Abstract
We present evidence of climate change impact upon recent changes of glaciers within Lombardy region, in Northern Italy. We illustrate the recent area evolution of a set of 249 glaciers in the area using three surface area records for 1991, 1999 and 2003. The 1999 and 2003 surface area data are processed by combining glacier limits manually digitized upon registered color orthophotos and differential GPS (DGPS) glaciers’ surveys. Glaciers’ area was 117.4 km2 in 1991, 104.7 km2 in 1999, and to 92.4 km2 2003, with a 21% reduction. Glaciers smaller than 1 km2 accounted for 53% of the total loss in area (13.1 km2 during 1991–2003). The area change rate was higher lately, with ca. 11.7 % reduction during 1999–2003. We split Alps and fore Alps of Lombardy into six mountain groups, and we separately investigate relative area variations. We use climate series from local stations within each group to assess climate change during a 30-year window (1976–2005). We focus upon temperature and snow cover depth at thaw, known to impact glaciers’ changes. We compare local year-round temperature anomalies against global ones to evidence enhanced warming within this area, and we investigate the correlation of our target climate variables against NAO. Eventually, we highlight the link between the rate of change of our climate variables to the observed scaling of area loss against glaciers’ size, showing that in rapidly warming areas glaciers’ size affects less relative melting.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Barla G, Dutto F, Mortara G (2000) Brenva Glacier Rock Avalanche of 18 January 1997 on the Mount Blanc Range, northwest Italy. Landslide News 13:2–5
Beniston M (1997) Variations of snow depth and duration in the Swiss Alps over the last 50 years: links to changes in large-scale climatic forcings. Clim Chang 36:281–300
Beniston M (2000) Environmental Change in Mountains and Uplands. Arnold/Hodder and Stoughton/Chapman and Hall Publishers, London, UK, and Oxford University Press, New York, USA, 172 pp
Beniston M (2006) Mountain weather and climate; a general overview and a focus on climatic change in the Alps. Hydrobiologia 562:3–16
Beniston M, Jungo P (2002) Shifts in the distributions of pressure, temperature and moisture in the alpine region in response to the behavior of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Theor Appl Climatol 71:29–42
Beniston M, Keller F, Goyette A (2003a) Estimates of snow accumulation and volume in the Swiss Alps under changing climatic conditions. Theor Appl Climatol 76:125–140
Beniston M, Keller F, Goyette S (2003b) Snowpack in the Swiss Alps under changing climatic conditions: an empirical approach for climate impacts studies. Theor Appl Climatol 74:19–31
Biancotti A, Motta M (2002) L’evoluzione recente ed attuale dei ghiacciai italiani [Recent and present evolution of Italian glaciers]. Boll Geofis 3–4:27–36
Bocchiola D (2010) Regional estimation of Snow Water Equivalent using kriging: a preliminary study within the Italian Alps. Geogr Fis Dinam Quatern 33:3–14
Bocchiola D, Diolaiuti G (2010) Evidence of climate change within the Adamello Glacier of Italy. Theor Appl Climatol 100(3–4):351–369. doi:10.1007/s00704-009-0186-x
Bocchiola D, Groppelli B (2010) Spatial estimation of Snow Water Equivalent at different dates within the Adamello Park of Italy. Cold Reg Sci Technol 63(3):97–109
Bocchiola D, Rosso R (2007a) The distribution of daily Snow Water Equivalent in the Central Italian Alps. Adv Water Resour 30:135–147
Bocchiola D, Rosso R (2007b) The use of regional approach for hazard mapping at an avalanche site in northern Italy. Adv Geosci 14:1–9
Bocchiola D, Medagliani M, Rosso R (2006) Regional snow depth frequency curves for avalanche hazard mapping in central Italian Alps. Cold Reg Sci Technol 46(3):204–221
Bocchiola D, Mihalcea C, Diolaiuti G, Mosconi B, Smiraglia C, Rosso R (2010) Flow prediction in high altitude ungauged catchments: a case study in the Italian Alps (Pantano Basin, Adamello Group). Adv Water Resour 33:1224–1234
Böhm RI, Auer A, Brunetti M, Maugeri M, Nanni T, Schöner W (2001) Regional temperature variability in the European Alps: 1760–1998 from homogenized instrumental time series. Int J Climatol 21:1779–1801. doi:10.1002/joc.689
Bohr GS, Aguado E (2001) Use of April 1st SWE measurements as estimates of peak seasonal snowpack and total cold-season precipitation. Water Resour Res 37(1):51–60
Brohan P, Kennedy JJ, Harris I, Tett SFB, Jones PD (2006) Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J Geophys Res 111:D12106. doi:10.1029/2005JD006548
Brunetti M, Lentini G, Maugeri M, Nanni T, Simolo C, Spinoni J (2010) Projecting North Eastern Italy temperature and precipitation secular records onto a high-resolution grid. Phys Chem Earth, Parts A/B/C, in press, Corrected Proof, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2009.12.005. Av. at: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/14747065
Cannone N, Diolaiuti G, Guglielmin M, Smiraglia M (2008) Accelerating climate change impacts on Alpine glacier forcefield ecosystems in the European Alps. Ecol Appl 18(3):637–648
Casty C, Wanner H, Luterbacher J, Esper J, Böhm R (2005) Temperature and precipitation variability in the European Alps since 1500. Int J Climatol 25:1855–1880
Ciccarelli N, von Hardenberg J, Provenzale A, Ronchi C, Vargiu A, Pelosini R (2008) Climate variability in north-western Italy during the second half of the 20th century. Glob Planet Chang. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.03.006
Citterio M, Diolaiuti G, Smiraglia C, D'Agata C, Carnielli T, Stella G, Siletto GB (2007) The fluctuations of Italian glaciers during the last century: a contribution to knowledge about Alpine glacier changes. Geogr Ann 89(A3):164–182
Colombo T, Pelino V, Vergari S, Cristofanelli P, Bonasoni P (2007) Study of temperature and precipitation variations in Italy based on surface instrumental observations. Glob Planet Chang 57:308–318
Deline P (2005) Change in surface debris cover on Mont Blanc massif glaciers after the Little Ice Age termination. Holocene 15(2):302–309
Deline P, Kirkbride MP (2008) Deposits in Haut Val Ferret (Mont Blanc Massif, Italy): rock avalanches on a glacier and morainic complex. Geomorphology. doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2007.10.020
Diaz HF, Bradley RS (1997) Temperature variations during the last century at high elevation sites. Clim Chang 36:253–279
Diolaiuti G, Smiraglia C (2010) Changing glaciers in a changing climate: how vanishing geomorphosites have been driving deep changes on mountain landscape and environment. Géomorphologie: relief, processus, environnement (GRPE), 2, 131–152
Diolaiuti G, Smiraglia C, Vassena G, Motta M (2004) Dry calving processes at the ice cliff of Strandline Glacier, northern Victoria Land. Ann Glaciol 39:201–208
Diolaiuti G, Smiraglia C, Pelfini M, Belo M, Pavan M, Vassena G (2006) The recent evolution of an Alpine glacier used for Summer skiing (Vedretta Piana, Stelvio Pass, Italy). Cold Reg Sci Technol 44:206–216
Diolaiuti G, D’Agata C, Meazza A, Zanutta A, Smiraglia C (2009) Recent (1975-2003) changes in the Miage debris-covered glacier tongue (Mont Blanc, Italy) from analysis of aerial photos and maps. Geogr Fis Dinam Quatern 32:117–127
Diolaiuti G, Maragno D, D’Agata C, Smiraglia C, Bocchiola D (2011) A contribution to the knowledge of the last fifty years of Alpine glacier history: the 1954–2003 area and geometry changes of Dosdè Piazzi glaciers (Lombardy-Alps, Italy). Prog Phys Geogr 35(2):161–182
Durand Y, Giraud G, Laternser M, Etchevers P, Mérindol L, Lesaffre B (2009) Reanalysis of 47 years of climate in the French Alps (1958–2005): climatology and trends for snow cover. J Appl Meteor Climatol 48:2487–2512. doi:10.1175/2009JAMC1810.1
Dyurgerov MB, Meier MF (2000) Twentieth century climate change: Evidence from small glaciers. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 97(4):1406–1411
Faggian P, Giorgi F (2009) An analysis of global model projections over Italy, with particular attention to the Italian Greater Alpine Region (GAR). Clim Chang. doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9584-4
Friis-Christensen E, Lassen K (1991) Length of the solar cycle, an indication of solar activity closely associated with climate. Science 254:698–700
Grove JM (1988) The little ice age. Methuen, London, p 498
Haeberli W, Beniston M (1998) Climate change and its impacts on glaciers and permafrost in the Alps. Ambio 27:258–265
Haeberli W, Hoelzle M (1995) Application of inventory data for estimating characteristics of and regional climate-change effects on mountain glaciers: a pilot study with the European Alps. Ann Glaciol 21:206–212
Haeberli W, Wegmann M, Vonder Muhll D (1997) Slope stability problems related to glacier shrinkage and permafrost degradation in the Alps. Ecol Geol Helv 90:407–414
Hoelzle M, Chinn T, Stumm D, Paul F, Zemp M, Haeberli W (2007) The application of glacier inventory data for estimating past climate change effects on mountain glaciers: a comparison between the European Alps and the Southern Alps of New Zealand. Glob Planet Chang. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.001
IAHS (ICSI)–UNEP–UNESCO (1988–2005) Glacier Mass Balance Bulletins (GMBBs), vol. 1–8, Zurich
IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (2001) Special report on emission scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (2007) IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007. Synthesis Report (AR4). WMO-UNEP, 52 pp
Jiang T, Su B, Hartmann H (2007) Temporal and spatial trends of precipitation and river flow in the Yangtze River Basin, 1961–2000. Geomorphology 85:143–154
Jones PD, Moberg A (2003) Hemispheric and large-scale surface air temperature variations: an extensive revision and an update to 2001. J Clim 16(2):206–223. doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003) 016<0206:HALSSA>2.0.CO
Jones PD, Jonsson T, Wheeler D (1997) Extension to the North Atlantic Oscillation using early instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and South-West Iceland. Int J Climatol 17:1433–1450
Juen I, Kaser G, Georges C (2007) Modelling observed and future runoff from a glacierized tropical catchment (Cordillera Blanca, Perú). Glob Planet Chang 59:37–48
Jungo P, Beniston M (2001) Changes in 20th century extreme temperature anomalies at Swiss climatological stations located at different latitudes and altitudes. Theor Appl Climatol 69:1–12
Servizio Glaciologico Lombardo (1992). Ghiacciai in Lombardia [Glaciers in Lombardy]. Bergamo, Bolis, 368 pp
Maragno D, Diolaiuti G, D’Agata C, Mihalcea C, Bocchiola D, Bianchi Janetti E, Riccardi A, Smiraglia C (2009) New evidence from Italy (Adamello Group, Lombardy) for analysing the ongoing decline of Alpine glaciers. Geogr Fis Dinam Quatern 32:31–39
Marty C (2008) Regime shift of snow days in Switzerland. Geophys Res Lett 35(12):L12501
Masetti M, Diolaiuti G, D’Agata C, Smiraglia C (2009) Hydrological characterization of an ice-contact lake: Miage Lake (Monte Bianco, Italy). Water Res Manag 24(8):1677–1696. doi:10.1007/s11269-009-9519-x
Mattson le, Gardner js, Young gj (1993) Ablation on debris covered glaciers: an example from the Rakhiot Glacier, Punjab, Himalaya. In Young GJ (ed) Snow and glacier hydrology. Proc. Kathmandu Sym. November 1992. IAHS 218, 289–296
Nemec J, Huybrechts J, Rybak O, Oerlemans J (2009) Reconstruction 1090 of the annual balance of Vadret da Morteratsch, Switzerland, 1091 since 1865. Ann Glaciol 50:126–134
Nicholson L, Benn DI (2006) Calculating ice melt beneath a debris layer using meteorological data. J Glaciol 52(178):2006
Oerlemans J (1994) Quantifying global warming from the retreat of glaciers. Science 264:243–245
Oerlemans J (2005) Extracting a climate signal from 169 glacier records. Science 308:675–677
Oerlemans J, Fortuin JPF (1991) Sensitivity of glaciers and small ice caps to greenhouse warming. Science 258:115–117
Oerlemans J, Anderson A, Hubbard A, Huybrechts P, Jóhanneson T, Knap WH, Schmeits M, Stroeven AP, van de Wal RSW, Zuo Z (1998) Modelling the response of glaciers to climate warming. Clim Dyn 14:267–274
Ohlendorf C, Niessenn F, Weissert H (1997) Glacial varve thickness and 127 years of instrumental climate data: a comparison. Clim Change 36:391–411
Osborn TJ (2004) Simulating the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation: the roles of internal variability and greenhouse gas forcing. Clim Dyn 22:605–623
Osborn TJ (2006) Recent variations in the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation. Weather 61:353–355
Paul F, Kääb A, Maisch M, Kellenberger T, Haeberli W (2004) Rapid disintegration of Alpine glaciers observed with satellite data. Geophys Res Lett 31:L21402. doi:10.1029/2004GL020816
Paul F, Kääb A, Haeberli W (2007) Recent glacier changes in the Alps observed from satellite: Consequences for future monitoring strategies. Glob Planet Chang. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.007
Peel MC, Finlayson BL, McMahon TA (2007) Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 11:1633–1644
Racoviteanu AE, Arnaud Y, Williams MW, Ordonez J (2008) Decadal changes in glacier parameters in the Cordillera Blanca, Peru, derived from remote sensing. J Glaciol 54:186
CNR (Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche) and CGI (Comitato Glaciologico Italiano) (1961) Catasto dei Ghiacciai Italiani — Ghiacciai della Lombardia e dell’Ortles-Cevedale [Cadastre of Italian glaciers — Lombardy and Ortles-Cevedale glaciers]. Torino, CGI, III: 390 pp
Scherrer SC, Appenzeller C, Laternser M (2004) Trends in Swiss Alpine snow days: the role of local and large-scale climate variability. Geophys Res Lett 31:L13215. doi:10.1029/2004GL020255
Soncini A, Bocchiola D (2011) Assessment of future snowfall regimes within the Italian Alps using general circulation models. Cold Reg Sci Technol 68:113–123
Valt M, Cianfarra P (2010) Recent snow cover variability in the Italian Alps. Cold Reg Sci Technol 64(2):146–157
Vögtle T, Schilling KJ (1999) Digitizing Maps. In: Bähr HP, Vögtle T (eds) GIS for Environmental Monitoring. Schweizerbart, Stuttgart, pp 201–216
Volo Italia 2000, Program "it2000"® - TerraItaly® 98/99”. At http://www.terraitaly.it/product.tpl
Volo Italia 2003, Program "it2000"® - TerraItaly® 98/99”. At http://www.terraitaly.it/product.tpl
Zemp M, Haeberli W, Hoelzle M, Paul F (2006) Alpine glaciers to disappear within decades? Geophys Res Lett 33:L13504. doi:10.1029/2006GL026319
Acknowledgements
This work was performed within the framework of the “Quantification, Evaluation and Description of Lombardy glacier resource” project managed by IREALP (Regional Research Institute for Studying Alpine Ecology and Economy) and in the framework of the project MIUR-COFIN 2008. We wish to thank the ARPA Lombardia (Lombardy Regional Environmental Agency) Geological Monitoring Service for the climate data. We are grateful to Simona Rosazza for her assistance in the GIS processing of 2003 orthophotos. We kindly acknowledge Dr. Gianluca Lentini, at University Milano, for providing reconstructed temperature data for the case study area. Dr. Daniele Bocchiola acknowledges project I-CARE, funded by Politecnico di Milano, 5xmille 2009.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Diolaiuti, G., Bocchiola, D., D’agata, C. et al. Evidence of climate change impact upon glaciers’ recession within the Italian Alps. Theor Appl Climatol 109, 429–445 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0589-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0589-y