nach oben

Erschienen in:

2014 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

3. CISN ShakeAlert: An Earthquake Early Warning Demonstration System for California

verfasst von : M. Böse, R. Allen, H. Brown, G. Gua, M. Fischer, E. Hauksson, T. Heaten, M. Hellweg, M. Liukis, D. Neuhauser, P. Maechling, K. Solanki, M. Vinci, I. Henson, O. Khainovski, S. Kuyuk, M. Carpio, M.-A. Meier, T. Jordan

Erschienen in: Early Warning for Geological Disasters

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

To demonstrate the feasibility of earthquake early warning (EEW) in California, we have developed and implemented the CISN ShakeAlert demonstration system. A Decision Module combines estimates and uncertainties determined by three algorithms implemented in parallel, \(\tau _\mathrm{{c}}-\mathrm{{P}}_\mathrm{{d}}\) Onsite, Virtual Seismologist, and ElarmS, to calculate and report at a given time the most probable earthquake magnitude and location, as well as the likelihood of correct alarm. A User Display receives the alert messages in real-time, calculates the expected local shaking intensity, and displays the information on a map. Currently, CISN ShakeAlert is being tested by \(\sim \)70 individuals and test users from industries and emergency response organizations in California. During the next 3 years we plan to expand this demonstration warning system to the entire US West Coast.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Vorheriges Kapitel Estimation of Fault Rupture Extent Using Near-Source Records for Earthquake Early Warning

Nächstes Kapitel The Mexican Seismic Alert System (SASMEX): Its Alert Signals, Broadcast Results and Performance During the M 7.4 Punta Maldonado Earthquake of March 20th, 2012

Allen RV (1978) Automatic earthquake recognition and timing from single traces. Bull Seismol Soc Am 68(5):1521–1532

Allen RM (2007) The ElarmS earthquake warning methodology and application across California. In: Gasparini P, Zschau J (eds) Seismic early warning. Springer, New York, pp 21–44CrossRef

Allen RM, Brown H, Hellweg M, Khainovski O, Lombard P, Neuhauser D (2009) Real-time earthquake detection and hazard assessment by ElarmS across California. Geophys Res Lett 36 L00B08. doi:10.1029/2008GL036766

Allen RM, Kanamori H (2003) The potential for earthquake early warning in southern California. Science 300:786–789CrossRef

Allen RM, Ziv A (2011) Application of real-time GPS to earthquake early warning. Geophys Res Lett 38 L16310. doi:10.1029/2011GL047947

Barba M, Böse M, Hauksson E (2010) In: The earthquake early warning demonstration tool (EEWDT) Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) Meeting, Palm Springs, California, 11–15 Sept 2010

Böse M, Heaton TH (2010) Probabilistic prediction of rupture length, slip and seismic ground motions for an ongoing rupture: implications for early warning for large earthquakes. Geophys J Int 183(2):1014–1030. doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.2010.04774.x CrossRef

Böse M, Heaton TH, Hauksson E (2012a) Rapid estimation of earthquake source and ground-motion parameters for earthquake early warning using data from single three-component broadband or strong-motion sensor. Bull Seismol Soc Am 102(2). doi: 10.1785/0120110152

Böse M, Heaton TH, Hauksson E (2012b) Real-time finite fault rupture detector (FinDer) for large earthquakes. Geophys J Int 191:803–812

Böse M, Hauksson E, Solanki K, Kanamori H, Wu Y-M, Heaton T H (2009a) A new trigger criterion for improved real-time performance of on-site earthquake early warning in southern California, Bull Seism Soc Am 99(2-A): 897–905. doi: 10.1785/0120080034

Böse M, Hauksson E, Solanki K, Kanamori H, Heaton TH (2009b) Real-time testing of the on-site warning algorithm in southern California and its performance during the July 29 2008 Mw5.4 Chino Hills earthquake. Geophys Res Lett 36, L00B03. doi:10.1029/2008GL036366

Böse M, Solanki K, Allen RM, Brown H, Cua GB, Given D, Hauksson E, Heaton TH, CISN Earthquake Early Warning Project Team (2010) CISN ShakeAlert: development of a prototype user display for providing earthquake alerts to end users, American Geophysical Union, Fall meeting 2010, abstract #NH33A-1369

Borcherdt RD (1994) Estimates of site-dependent response spectra for design (methodology and justification). Earthq Spectr 10:617–654CrossRef

Brown HM, Allen RM, Hellweg M, Khainovski O, Neuhauser D, Souf A (2010) Development of the ElarmS methodology for earthquake early warning: realtime application in California and offline testing in Japan. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 31:188–200. doi:10.1016/j.soildyn.2010.03.008 CrossRef

Brown HM, Lim I, Allen RM, Neuhauser D, Khainovski O, Hellweg M (2010b) CISN earthquake early warning: ElarmS, NH33A-1372, 2010 fall meeting AGU. San Francisco, Dec 2010

Caprio M, Cua GB, Fischer M, Wiemer S, Heaton TH (2011) CISN ShakeAlert: accounting for site amplification and quantifying time and spatial dependence of uncertainty estimates in the virtual seismologist earthquake early warning algorithm. American Geophysical Union Fall meeting, San Francisco, pp S53A–2251

Cooper M (1868) Editorial in: San Francisco Daily Evening. Bulletin, 3 Nov 1868

CSEP (2012) CSEP Testing Center Software and documentation. http://www.cseptesting.org

Cua GB (2005) Creating the virtual seismologist: developments in ground motion characterization and seismic early warning. California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California

Cua G, Fischer M, Heaton T, Wiemer S, Giardini D (2009) Real-time performance of the virtual seismologist method in southern California. Seismol Res Lett 80:740–748. doi:710.1785/gssrl.1780.1785.1740 CrossRef

Cua G, Heaton T (2007) The virtual seismologist (VS) method: a bayesian approach to earthquake early warning. In: Gasparini P, Manfredi G, Zschau J (eds) Earthquake early warning systems. Springer, Berlin, pp 97–132CrossRef

Dietz L (2002) Notes on configuring \(\text{ BINDER }\_{\text{ EW }}\): earthworm’s phase associator. From http://www.isti2.com/ew/ovr/binder_setup.html

Faulkner M, Olson M, Chandy R, Krause J, Chandy KM, Krause A (2011) The next big one: detecting earthquakes and other rare events from community-based sensors. In: Proceedings of the 10th ACM/IEEE international conference on information processing in sensor networks, ACM

Fischer M, Caprio M, Cua GB, Heaton TH, Clinton JF, Wiemer S (2009) Multiple-threshold event detection and other enhancements to the virtual seismologist earthquake early warning algorithm. Amercian Geophysical Union Fall meeting, San Francisco, pp S22A–02

Gerstenberger MC, Rhoades DA (2010) New Zealand earthquake forecast testing centre. Pure Appl Geophys 167:877–892CrossRef

Heaton T (1985) A model for a seismic computerized alert network. Science 228(4702):987–990CrossRef

Hellweg, M, Allen RM, Brown H, Neuhauser DS, Khainovsky O (2010) CISN ShakeAlert: progress toward using early warnings for earthquakes in California, Abstract NH33A-1368 presented at 2010 fall meeting, AGU, San Francisco, California, 13–17 Dec 2010

Hellweg M, Vinci M (2011) CISN shakealert: using early warnings for earthquakes in California, Abstract S53A–2254 presented at 2011 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, California, 5–9 Dec 2011

Horiuchi S, Negishi H, Abe K, Kamimura A, Fujinawa Y (2005) An automatic processing system for broadcasting earthquake alarms. Bull Seismol Soc Am 95(2):708–718CrossRef

Jordan TH (2006) Earthquake predictability, brick by brick. Seismol Res Lett 77:3–6CrossRef

Kanamori H (2005) Real-time seismology and earthquake damage mitigation. Annu Rev Earth Planet Sci 33:195–214. doi:10.1146/annurev.earth.33.092203.122626 CrossRef

Karakus G, Heaton T (2011) Methodologies to automatically recognize foreshock/mainshock pairs. S53A–2268, AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, Dec 2011

Maechling PJ, Jordan TH, Liukis M, Callaghan S (2009) Developing performance measures for the CISN earthquake early warning testing center. Eos Trans AGU, 90(52), Fall Meeting Supplement, Abstract S13A–1717

Maechling PJ, Liukis M, Jordan TH, CISN EEW Team (2011) Development of ShakeAlert performance evaluation software. Abstract S53A–2255 presented at 2011 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, California, 5–9 Dec 2011

Marzocchi W, Schorlemmer D, Wiemer S (eds) (2010) An earthquake forecast experiment in Italy. Special volume, Ann Geofisica 53(3):163

Meier M-A, Cua GB, Fischer M, Wiemer S (2011) CISN ShakeAlert: improving the virtual seismologist earthquake early warning framework to provide faster, more robust warning information. S53A–2252, AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, Dec 2011

Nakamura Y (1988) On the urgent earthquake detection and alarm system (UrEDAS). In: Proceedings of the 9th world conference on earthquake engineering. Tokyo-Kyoto, Japan

Nanjo KZ, Tsuruoka H, Hirata N, Jordan TH (2011) Overview of the first earthquake forecast testing experiment in Japan. Earth Planets Space 63:159–169. doi:10.5047/eps.2010.10.003 CrossRef

Neuhauser DS, Khainovsky O, Böse M, Solanki K, Cua G, Heaton TH, Allen R (2010) CISN ShakeAlert: the decision module for earthquake alerts. AGU Fall Meeting, NH33A-1370. San Francisco, Dec 2010

Romanowicz B, Dreger D, Hellweg M (2011) Upgrading the broadband and borehole seismic networks operated by the Berkeley seismological laboratory at the university of California, Berkeley, USGS Award Number G09AC00487, Final technical report

Satriano C, Lomax A, and Zollo A (2007) Optimal, real-time earthquake location for early warning. In: Gasparini P, Manfredi G, Zschau J (eds) Earthquake early warning systems. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg

Solanki K, Böse M, Hauksson E, Heaton TH, CISN EEW Group (2011) CISN ShakeAlert: protoype user display for providing earthquake early warnings to test users. AGU Fall Meeting, S53A–2250, San Francisco, Dec 2011

Thomas V, Bhadha R, Crummey J, Curtis W, Devora A, Flores I, Given D, Hauksson E, Johnson D, Koesterer C, Lydeen S, Sutton D, Watkins M, Yu E (2011) Modernization of the caltech/USGS southern California seismic network—ARRA and beyond. AGU Fall Meeting, S51A–2194, San Francisco, Dec 2011

Vinci M, Hellweg M, Jones LM, Khainovski O, Schwartz K, Lehrer D, Allen RM, Neuhauser DS (2009) CISN ShakeAlert: using early warnings for earthquakes in California. Eos, 90(52), Fall Meeting Supplement, S13A–1720

Wald DJ, Quitoriano V, Heaton T, Kanamori H, Scrivner CW, Worden BC (1999) TriNet “ShakeMaps”: rapid generation of peak ground motion and intensity maps for earthquakes in southern California. Earthquake Spectra 15(3):537–556CrossRef

Wu S, Beck JL (2011) An automated decision-making system framework for earthquake early warning system applications. In: Conference proceedings of the 8th international conference on urban earthquake engineering (CUEE): 1737–1740, Tokyo, Japan, Mar 2011

Wu Y-M, Kanamori H, Allen RM, Hauksson E (2007) Determination of earthquake early warning parameters, \(\tau \)c and Pd, for southern California. Geophys J Int 170:711–717. doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.3732007.03430.x

Wurman G, Allen RM, Lombard P (2007) Toward earthquake early warning in northern California. J Geophys Res 112 B08311

Zechar JD, Schorlemmer D, Liukis M, Yu J, Euchner F, Maechling PJ, Jordan TH (2010) The collaboratory for the study of earthquake predictability perspective on computational earthquake science. Concurr Comput-Pract Exp 22:1836–1847. doi:10.1002/cpe.1519 CrossRef

Titel: CISN ShakeAlert: An Earthquake Early Warning Demonstration System for California
verfasst von: M. Böse
R. Allen
H. Brown
G. Gua
M. Fischer
E. Hauksson
T. Heaten
M. Hellweg
M. Liukis
D. Neuhauser
P. Maechling
K. Solanki
M. Vinci
I. Henson
O. Khainovski
S. Kuyuk
M. Carpio
M.-A. Meier
T. Jordan
Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Buch: Early Warning for Geological Disasters
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-12232-3

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-642-12233-0

Copyright-Jahr: 2014
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12233-0_3