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European Actuarial Journal OnlineFirst articles

03.04.2024 | Discussion on recent papers

Discussion on ‘A resimulation framework for event loss tables based on clustering’ by Benedikt Funke and Harmen Roering

Benedikt Funke and Harmen Roering [ 1 ] suggested a method to increase the performance of a resimulation of loss occurrence (cumul loss, ground up/gross loss, see [ 2 ]) from event loss tables (ELT). An ELT is the result of a model for natural …

verfasst von:
Mathias Raschke

21.03.2024 | Original Research Paper

Asymptotic capital allocation based on the higher moment risk measure

We investigate capital allocation based on the higher moment risk measure at a confidence level $$q\in (0,1)$$ q ∈ ( 0 , 1 ) . To reflect the excessive prudence of today’s regulatory frameworks in banking and insurance, we consider the extreme …

verfasst von:
Yiqing Chen, Jiajun Liu

Open Access 06.03.2024 | Case Study

A neural network approach for the mortality analysis of multiple populations: a case study on data of the Italian population

A Neural Network (NN) approach for the modelling of mortality rates in a multi-population framework is compared to three classical mortality models. The NN setup contains two instances of Recurrent NNs, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and …

verfasst von:
Maximilian Euthum, Matthias Scherer, Francesco Ungolo

19.01.2024 | Original Research Paper

Evaluation of participating endowment life insurance policies in a stochastic environment

Participating life insurance contracts are policies that provide dividends (participation bonuses) based on the insurer’s financial performance. While these products are popular, there exists a gap in the literature for the analysis of these …

verfasst von:
Ramin Eghbalzadeh, Patrice Gaillardetz, Frédéric Godin

20.12.2023 | Original Research Paper

Forecasting, interventions and selection: the benefits of a causal mortality model

Integrating epidemiological information into mortality models has the potential to improve forecasting accuracy and facilitate the assessment of preventive measures that reduce disease risk. While probabilistic models are often used for mortality …

verfasst von:
Snorre Jallbjørn, Søren F. Jarner, Niels R. Hansen

16.12.2023 | Publisher Correction

Publisher Correction: A new approximation of annuity prices for age–period–cohort models

verfasst von:
Jean-François Bégin, Nikhil Kapoor, Barbara Sanders

Open Access 07.12.2023 | Case Study

A COVID-19 stress test for life insurance: insights into the effectiveness of different risk mitigation strategies

COVID-19 has affected mortality rates and financial markets worldwide. Against this background, we perform a COVID-19 stress test for life insurance, considering a joint financial and mortality shock, to evaluate the effectiveness of different …

verfasst von:
Moritz Hanika

Open Access 14.11.2023 | Letter

Longevity trend in Germany

In Germany, a trend for decreasing mortality probabilities has been observed in the last 50 years, yielding an increasing life expectancy. The German Actuarial Association DAV offers a standard method for modeling this longevity trend in …

verfasst von:
Matthias Reitzner

Open Access 08.11.2023 | Original Research Paper

A multi-task network approach for calculating discrimination-free insurance prices

In applications of predictive modeling, such as insurance pricing, indirect or proxy discrimination is an issue of major concern. Namely, there exists the possibility that protected policyholder characteristics are implicitly inferred from …

verfasst von:
Mathias Lindholm, Ronald Richman, Andreas Tsanakas, Mario V. Wüthrich

08.11.2023 | Original Research Paper

A Bonus-Malus framework for cyber risk insurance and optimal cybersecurity provisioning

The cyber risk insurance market is at a nascent stage of its development, even as the magnitude of cyber losses is significant and the rate of cyber loss events is increasing. Existing cyber risk insurance products as well as academic studies have …

verfasst von:
Qikun Xiang, Ariel Neufeld, Gareth W. Peters, Ido Nevat, Anwitaman Datta

08.11.2023 | Letter

A new approximation of annuity prices for age–period–cohort models

This letter presents a new general formula for estimating annuity prices within a wide range of stochastic mortality models. The formula is constructed using two building blocks: an approximation technique based on the Wentzel–Kramers–Brillouin …

verfasst von:
Jean-François Bégin, Nikhil Kapoor, Barbara Sanders

Open Access 01.11.2023 | Original Research Paper

Detection of interacting variables for generalized linear models via neural networks

The quality of generalized linear models (GLMs), frequently used by insurance companies, depends on the choice of interacting variables. The search for interactions is time-consuming, especially for data sets with a large number of variables …

verfasst von:
Yevhen Havrylenko, Julia Heger

Open Access 07.10.2023 | Original Research Paper

Two-dimensional forward and backward transition rates

Forward transition rates were originally introduced with the aim to evaluate life insurance liabilities market-consistently. While this idea turned out to have its limitations, recent literature repurposes forward transition rates as a tool for …

verfasst von:
Theis Bathke, Marcus C. Christiansen