Abstract
This paper investigates the potential of Spartan spatial random fields (SSRFs) in real-time mapping applications. The data set that we study focuses on the distribution of daily gamma dose rates over part of Germany. Our goal is to determine a Spartan spatial model from the data, and then use it to generate “predictive” maps of the radioactivity. In the SSRF framework, the spatial dependence is determined from sample functions that focus on short-range correlations. A recently formulated SSRF predictor is used to derive isolevel contour maps of the dose rates. The SSRF predictor is explicit. Moreover, the adjustments that it requires by the user are reduced compared to classical geostatistical methods. These features present clear advantages for an automatic mapping system. The performance of the SSRF predictor is evaluated by means of various cross-validation measures. The values of the performance measures are similar to those obtained by classical geostatistical methods. Application of the SSRF method to data that simulate a radioactivity release scenario is also discussed. Hot spots are detected and removed using a heuristic method. The extreme values that appear in the path of the simulated plume are not captured by the currently used Spartan spatial model. Modeling of the processes leading to extreme values can enhance the predictive capabilities of the spatial model, by incorporating physical information.
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Acknowledgments
This research is supported by the European Commission, through the Marie Curie Action: Marie Curie Fellowship for the Transfer of Knowledge (Project SPATSTAT, Contract No. MTKD-CT-2004-014135), and co-funded by the European Social Fund and National Resources (EPEAEK-II) PYTHAGORAS.
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Elogne, S.N., Hristopulos, D.T. & Varouchakis, E. An application of Spartan spatial random fields in environmental mapping: focus on automatic mapping capabilities. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 22, 633–646 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-007-0167-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-007-0167-5