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Environmental Regulations, Transfers, and Trade: Theory and Evidence

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Abstract

This paper develops a theory of compensation of producers for the costs associated with environmental regulations. We show that the existence of transfers can give counter-intuitive effects of environmental policy on both output and trade flows. In particular, the compensation obtained by producers neutralizes the effect of environmental policy on output, and consequently on trade flows. This may help explain why previous empirical research has found weak evidence that environmental regulations affect trade patterns. The theory is tested using agricultural sector data. The evidence supports the hypothesis that environmental regulations and transfers are positively correlated.

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    We thank Torbjörn Becker, Cees van Beers, Peter Christoffersen, William Donnelly, Stratford Douglas, Jerry Fletcher, Robert Inman, Bruce Gardner, Noel Gaston, John List, Leo Maier, Lisa Segnestam, Ronald Steenblik, David Wheeler, participants at presentations at West Virginia University, the World Bank Conference “Trade, Global Policy, and the Environment,” Washington, DC, the CentER Workshop “Environmental Policy, Competitiveness and Locational Behavior of Firms,” Schiermonnikoog, The Netherlands, and the Southern Economic Association Meetings, Baltimore, for constructive discussions and comments on earlier versions of this paper, and the USDA for making data sources available. The two referees and the Associate Editor provided comments that led to a significantly improved final version. We also thank John Dixon for his support. Several of the theoretical results were (essentially) included in a paper (by the second author alone) presented at the EAERE Annual Conference at Tilburg University entitled “Why Don't Environmental Regulations Influence Trade Patterns?” Funding from the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (Sida) within the project “Trade, Macroeconomic Reform, and the Environment” and from the Department of Economics, University of Adelaide, is gratefully acknowledged. The opinions expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the World Bank or Sida. The usual disclaimers apply.

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