Skip to main content

2018 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Estimating an Energy-Social Accounting Matrix for Italy

verfasst von : Marco Rao, Umberto Ciorba, Giovanni Trovato, Carmela Notaro, Cataldo Ferrarese

Erschienen in: The New Generation of Computable General Equilibrium Models

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This chapter describes an application of the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) to the analysis of the economic impact of energy policies in Italy. An Energy Social Accounting Matrix (ESAM) is estimated for the year 2010 using as an input a general purpose technology-oriented model (of the MARKAL—TIMES family) representing the evolution of the Italian energy environment and a variant of the Wolsky procedure.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
ISTAT uses the Ateco classification, i.e. the national classification derived from NACE (European nomenclature of economic activities). The Nace is the European reference for the production and dissemination of statistical data on economic activity. Since it was drafted in 1970, the EU Member States have relied on it (or on national classifications derivatives), by using it in the European statistical system for the production of internationally comparable data.
 
3
The TIMES-Italy model (http://​www.​enea.​it/​it/​seguici/​le-parole-dellenergia/​glossario/​parole/​times) could provide even more disaggregated data (the level of activity and cost of each single technology). It has been chosen to adopt the National Balance (NEB) aggregation scheme for two main reasons: because its a reference framework universally accepted by the experts of the energy sector and cause it minimizes the problems in estimating missing data through a complete explication of the TIMES-Italy technologies.
 
4
The MARKAL/TIMES family are energy/economic/environmental models supporting a rich technology detail. MARKAL/TIMES were developed in a collaborative effort under the auspices of the International Energy Agency’s Energy Technology Systems Analysis Program, which started in 1978. See: http://​www.​energyplan.​eu/​othertools/​national/​markaltimes/​.
 
5
Such an investment would likely produce negative effects on the environment and on human health. However, the evaluation of these effects goes beyond the scope of our study.
 
6
We distinguish between impact analysis for the “construction period” (CP) and for the “operating period” (OP). In the CP the “Investment” sector is exogenous and the effect of each additional investment is evaluated. In the OP, the sector that became the “owner” of the investment is considered exogenous and the impact of the change on current expenditure in the sector is assessed.
 
7
Strategia Energetica Nazionale, in Italian language: see point 4.6 of the approved document, page 110.
 
8
Nomisma Energia—“Idrocarburi e occupazione” presentation at the Assomineraria Conference 30-3-2010.
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Batten, D. F., & Boyce, D. E. (1986). Spatial interaction, transportation and interregional commodity flow models. In P. Nijkamp (Ed.), Handbook of regional and urban economics (Vol. 1, pp. 357–406). Amsterdam: North-Holland. Batten, D. F., & Boyce, D. E. (1986). Spatial interaction, transportation and interregional commodity flow models. In P. Nijkamp (Ed.), Handbook of regional and urban economics (Vol. 1, pp. 357–406). Amsterdam: North-Holland.
Zurück zum Zitat Batten, D. F. (1983). Spatial analysis of interacting economics. In Boston et al. (Eds.), Kluwer-Nijhoff.CrossRef Batten, D. F. (1983). Spatial analysis of interacting economics. In Boston et al. (Eds.), Kluwer-Nijhoff.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cao Pinna, V. (Ed.). 1980, Il sistema energetico italiano nel quadro dell’economia nazionale. Anno 1975. Special Issue of the Journal ENERGIA. Cao Pinna, V. (Ed.). 1980, Il sistema energetico italiano nel quadro dell’economia nazionale. Anno 1975. Special Issue of the Journal ENERGIA.
Zurück zum Zitat Caputo, M. R., & Paris, Q. (2000). Comparative statics of the generalised maximum entropy estimator of the general linear model. Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Davis: Working Paper. Caputo, M. R., & Paris, Q. (2000). Comparative statics of the generalised maximum entropy estimator of the general linear model. Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Davis: Working Paper.
Zurück zum Zitat Commissione Europea. (1999). Regolamento Comunitario N.1260/99, 21 June 1999. Commissione Europea. (1999). Regolamento Comunitario N.1260/99, 21 June 1999.
Zurück zum Zitat Commissione per la garanzia dell’informazione statistica. (2001). I Conti Economici Regionali: Alcune Possibili Estensioni. Presidenza del consiglio dei ministri: Rapporto di Ricerca. Commissione per la garanzia dell’informazione statistica. (2001). I Conti Economici Regionali: Alcune Possibili Estensioni. Presidenza del consiglio dei ministri: Rapporto di Ricerca.
Zurück zum Zitat Deming, W. E., Stephan, F. F. (1940). On a least squares adjustment of a sampled frequency table when the expected marginal totals are known. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 11(4), 427–444. Institute of Mathematical Statistics.CrossRef Deming, W. E., Stephan, F. F. (1940). On a least squares adjustment of a sampled frequency table when the expected marginal totals are known. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 11(4), 427–444. Institute of Mathematical Statistics.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fossati, A. (1991). Equilibrio generale e simulazioni, Aspetti teorici e applicazioni al caso Italia: IVA-IRPEF-oneri sociali. Milano: Franco Angeli. Fossati, A. (1991). Equilibrio generale e simulazioni, Aspetti teorici e applicazioni al caso Italia: IVA-IRPEF-oneri sociali. Milano: Franco Angeli.
Zurück zum Zitat Gaeta, M., & Baldissara, B. (2011). Il modello energetico TIMES-Italia. ENEA: Struttura e dati. Gaeta, M., & Baldissara, B. (2011). Il modello energetico TIMES-Italia. ENEA: Struttura e dati.
Zurück zum Zitat Golan, A., Judge, G. G., & Miller, D. (1996). Maximum entropy econometrics: Robust estimation with limited data. Hoboken: Wiley. Golan, A., Judge, G. G., & Miller, D. (1996). Maximum entropy econometrics: Robust estimation with limited data. Hoboken: Wiley.
Zurück zum Zitat Hartman, R. S., Wheeler, D., Singh, M. (1997). The cost of air pollution abatement. Applied Economics 29, 759–774.CrossRef Hartman, R. S., Wheeler, D., Singh, M. (1997). The cost of air pollution abatement. Applied Economics 29, 759–774.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat ISTAT. (2006). Le tavole delle Risorse e degli impieghi e la loro trasformazione in tavole simmetriche—Nota metodologica, ISTAT Roma. ISTAT. (2006). Le tavole delle Risorse e degli impieghi e la loro trasformazione in tavole simmetriche—Nota metodologica, ISTAT Roma.
Zurück zum Zitat Kadas, S. A., & Klafszky, E. (1976). Estimation of the parameters in the gravity model for trip distribution: A new method and solution algorithm. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 6, 439–457.CrossRef Kadas, S. A., & Klafszky, E. (1976). Estimation of the parameters in the gravity model for trip distribution: A new method and solution algorithm. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 6, 439–457.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kolmogorov, A. N. (1968). Logical basis for information theory and probability theory. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 14, 662–664.CrossRef Kolmogorov, A. N. (1968). Logical basis for information theory and probability theory. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 14, 662–664.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kullback, S. (1968). Probability densities with given marginals. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 39(4), 1236–1243. Institute of Mathematical Statistics.CrossRef Kullback, S. (1968). Probability densities with given marginals. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 39(4), 1236–1243. Institute of Mathematical Statistics.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Leontief, W. (1965). The economic impact—Industrial and regional—of the arms cut. Review of Economics and Statistics 43. Leontief, W. (1965). The economic impact—Industrial and regional—of the arms cut. Review of Economics and Statistics 43.
Zurück zum Zitat McDougall, R. (1999). Entropy theory and RAS are friends. GTAP working papers 300. Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University. McDougall, R. (1999). Entropy theory and RAS are friends. GTAP working papers 300. Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
Zurück zum Zitat Norton, R., Scandizzo, P. L. (1981). Market equilibrium computations in activity analysis models. Operations Research, 29(2).CrossRef Norton, R., Scandizzo, P. L. (1981). Market equilibrium computations in activity analysis models. Operations Research, 29(2).CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat OECD/IEA. (2004). Energy statistics manual. Paris, OECD/IEA. OECD/IEA. (2004). Energy statistics manual. Paris, OECD/IEA.
Zurück zum Zitat Pennisi, G., Scandizzo, P. L. (2003). Valutare l’Incertezza, L’Analisi Costi Benefici nel 21 Secolo. Giappichelli, Torino. Pennisi, G., Scandizzo, P. L. (2003). Valutare l’Incertezza, L’Analisi Costi Benefici nel 21 Secolo. Giappichelli, Torino.
Zurück zum Zitat Pollin, R. et al. (2008). Green recovery: A program to create good jobs & start building a low-carbon economy. Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Pollin, R. et al. (2008). Green recovery: A program to create good jobs & start building a low-carbon economy. Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst.
Zurück zum Zitat Pyatt, G., Round J. I. (1979). Social accounting matrix for development planning. The Review of Income and Wealth, 23(24). Pyatt, G., Round J. I. (1979). Social accounting matrix for development planning. The Review of Income and Wealth, 23(24).
Zurück zum Zitat Rao, M., Ciorba, U., Trovato, G., Notaro, C., Ferrarese, C. (2014). Costruzione di una matrice di contabilità sociale allargata al settore energetico—Un’applicazione della procedura di Wolsky alla SAM italiana del 2010. RT ENEA/14/2012. Rao, M., Ciorba, U., Trovato, G., Notaro, C., Ferrarese, C. (2014). Costruzione di una matrice di contabilità sociale allargata al settore energetico—Un’applicazione della procedura di Wolsky alla SAM italiana del 2010. RT ENEA/14/2012.
Zurück zum Zitat Round, J. I. (1985). Decomposition multipliers for economic systems involving regional and world trade. Economic Journal, 95, 383–399.CrossRef Round, J. I. (1985). Decomposition multipliers for economic systems involving regional and world trade. Economic Journal, 95, 383–399.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Scandizzo, P. L., Ferrarese, C., Vezzani, A. (2010). La Matrice Di Contabilità Sociale: Una nuova metodologia di stima. Il Risparmio Review. Scandizzo, P. L., Ferrarese, C., Vezzani, A. (2010). La Matrice Di Contabilità Sociale: Una nuova metodologia di stima. Il Risparmio Review.
Zurück zum Zitat Scandizzo, P. L. (1990). The estimation of input-output coefficients: Methods and problems. Ricerche Economiche, 44(4), 455–474. Scandizzo, P. L. (1990). The estimation of input-output coefficients: Methods and problems. Ricerche Economiche, 44(4), 455–474.
Zurück zum Zitat Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27, 379–423, 623–656.CrossRef Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27, 379–423, 623–656.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Sinkhorn, R. (1967). Diagonal equivalence of matrices with prescribed row and column sums. The American Mathematical Monthly, 74, 402–405.CrossRef Sinkhorn, R. (1967). Diagonal equivalence of matrices with prescribed row and column sums. The American Mathematical Monthly, 74, 402–405.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Snickars, F., & Weibull, J. W. (1977). A minimum information principle: Theory and practice. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 7, 137–168.CrossRef Snickars, F., & Weibull, J. W. (1977). A minimum information principle: Theory and practice. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 7, 137–168.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Stone, R. & Brown, A. (1962). A computable model of economic growth. University of Cambridge. Dept. of Applied Economics, London:Chapman & Hall. Stone, R. & Brown, A. (1962). A computable model of economic growth. University of Cambridge. Dept. of Applied Economics, London:Chapman & Hall.
Zurück zum Zitat Theil, H. (1967). Economics and information theory, Amsterdam, North Holland. Theil, H. (1967). Economics and information theory, Amsterdam, North Holland.
Zurück zum Zitat Thorbecke, E. (2001). The social accounting matrix: Deterministic or stochastic concept?, Cornell University. Thorbecke, E. (2001). The social accounting matrix: Deterministic or stochastic concept?, Cornell University.
Zurück zum Zitat Wauschkuhn, U. (1982). Anpassung von Stichproben und n-dimensionalen Tabellen an Randbedingungen. München, Wien: R. Oldenbourg. Wauschkuhn, U. (1982). Anpassung von Stichproben und n-dimensionalen Tabellen an Randbedingungen. München, Wien: R. Oldenbourg.
Zurück zum Zitat Wolsky, A. M. (1984). Disaggregating input-output models. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 66(2), 283–291. The MIT Press.CrossRef Wolsky, A. M. (1984). Disaggregating input-output models. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 66(2), 283–291. The MIT Press.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Xie, J. (2000). An environmentally extended social accounting matrix. Environmental and Resource Economics 16, 391–406. Kluwer Academic Publishers.CrossRef Xie, J. (2000). An environmentally extended social accounting matrix. Environmental and Resource Economics 16, 391–406. Kluwer Academic Publishers.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Estimating an Energy-Social Accounting Matrix for Italy
verfasst von
Marco Rao
Umberto Ciorba
Giovanni Trovato
Carmela Notaro
Cataldo Ferrarese
Copyright-Jahr
2018
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58533-8_4