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Revisiting Savage in a conditional world

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Summary.

I present an axiomatization of subjective expected utility and Bayesian updating in a conditional decision problem. This result improves our understanding of the Bayesian standard from two perspectives: 1) it uses a set of axioms which are weak and intuitive; 2) it provides a formal proof to results on the relation between dynamic consistency, expected utility and Bayesian updating which have never been explicitly proved in a fully subjective framework.

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Received: December 1, 2000; revised version: February 26, 2001

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Ghirardato, P. Revisiting Savage in a conditional world. Econ Theory 20, 83–92 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1007/s001990100188

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s001990100188

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