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Spatial and temporal characterization of standard duration-maximum precipitation over Black Sea Region in Turkey

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Abstract

This study characterises the spatial and temporal behaviours of maximum precipitation over the Black Sea Region in northern Turkey. Maximum precipitation data of 14 standard durations changing from 5 min to 24 h were used from 21 meteorological stations in the region with record lengths ranging from 25 to 71 years. In line with the objective of the study, tests for the detection of outliers, homogeneity, and trend were applied in order to reveal the structural characteristics of the data set. Tests detected no outlier, and the homogeneity analysis found only three stations fully homogeneous, all others being inhomogeneous. Change points identified in the data set by the homogeneity tests were linked to the local characteristics of meteorological stations. Trend analysis revealed that slightly more than half of the meteorological stations are exposed to a positive trend in the maximum precipitation of one standard duration at a minimum. The main conclusion is that maximum precipitation is subject to change over the Black Sea Region in Turkey.

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Availability of data and material

The data that support the findings of this study are available from State Meteorology Office of Turkey upon official request.

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Acknowledgements

This study is based on the findings of the project “Impact of Climate Change and Variability on Extreme Precipitation of Black Sea Region”, Project number: 119Y361 funded by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK). The study is a contribution of the authors to the Prediction under Change Working Group under the Panta Rhei decade of International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS).

Funding

This study is based on the findings of the project “Impact of Climate Change and Variability on Extreme Precipitation of Black Sea Region”, Project number: 119Y361 funded by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Meteorological Engineering, Samsun University, Samsun, Turkey

    Hakan Aksu

  2. Department of Agricultural Structures and Irrigation, Cukurova University, Adana, Turkey

    Mahmut Cetin

  3. Department of Civil Engineering, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey

    Hafzullah Aksoy

  4. Department of Civil Engineering, Yildiz Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey

    Sait Genar Yaldiz

  5. Graduate School, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey

    Sait Genar Yaldiz & Isilsu Yildirim

  6. Department of Animal Science, Cukurova University, Adana, Turkey

    Gulsah Keklik

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  1. Hakan Aksu
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  4. Sait Genar Yaldiz
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Contributions

All authors provided critical feedback and helped shape the research, analysis and manuscript. The authors confirm contribution to the paper as follows: HA, MC, HA contributed to study conception and design; SGY, IY, GK contributed to analysis and interpretation of results; HA and IY contributed to draft manuscript preparation. All authors reviewed the results and approved the final version of the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Hakan Aksu.

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Aksu, H., Cetin, M., Aksoy, H. et al. Spatial and temporal characterization of standard duration-maximum precipitation over Black Sea Region in Turkey. Nat Hazards 111, 2379–2405 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05141-6

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