Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Environmental Earth Sciences 11/2017

01.06.2017 | Original Article

Integration of inland and coastal storms for flood hazard assessment using a distributed hydrologic model

verfasst von: Mohammad Karamouz, Ali Razmi, Sara Nazif, Zahra Zahmatkesh

Erschienen in: Environmental Earth Sciences | Ausgabe 11/2017

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Due to increasing flood severities and frequencies, studies on coastal vulnerability assessment are of increasing concern. Evaluation of flood inundation depth and extent is the first issue in flood vulnerability analysis. This study has proposed a practical framework for reliable coastal floodplain delineation considering both inland and coastal flooding. New York City (NYC) has been considered as the case study because of its vulnerability to storm surge-induced hazards. For floodplain delineation, a distributed hydrologic model is used. In the proposed method, the severities of combined inland and coastal floods for different recurrence intervals are determined. Through analyzing past storms in the study region, a referenced (base) configuration of rainfall and storm surge is selected to be used for defining flood scenarios with different return periods. The inundated areas are determined under different flooding scenarios. The inundation maps of 2012 superstorm Sandy in NYC is simulated and compared with the FEMA revised maps which shows a close agreement. This methodology could be of significant value to the planners and engineers working on the preparedness of coastal urban communities against storms by providing a platform for updating inundation maps as new events are observed and new information becomes available.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Bedient PB, Huber WC (1992) Hydrology and floodplain analysis. Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Menlo Park Bedient PB, Huber WC (1992) Hydrology and floodplain analysis. Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Menlo Park
Zurück zum Zitat Burn DH (1990) Evaluation of regional flood frequency analysis with a region of influence approach. Water Resour Res 26(10):2257–2265CrossRef Burn DH (1990) Evaluation of regional flood frequency analysis with a region of influence approach. Water Resour Res 26(10):2257–2265CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Clark G, Moser S, Ratick S, Dow K et al (1998) Assessing the vulnerability of coastal communities to extreme storms: the case of Revere, MA, USA. Mitig Adapt Strat Global Change 3:59–82CrossRef Clark G, Moser S, Ratick S, Dow K et al (1998) Assessing the vulnerability of coastal communities to extreme storms: the case of Revere, MA, USA. Mitig Adapt Strat Global Change 3:59–82CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Colle BA, Buonaiuto F, Bowman MJ, Wilson RE, Flood R, Hunter R et al (2008) New York City’s vulnerability to coastal flooding. Bull Am Meteor Soc 89(6):829CrossRef Colle BA, Buonaiuto F, Bowman MJ, Wilson RE, Flood R, Hunter R et al (2008) New York City’s vulnerability to coastal flooding. Bull Am Meteor Soc 89(6):829CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cong RG, Brady M (2012) The interdependence between rainfall and temperature: copula analyses. Sci World J 2012, Article ID 405675 Cong RG, Brady M (2012) The interdependence between rainfall and temperature: copula analyses. Sci World J 2012, Article ID 405675
Zurück zum Zitat Cutter L, Mitchell JT, Scott MS (2000) Revealing the vulnerability of people and places: a case study of Georgetown County, South Carolina. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 90:713–737CrossRef Cutter L, Mitchell JT, Scott MS (2000) Revealing the vulnerability of people and places: a case study of Georgetown County, South Carolina. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 90:713–737CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat David SD, Baish S, Morrow BH (1999) Uncovering the hidden costs of coastal hazards. Environment 41(8):10–19 David SD, Baish S, Morrow BH (1999) Uncovering the hidden costs of coastal hazards. Environment 41(8):10–19
Zurück zum Zitat Downer C, Ogden F (2004) GSSHA: model to simulate diverse stream flow producing processes. J Hydrol Eng 9(3):161–174CrossRef Downer C, Ogden F (2004) GSSHA: model to simulate diverse stream flow producing processes. J Hydrol Eng 9(3):161–174CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Downer CW, Ogden FL (2012) GSSHA user’s manual. U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg Downer CW, Ogden FL (2012) GSSHA user’s manual. U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg
Zurück zum Zitat Downer CW, James W, Byrd A, Eggert G (2002) Gridded surface subsurface hydrologic analysis (GSSHA) model simulation of hydrologic conditions and restoration scenarios for the judicial Ditch 31 Watershed, Minnesota. Water Quality Technical Note AM-12, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg Downer CW, James W, Byrd A, Eggert G (2002) Gridded surface subsurface hydrologic analysis (GSSHA) model simulation of hydrologic conditions and restoration scenarios for the judicial Ditch 31 Watershed, Minnesota. Water Quality Technical Note AM-12, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg
Zurück zum Zitat Gilroy KL, McCuen RH (2012) A non-stationary flood frequency analysis method to adjust for future climate change and urbanization. J Hydrol 414:40–48CrossRef Gilroy KL, McCuen RH (2012) A non-stationary flood frequency analysis method to adjust for future climate change and urbanization. J Hydrol 414:40–48CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Golian S, Saghafian B, Farokhnia A (2012) Copula-based interpretation of continuous rainfall–runoff simulations of a watershed in northern Iran. Can J Earth Sci 49(5):681–691CrossRef Golian S, Saghafian B, Farokhnia A (2012) Copula-based interpretation of continuous rainfall–runoff simulations of a watershed in northern Iran. Can J Earth Sci 49(5):681–691CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Horritt MS, Bates PD (2001) Predicting floodplain inundation: raster-based modelling versus the finite-element approach. Hydrol Process 15:825–842CrossRef Horritt MS, Bates PD (2001) Predicting floodplain inundation: raster-based modelling versus the finite-element approach. Hydrol Process 15:825–842CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hunt JC (2005) Inland and coastal flooding: developments in prediction and prevention. Philos Trans R Soc A 363(1831):1475–1491CrossRef Hunt JC (2005) Inland and coastal flooding: developments in prediction and prevention. Philos Trans R Soc A 363(1831):1475–1491CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Karamouz M, Goharian E, Zahmatkesh Z, Nazif S (2014a) Combined impact of inland and coastal floods: mapping knowledge base for development of planning strategies. J Water Resour Plann Manag 141:04014098CrossRef Karamouz M, Goharian E, Zahmatkesh Z, Nazif S (2014a) Combined impact of inland and coastal floods: mapping knowledge base for development of planning strategies. J Water Resour Plann Manag 141:04014098CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Karamouz M, Zahmatkesh Z, Nazif S, Razmi A (2014b) An evaluation of climate change impacts on extreme sea level variability: coastal area of New York City. Water Resour Manag. doi:10.1007/s11269-014-0698-8 Karamouz M, Zahmatkesh Z, Nazif S, Razmi A (2014b) An evaluation of climate change impacts on extreme sea level variability: coastal area of New York City. Water Resour Manag. doi:10.​1007/​s11269-014-0698-8
Zurück zum Zitat Khaliq MN, Ouarda TBMJ, Ondo J-C, Gachon P, Bobee B (2006) Frequency analysis of a sequence of dependent and/or non-stationary hydro-meteorological observations: a review. J Hydrol 329:534–552CrossRef Khaliq MN, Ouarda TBMJ, Ondo J-C, Gachon P, Bobee B (2006) Frequency analysis of a sequence of dependent and/or non-stationary hydro-meteorological observations: a review. J Hydrol 329:534–552CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Li LC, Zhang LP, Xia J, Gippel CJ, Wang RC, Zeng SD (2015) Implications of modelled climate and land cover changes on runoff in the middle route of the south to north water transfer project in China. Water Resour Manag. doi:10.1007/s11269-015-0957-3 Li LC, Zhang LP, Xia J, Gippel CJ, Wang RC, Zeng SD (2015) Implications of modelled climate and land cover changes on runoff in the middle route of the south to north water transfer project in China. Water Resour Manag. doi:10.​1007/​s11269-015-0957-3
Zurück zum Zitat Lin N, Emanuel KA, Oppenheimer M, Vanmarke E (2012) Physically based assessment of hurricane surge under climate change. Nat Clim Change 2(6):1–6CrossRef Lin N, Emanuel KA, Oppenheimer M, Vanmarke E (2012) Physically based assessment of hurricane surge under climate change. Nat Clim Change 2(6):1–6CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Maidment DR (1993) Handbook of hydrology. McGraw-Hill, New York Maidment DR (1993) Handbook of hydrology. McGraw-Hill, New York
Zurück zum Zitat Mileti D (1999) Disasters by design: a reassessment of natural hazards in the United States. The Joseph Henry Press, Washington, DC Mileti D (1999) Disasters by design: a reassessment of natural hazards in the United States. The Joseph Henry Press, Washington, DC
Zurück zum Zitat Morrow BH (1999) Identifying and mapping community vulnerability. Disasters 23:1–18CrossRef Morrow BH (1999) Identifying and mapping community vulnerability. Disasters 23:1–18CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Needham HF, Keim BD, Sathiaraj D, Shafer M (2012) Storm surge return periods for the United States Gulf Coast. In: Loucks ED (ed) World environmental and water resources congress 2012: crossing boundaries. Environmental and Water Resources Institute, Reston, VA, pp 2422–2463CrossRef Needham HF, Keim BD, Sathiaraj D, Shafer M (2012) Storm surge return periods for the United States Gulf Coast. In: Loucks ED (ed) World environmental and water resources congress 2012: crossing boundaries. Environmental and Water Resources Institute, Reston, VA, pp 2422–2463CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Pielke RA Jr, Downton MW, Barnard Miller JZ (2002) Flood damage in the United States, 1926-2000: a reanalysis of national weather service estimates. UCAR, Boulder Pielke RA Jr, Downton MW, Barnard Miller JZ (2002) Flood damage in the United States, 1926-2000: a reanalysis of national weather service estimates. UCAR, Boulder
Zurück zum Zitat Rosenzweig C, Solecki WD, Blake R, Bowman M, Faris C, Gornitz V et al (2011) Developing coastal adaptation to climate change in the New York City infrastructure-shed: process, approach, tools, and strategies. Clim Change 106(1):93–127CrossRef Rosenzweig C, Solecki WD, Blake R, Bowman M, Faris C, Gornitz V et al (2011) Developing coastal adaptation to climate change in the New York City infrastructure-shed: process, approach, tools, and strategies. Clim Change 106(1):93–127CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Roussas G (2014) Chapter 7—joint probability density function of two random variables and related quantities. Introduction to probability, 2nd edn, pp 137–161 Roussas G (2014) Chapter 7—joint probability density function of two random variables and related quantities. Introduction to probability, 2nd edn, pp 137–161
Zurück zum Zitat Sharif HO, Sparks L, Hassan AA, Zeitler J, Xie H (2010) Application of a distributed hydrologic model to the November 17, 2004, flood of Bull Creek watershed, Austin, Texas. J Hydrol Eng 15(8):651–657CrossRef Sharif HO, Sparks L, Hassan AA, Zeitler J, Xie H (2010) Application of a distributed hydrologic model to the November 17, 2004, flood of Bull Creek watershed, Austin, Texas. J Hydrol Eng 15(8):651–657CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Shrestha PL, James SC, Shaller PJ, Doroudian M, Peraza DB, Morgan TA (2014) Estimating the storm surge recurrence interval for Hurricane Sandy. In: World environmental and water resources congress 2014: water without borders Shrestha PL, James SC, Shaller PJ, Doroudian M, Peraza DB, Morgan TA (2014) Estimating the storm surge recurrence interval for Hurricane Sandy. In: World environmental and water resources congress 2014: water without borders
Zurück zum Zitat Song JB, Wei E, Hou YJ (2004) Joint statistical distribution of two-point sea surface elevations in finite water depth. Coast Eng 50(4):169–179CrossRef Song JB, Wei E, Hou YJ (2004) Joint statistical distribution of two-point sea surface elevations in finite water depth. Coast Eng 50(4):169–179CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Toda K, Inoue K, Nishikori T, Nakagawa Y (2005) Inundation analysis by heavy rainfall in urban area considering branch sewer effect. In: Proceedings of the international conference on monitoring, prediction and mitigation of water related disasters, Kyoto, Japan, pp 137–141 Toda K, Inoue K, Nishikori T, Nakagawa Y (2005) Inundation analysis by heavy rainfall in urban area considering branch sewer effect. In: Proceedings of the international conference on monitoring, prediction and mitigation of water related disasters, Kyoto, Japan, pp 137–141
Zurück zum Zitat Xu S, Huang W (2008) Integrated hydrodynamic modeling and frequency analysis for predicting 1% storm surge. J Coastal Res 52:253–260CrossRef Xu S, Huang W (2008) Integrated hydrodynamic modeling and frequency analysis for predicting 1% storm surge. J Coastal Res 52:253–260CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Xu K, Ma C, Lian J, Bin L (2014) Joint probability analysis of extreme precipitation and storm tide in a coastal city under changing environment. PLoS ONE 9(10):e109341CrossRef Xu K, Ma C, Lian J, Bin L (2014) Joint probability analysis of extreme precipitation and storm tide in a coastal city under changing environment. PLoS ONE 9(10):e109341CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yang J, Townsend RD, Daneshfar B (2006) Applying the HEC-RAS model and GIS techniques in river network floodplain delineation. Can J Civil Eng 33(1):19–28CrossRef Yang J, Townsend RD, Daneshfar B (2006) Applying the HEC-RAS model and GIS techniques in river network floodplain delineation. Can J Civil Eng 33(1):19–28CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang HD, Cherneva Z, Guedes Soares C (2013) Joint distributions of wave height and period in laboratory generated nonlinear sea states. Ocean Eng 74:72–80CrossRef Zhang HD, Cherneva Z, Guedes Soares C (2013) Joint distributions of wave height and period in laboratory generated nonlinear sea states. Ocean Eng 74:72–80CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zheng N, Tachikawa Y, Takara K (2008) A distributed flood inundation model integrating with rainfall-runoff processes using GIS and remote sensing data. The international archives of the photogrammetry, remote sensing and spatial information sciences, vol XXXVII, Part B4 Zheng N, Tachikawa Y, Takara K (2008) A distributed flood inundation model integrating with rainfall-runoff processes using GIS and remote sensing data. The international archives of the photogrammetry, remote sensing and spatial information sciences, vol XXXVII, Part B4
Metadaten
Titel
Integration of inland and coastal storms for flood hazard assessment using a distributed hydrologic model
verfasst von
Mohammad Karamouz
Ali Razmi
Sara Nazif
Zahra Zahmatkesh
Publikationsdatum
01.06.2017
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
Environmental Earth Sciences / Ausgabe 11/2017
Print ISSN: 1866-6280
Elektronische ISSN: 1866-6299
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6722-6

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 11/2017

Environmental Earth Sciences 11/2017 Zur Ausgabe