of 5–10 years) than on the Energy sector (which can be as long as 50 years).
 
5
Compare with the Foresight Diamond (Popper 2008), which in turn builds on an earlier depiction of ForSTI tools as a triangle by Denis Loveridge (Originally presented in: Cameron et al. 1996 and also available in: Loveridge 1996).
 
6
The framework was introduced in the UK and widely used in STI policymaking—for a convenient account see Miles and Cunningham (2006).
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Cameron, H., Loveridge, D., Cabrera, J., Castanier, L., Presmanes, B., Vazquez, L., et al. (1996). Technology foresight: Perspectives for European and international co-operation. Manchester: PREST. Final Report to European Commission DG XII. Cameron, H., Loveridge, D., Cabrera, J., Castanier, L., Presmanes, B., Vazquez, L., et al. (1996). Technology foresight: Perspectives for European and international co-operation. Manchester: PREST. Final Report to European Commission DG XII.
Zurück zum Zitat EFMN. (2009). Mapping foresight: Revealing how Europe and other world regions navigate into the future. Brussels: European Foresight Monitoring Network (EFMN), European Commission. EFMN. (2009). Mapping foresight: Revealing how Europe and other world regions navigate into the future. Brussels: European Foresight Monitoring Network (EFMN), European Commission.
Zurück zum Zitat Keenan, M., & Miles, I. (2008). Scoping and planning foresight. In L. Georghiou, J. Cassingena Harper, M. Keenan, I. Miles, & R. Popper (Eds.), The handbook of technology foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Keenan, M., & Miles, I. (2008). Scoping and planning foresight. In L. Georghiou, J. Cassingena Harper, M. Keenan, I. Miles, & R. Popper (Eds.), The handbook of technology foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Zurück zum Zitat Miles, I. (2013). Interactive impacts—Foresight as a product, service and coproduction process. In D. Meissner, L. Gokhberg, & A. Sokolov (Eds.), Science, technology and innovation policy for the future: Potentials and limits of foresight studies (pp. 60–82). Berlin: Springer. Miles, I. (2013). Interactive impacts—Foresight as a product, service and coproduction process. In D. Meissner, L. Gokhberg, & A. Sokolov (Eds.), Science, technology and innovation policy for the future: Potentials and limits of foresight studies (pp. 60–82). Berlin: Springer.
Zurück zum Zitat Miles, I., & Keenan, M. (Eds.). (2002). Practical guide to regional foresight in the United Kingdom. Luxembourg: European Commission. EUR 20478. ISBN 92 894 4682 (versions of this report were prepared for every EU15 country except Luxembourg). Retrieved January 14, 2016, from http://cordis.europa.eu/foresight/cgrf.htm Miles, I., & Keenan, M. (Eds.). (2002). Practical guide to regional foresight in the United Kingdom. Luxembourg: European Commission. EUR 20478. ISBN 92 894 4682 (versions of this report were prepared for every EU15 country except Luxembourg). Retrieved January 14, 2016, from http://​cordis.​europa.​eu/​foresight/​cgrf.​htm
Zurück zum Zitat Popper, R. (2008). Foresight methodology. In L. Georghiou et al. (Eds.), The handbook of technology foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Popper, R. (2008). Foresight methodology. In L. Georghiou et al. (Eds.), The handbook of technology foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Zurück zum Zitat Saritas, O., & Burmaoglu, S. (2015). The evolution of the use of foresight methods—A scientometric analysis of global research output for cutting-edge FTA approaches. Scientometrics, 105(1), 497–508.CrossRef Saritas, O., & Burmaoglu, S. (2015). The evolution of the use of foresight methods—A scientometric analysis of global research output for cutting-edge FTA approaches. Scientometrics, 105(1), 497–508.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Initiation: Scoping and Managing ForSTI
verfasst von
Ian Miles
Ozcan Saritas
Alexander Sokolov
Copyright-Jahr
2016
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32574-3_3

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