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1999 | Buch

Elements for a Theory of Decision in Uncertainty

verfasst von: Jaime Gil-Aluja

Verlag: Springer US

Buchreihe : Applied Optimization

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Über dieses Buch

Decisions in uncertainty Scientific reaction to change During latter decades, the basic elements that have traditionally made up the society in wh ich economic activity develops, have been submitted to the effect of multiple aggressions as a consequence of the outcome of events motivated by the nature itself of the human being, always seeking a level of happiness that is never reached. In a very brief manner we are accustomed to mention these by using words such as revolution, profound changes, convulsions . . . . , the results of which are manifest through non-linear reactions that lead to a future charged with uncertainty. To get to know, explain and treat this new world constitutes one of the many objectives of those who desire a society in the service of man, and for those who aspire to the fact of the concept of mutuality transcending the use­ less limits of the printed word. But for this it will be necessary to overcome a whole realm of obstacles placed in the way by those comfortably embedded in old principles, decrepit ideas and are not willing to open the windows of their mind to receive the fresh air of a new era.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter
Introduction
Decisions in uncertainty
Abstract
During latter decades, the basic elements that have traditionally made up the society in which economic activity develops, have been submitted to the effect of multiple aggressions as a consequence of the outcome of events motivated by the nature itself of the human being, always seeking a level of happiness that is never reached. In a very brief manner we are accustomed to mention these by using words such as revolution, profound changes, convulsions...., the results of which are manifest through non-linear reactions that lead to a future charged with uncertainty.
Jaime Gil-Aluja
1. Relations
Abstract
When attempting to find the mechanism of the brain of a living being that is capable of bringing to light the most elemental symptom of intelligence, one must surely pay a great deal of attention to the concept of relation. If a domestic animal is accustomed to eat from a certain container, when it hears the particular noise it makes then it will run towards it: it associates and relates, noise-food. From our very earliest childhood we are taught to improve the devices that lead to relation, by developing in the very smallest, the most diverse kinds of connections: between things and colours, effort and prizes, between certain objects and others,... Teachers are very much aware of the importance of relation in the mental progress of a child. And the truth of the matter is that whatever activity is carried on, it is difficult to imagine any reasoning whatsoever in which relations are not present as a very basic support.
Jaime Gil-Aluja
2. Assignments
Abstract
One of the most frequent problems arising when taking a decision is linked to a type of relation that is known under the name of “assignment”. With the object of establishing the foundations on which to construct a method that is suitable for finding adequate solutions let us first define this concept.
Jaime Gil-Aluja
3. Groupings
Abstract
The new approaches we have been looking at up to now are causing changes in the contents of traditional operative research and to the notions of relation and assignment, that of grouping in also added, which now acquires a new sense. This change is fundamental in order to arrive at profound renewal of traditional studies into the theory of decision.
Jaime Gil-Aluja
4. Order
Abstract
Up to this point we have seen that, in the sphere of decision taking, the concepts of relation, assignment and grouping have acquired special relevance, particularly in a context of uncertainty. However, it is perhaps the notion of order, that is the fundamental element on which the act of decision revolves.
Jaime Gil-Aluja
Epilogue
Abstract
Throughout the preceding pages we have brought up certain considerations, that are not an attempt at constituting a closed theory, but merely a summary of our thoughts on the profound changes that are occurring in the sphere of the study of the problem of decision in companies and institutions. The initial period of disorientation having passed, we now feel that in a nearly imperceptible but continuous manner researchers have accepted the new bases on which modem decision techniques are founded. Nevertheless it should be recognised that the passage from a situation in which the scientific community was comfortably entrenched to another is not easy, particularly if we consider that it requires substantial efforts of adaptation, and without taking into consideration the risk involved when setting out down a new path about which, as yet, very little is know.
Jaime Gil-Aluja
Backmatter
Metadaten
Titel
Elements for a Theory of Decision in Uncertainty
verfasst von
Jaime Gil-Aluja
Copyright-Jahr
1999
Verlag
Springer US
Electronic ISBN
978-1-4757-3011-1
Print ISBN
978-1-4419-4817-5
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-3011-1