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Erschienen in: The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 2/2013

01.08.2013

Is There Volatility Convergence in Asia-Pacific Securitized Real Estate Markets?

verfasst von: Kim Hiang Liow, Wei Chen

Erschienen in: The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics | Ausgabe 2/2013

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Abstract

We assess whether a group of eight Asia-Pacific securitized real estate markets display similar volatility trend over the past 15 years, 1995–2009, using an econometric model that incorporates common volatility effects across the sample markets. The empirical results indicate the presence of at least one common variance component, and thus partial volatility convergence, among the sample Asia real estate securities markets. During the global financial crisis period, some real estate securities markets are co-integrated in both their first and second moments and demonstrate partial price and volatility convergence. Our analysis that focuses in capturing the common roots in the second moment whilst accounting for time-varying variance has important implications for international real estate portfolio investment.

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Fußnoten
1
It should be noted that during this period, the public real estate sectors in North America and Europe were affected adversely by the global financial crisis. Consequently their market capitalizations had fallen quite dramatically. The US REIT sector reported a 50% drop its market capitalization. In contrast, the relative size of the Asia-Pacific securitized real estate markets recorded a high of 48% of global real estate. We would like to thank the reviewer for raising this comment.
 
2
For the purpose of investigating volatility convergence during the global financial crisis period, we divide the 15-year full study period from January 1995–December 2009 into three shorter sample periods; (a) Jan95–Dec99, (b) Jan00–Dec04, and (c) Jan05–Dec09, which includes the crisis period. We focus on (c).
 
3
The first shorter sample period (Jan95–Dec 99) includes the 2007/08 Asian financial crisis (AFC) that affected the Asia-Pacific countries far more than North America and Europe. Since several papers have comprehensively investigated the impact of the AFC on the return, volatility and correlation linkages across global securitized real estate markets (see for example, Liow 1998), we will only assess the effect of the GFC on volatility linkages, which has received less formal attention in the real estate literature.
 
4
This S&P global property database, the latest international public real estate database in the market, is designed to reflect components of the broad universe of investable international real estate stocks reflecting their risk and return characteristics. In total, the database has indices (both capitalization weighted and float adjusted) comprised of over 500 companies from more than 35 developed and emerging markets with a minimum market value of $100 million (Serrano and Hoesli, 2009).
 
5
Thailand and Indonesia were excluded from the study due to large number of missing time series data.
 
6
We follow S&P Property classification-Asia-Pacific developed (Australia, Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore) and Asia-Pacific developing (China, Taiwan, Malaysia and the Philippines).
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Is There Volatility Convergence in Asia-Pacific Securitized Real Estate Markets?
verfasst von
Kim Hiang Liow
Wei Chen
Publikationsdatum
01.08.2013
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics / Ausgabe 2/2013
Print ISSN: 0895-5638
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-045X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11146-011-9356-6

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