Skip to main content
Log in

Estimating regional trading bloc effects with panel data

  • Shorter Paper & Comments
  • Published:
Review of World Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper suggests using a trick when estimating regional trading bloc effects on bilateral trade volumes with panel data. Trading bloc dummies exhibit small variation over time. They should enter the specification twice, once in their original form and once as the between-effects component. Then, one obtains longrun and short-run effects of trading blocs on trade volumes. The paper suggests three different models to tackle this problem. JEL no. C33, F14, F15

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

References

  • Amemiya, T. (1971). The Estimation of the Variances in a Variance-Components Model.International Economic Review 12 (1): 1–13.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baltagi, B. H. (2001).Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. Chichester: John Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baier, S., and J. H. Bergstrand (2002). Is Bilateralism Good? On the, Economics of Free Trade Agreements. Unpublished manuscript, University of Notre Dame.

  • Bergstrand, J. H. (1985). The Gravity Equation in International Trade: Some Microeconomic Foundations and Empirical Evidence.Review of Economics and Statistics 67 (3): 474–481.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cheng, I.-H., and H. J. Wall (2001). Controlling for Heterogeneity in Gravity Models of Trade. Research Division Working Paper 99-010. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, St. Louis.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cornwell, C., P. Schmidt, and D. Wyhowski (1992). Simultaneous Equations and Panel Data.Journal of Econometrics 51 (1–2): 151–181.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Egger, P. (2002a). An Econometric View on the Estimation of Gravity Models and the Calculation of Trade Potentials.The World Economy 25 (2): 297–312.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Egger, P. (2002b). Alternative Techniques for Estimation of Cross-Section Gravity Models.Review of International Economics, forthcoming.

  • Egger, P., and M. Pfaffermayr (2003). The Proper Econometric Specification of the Gravity Equation: A Three-Way Model With Bilateral Interaction Effects.Empirical Economics 28 (3): 571–580.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Glick, R., and A. K. Rose (2002). Does a Currency Union Affect Trade? The Time-Series Evidence.European Economic Review 46 (6): 1125–1151.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Greenaway, D., and C. Milner (2002). Regionalism and Gravity.Scottish Journal of Political Economy 49 (5): 574–585.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification Tests in Econometrics.Econometrica 46 (6): 1251–1271.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hausman, J. A., and W. E. Taylor (1981). Panel Data and Unobservable Individual Effects.Econometrica 49 (6): 1377–1398.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Helpman, E., and P. R. Krugman (1985).Market Structure and Foreign Trade. Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Krueger, A. O. (1999). Trade Creation and Trade Diversion under NAFTA. NBER Working Paper 7429. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass.

    Google Scholar 

  • Linnemann, H. (1966).An Econometric Study of International Trade Flows. Amsterdam: North-Holland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mátyás, L. (1997). Proper Econometric Specification of the Gravity Model.The World Economy 20 (3): 363–368.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mundlak, Y. (1978). On the Pooling of Time Series and Cross-Section Data.Econometrica 46 (1): 69–85.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nilsson, L. (2000). Trade Integration and the EU Economic Membership Criteria.European Journal of Political Economy 16 (4): 807–827.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pakko, M. R., and H. J. Wall (2001). Reconsidering the Trade-Creating Effects of a Currency Union.Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 83 (5): 37–45.

    Google Scholar 

  • Soloaga, I., and L. A. Winters (2001). Regionalism in the Nineties: What Effect on Trade?North American Journal of Economics and Finance 12 (1): 1–29.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tinbergen, J. (1962). Shaping the World Economy: Suggestions for an International Economic Policy. New York: The Twentieth Century Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wall, H. J. (2002). Has Japan Been Left Out in the Cold by Regional Integration?Bank of Japan Monetary and Economic Studies 20 (2): 117–134.

    Google Scholar 

  • Winters, L. A. (1996). Regionalism versus Multilateralism. CEPR Discussion Paper 1525. Centre for Economic Policy Research, London.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Peter Egger.

About this article

Cite this article

Egger, P. Estimating regional trading bloc effects with panel data. Rev. World Econ. 140, 151–166 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02659714

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02659714

Keywords

Navigation