Skip to main content

2018 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

From Reason and Rasmussen to Kahneman and Thaler: Styles of Thinking and Human Reliability in High Hazard Industries

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Much of the practical work conducted to minimise risk of human error and loss of human reliability, at least in oil and gas, chemicals and other process industries over the past 30 or so years, has been based on the model of basic error types known as the Generic Error Modelling System (GEMS). Over roughly the same period, psychologists and behavioural economists, have developed a rich understanding of the nature and characteristics of what, in simplified terms, are widely considered to be two styles of thinking – often referred to as “System 1” and “System 2”. This paper explores the relationship between the GEMS model and what is known of the functioning of the two styles of thinking, and in particular the characteristics and biases associated with System 1 thinking. While many of the ideas behind the two styles of thinking are embedded in the GEMS model, there are some important omissions.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Kahneman, D.: Thinking, Fast and Slow. Allen Lane, London (2011) Kahneman, D.: Thinking, Fast and Slow. Allen Lane, London (2011)
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Reason, J.: Human Error. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1990)CrossRef Reason, J.: Human Error. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1990)CrossRef
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Kahneman, D., Klein, G.: Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree. Am. Psychol. 64(6), 515–526 (2009)CrossRef Kahneman, D., Klein, G.: Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree. Am. Psychol. 64(6), 515–526 (2009)CrossRef
4.
Zurück zum Zitat CSB: Investigation report Volume 3: Drilling rig explosion and fire at the Macondo well. Report no 2010-10-I-OS: Investigation report Volume 3. Chemical Safety Board (2016) CSB: Investigation report Volume 3: Drilling rig explosion and fire at the Macondo well. Report no 2010-10-I-OS: Investigation report Volume 3. Chemical Safety Board (2016)
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Swain, A.D., Guttman, H.E.: Handbook of human reliability analysis with emphasis on nuclear power plant applications. Final report, NUREG/CR-1278, USNRC (1983) Swain, A.D., Guttman, H.E.: Handbook of human reliability analysis with emphasis on nuclear power plant applications. Final report, NUREG/CR-1278, USNRC (1983)
6.
Zurück zum Zitat McLeod, R.W.: Implications of styles of thinking for risk awareness and decision-making in safety critical operations. Cognitia 22(3), Human Factors and Ergonomics Society (2016) McLeod, R.W.: Implications of styles of thinking for risk awareness and decision-making in safety critical operations. Cognitia 22(3), Human Factors and Ergonomics Society (2016)
7.
Zurück zum Zitat McLeod, R.W.: Human factors in barrier management: hard truths and challenges. Process Saf. Environ. Perform (In Press). IChemE McLeod, R.W.: Human factors in barrier management: hard truths and challenges. Process Saf. Environ. Perform (In Press). IChemE
8.
Zurück zum Zitat RAIB: Fatal accident involving a track worker near Newark North gate station, 22 January 2014. Report 01/2015, Rail Accident Investigation Branch (2015) RAIB: Fatal accident involving a track worker near Newark North gate station, 22 January 2014. Report 01/2015, Rail Accident Investigation Branch (2015)
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Thaler, R.: Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioural Economics. Allen Lane, London (2015) Thaler, R.: Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioural Economics. Allen Lane, London (2015)
10.
Zurück zum Zitat McLeod, R.W.: Designing for Human Reliability: Human Factors Engineering for the Oil, Gas and Process Industries. Gulf Professional Publishing, Houston (2015) McLeod, R.W.: Designing for Human Reliability: Human Factors Engineering for the Oil, Gas and Process Industries. Gulf Professional Publishing, Houston (2015)
11.
Zurück zum Zitat McLeod, R.W.: The impact of styles of thinking and cognitive bias on how people assess risk and make real world decisions in oil and gas companies. Oil and Gas Facilities, Society of Petroleum Engineers (2016) McLeod, R.W.: The impact of styles of thinking and cognitive bias on how people assess risk and make real world decisions in oil and gas companies. Oil and Gas Facilities, Society of Petroleum Engineers (2016)
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research: Building a Psychological Foundation for Human Reliability Analysis. NUREG-2114, INL/EXT-11-23898 (2012) Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research: Building a Psychological Foundation for Human Reliability Analysis. NUREG-2114, INL/EXT-11-23898 (2012)
13.
Zurück zum Zitat IFE: The PetroHRA guideline. IFE/HR/E-2017/001, Institute for Energy Technology (2017) IFE: The PetroHRA guideline. IFE/HR/E-2017/001, Institute for Energy Technology (2017)
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Weick, K.E., Sutcliffe, K.M.: Managing the Unexpected: Resilient Performance in an Age of Uncertainty, 2nd edn. Jossey-Bass, San Francisco (2007) Weick, K.E., Sutcliffe, K.M.: Managing the Unexpected: Resilient Performance in an Age of Uncertainty, 2nd edn. Jossey-Bass, San Francisco (2007)
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Dekker, S.: The Field Guide to Understanding Human Error. Ashgate, Farnham (2006) Dekker, S.: The Field Guide to Understanding Human Error. Ashgate, Farnham (2006)
Metadaten
Titel
From Reason and Rasmussen to Kahneman and Thaler: Styles of Thinking and Human Reliability in High Hazard Industries
verfasst von
Ronald W. McLeod
Copyright-Jahr
2018
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-60645-3_11