Skip to main content
Log in

Fundamental issues in nonlinear urban population dynamic models

Theory and a synthesis

  • Published:
The Annals of Regional Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A set of papers are discussed laying the foundations for a comprehensive dynamical theory of discontinuities in urban population size. Abstracting from the main premise of the papers, which appeared in 1980, a thesis is advanced that an encompassing notion ofdynamic comparative advantages underlies urban growth or decline. It is argued that such a theory is consistent with the notions found in Darwinian evolution. References to classical urban literature are made, linking these models to long-standing views of urban evolution.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Alonso W (1964) Location and land use. Harvard University Press, Boston

    Google Scholar 

  • Amson J (1975) Catastrophe theory: a contribution of the study of urban systems? Environ Plan B 2:177–221

    Google Scholar 

  • Andersson ÅE (1986) The four logistical revolutions. Papers Reg Sci Assoc 59:1–12

    Google Scholar 

  • Arthur WB (1988) Self-reinforcing mechanisms in economics. In: Anderson PW, Arrow KJ, Pines D (eds) The economy as an evolving complex system. Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, pp 7–31

    Google Scholar 

  • Arthur WB (1989) Competing technologies, increasing returns, and lock-in by historical events. Econ J 99:116–131

    Google Scholar 

  • Boldrin M, Scheinkman JA (1988) Learning-by-doing, international trade and growth: a note. In: Anderson PW, Arrow KJ, Pines D (eds) The economy as an evolving complex system. Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, pp 285–300

    Google Scholar 

  • Casetti E (1980) Equilibrium population partitions between urban and agricultural occupations. Geograph Anal 12 (1):47–54

    Google Scholar 

  • Day RH, Walter JL (1989) Economic growth in the very long run: on the multiple phase interaction between population, technology, and social infrastructure. In: Barnett WA, Geweke J, Shell K (eds) Economic complexity: chaos, sunspots, bubbles, and nonlinearity. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 253–289

    Google Scholar 

  • Dendrinos DS (1976) Two applications of catastrophe theory in transportation planning and urban economics. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Regional Science Association, Toronto, November

  • Dendrinos DS (1979) A basic model of urban dynamics expressed as a set of Volterra-Lotka equations. In: Dendrinos DS (ed) Catastrophe theory in urban and transport analysis. Report No.: DOT/RSPA/DPB-25/80/20. US Department of Transportation, Washington DC, June 1980

    Google Scholar 

  • Dendrinos DS (1980) Dynamics of city size and structural stability: the case of a single city. Geograph Anal 12:236–244

    Google Scholar 

  • Dendrinos DS (1992) The dynamics of cities: ecological determinism, dualism and chaos. Routledge, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Dendrinos DS (with Henry Mullally) (1985) Urban evolution: studies in the mathematical ecology of cities. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Dendrinos DS, Sonis M (1990) Chaos and socio-spatial dynamics. Springer, New York Berlin Heidelberg

    Google Scholar 

  • Henderson JV (1977) Economic theory and the cities. Academic Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Isard W (1977) Strategic elements of a theory of major structural change. Papers Reg Sci Assoc 38:1–14

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacobs J (1969) The economy of cities. Vintage, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Krugman PR (1985) The narrow moving band, the dutch disease and the competitive consequences of Mrs. Thatcher: notes on trade in the presence of scale economies. Mimeo, Department of Economics. MIT, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Lucas RE Jr. (1988) On the mechanics of economic development. J Monet Econ 22:3–42

    Google Scholar 

  • Marshall A (1923) Money trade and commerce. Macmillan, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Mees AI (1975) The revival of cities in medieval europe. Regional Science and Urban Economics 5:403–425

    Google Scholar 

  • Mumford L (1961) The city in history. Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Nijkamp P (1983) Technological change, policy response, and spatial dynamics. In: Griffith DA, Lea AC (eds) Evolving geographical structures. Martinus Nijhoff, The Hague, pp 75–98

    Google Scholar 

  • Papageorgiou GJ (1980) On sudden urban growth. Environ Plan A 12:1035–1050

    Google Scholar 

  • Pirenne H (1925) Medieval cities (English translation by Halsey FD). Princeton University Press, Princeton

    Google Scholar 

  • Rosser JB Jr (1991) From catastrophe to chaos: a general theory of economic discontinuities. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Norwell

    Google Scholar 

  • Thom R (1975) Structural stability and morphogenesis. Benjamin, Reading, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Todaro M (1982) Economic development in the third world. 3rd edn. Longman, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Wheaton W (1974) A comparative static analysis of urban spatial structure. J Econ Theory 9:223–237

    Google Scholar 

  • Wilson A (1976) Catastrophe theory and urban modelling: an application to modal choice. Environ Plan A 8:351–356

    Google Scholar 

  • Wilson A (1981) Catastrophe theory and bifurcation. Croom Helm, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Zeeman EC (1977) Catastrophe theory: selected papers 1972–1977. Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

The authors wish to acknowledge helpful comments from Emilio Casetti, Günter Haag, and anonymous referees.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Dendrinos, D.S., Rosser, J.B. Fundamental issues in nonlinear urban population dynamic models. Ann Reg Sci 26, 135–145 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02116365

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02116365

Keywords

Navigation