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Encyclopedia of Solid Earth Geophysics pp 178–182Cite as

Earthquake Prediction, M8 Algorithm

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Part of the book series: Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series ((EESS))

Definition

An earthquake is a sudden movement within the Earth’s crust or the upper mantle that releases tectonic stress and, usually, originates seismic waves. The hierarchy of movable lithospheric volumes composes a large nonlinear dynamical system. Prediction of such a system in a sense of extrapolation of trajectory into the future is futile. However, upon coarse-graining the integral empirical regularities emerge opening possibilities of earthquake prediction (Keilis-Borok et al., 2001).

Earthquake predictionis a statement about future earthquake occurrence based on the information, data, and scientific methods that are available now. To predict an earthquake, someone “must specify the expected magnitude range, the geographical area within which it will occur, and the time interval within which it will happen with sufficient precision so that the ultimate success or failure of the prediction can readily be judged. Only by careful recording and analysis of failures as well as...

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Bibliography

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Geophysical Institute, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Hertzstr. 16, 76187, Karlsruhe, Germany

    Alik Ismail-Zadeh

  2. International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Profsoyuznaya 84/32, Moscow, 117997, Russia

    Alik Ismail-Zadeh & Vladimir Kossobokov

  3. Institut de Physique du Globe, Paris, France

    Alik Ismail-Zadeh & Vladimir Kossobokov

Authors
  1. Alik Ismail-Zadeh
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  2. Vladimir Kossobokov
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Alik Ismail-Zadeh .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. National Geophysical Research Institute, Council of Scientific and Industrial Research, Hyderabad, India

    Harsh K. Gupta

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© 2011 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.

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Ismail-Zadeh, A., Kossobokov, V. (2011). Earthquake Prediction, M8 Algorithm. In: Gupta, H.K. (eds) Encyclopedia of Solid Earth Geophysics. Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-8702-7_157

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