Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

On the Nexus of SO2 and CO2 emissions in China: the ancillary benefits of CO2 emission reductions

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Regional Environmental Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper examines the issue of ancillary benefits by linking sulfur dioxide (SO2) emission to CO2 emission using a panel of 29 Chinese provinces over the period 1995–2007. In the presence of non-stationarity and cointegrating properties of these two data series, this paper applies the panel cointegration techniques to examine both the long-run and short-run elasticities of SO2 with respect to CO2. The major findings are that: (1) there exhibits a stable long-run equilibrium relationship between the SO2 and CO2 emission with the long-run elasticity being 2.15; (2) there exists a short-run relationship between these two emissions with the short-run elasticity being 0.04. In addition, following an exogenous shock that causes a deviation from the long-run equilibrium, it would take approximately 15 years for SO2 emission to revert toward the long-run equilibrium path with an average annual convergence rate of 6.5%; (3) the derived ancillary benefits that is generated from one metric ton of CO2 emission reduction, are 11.77 Yuan (approximately US$ 1.7) in the short run and 196.16 Yuan (US$ 30) in the long run. These findings are not only crucial from the econometric modeling perspective, but also have important policy implications.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Anderson HR, Spix C, Medina S, Schouten JP, Castellsague J, Rossi G, Zmirou D, Touloumi G, Wojtyniak B, Ponka A, Bacharova L, Schwartz J, Katsouyanni K (1997) Air pollution and daily admissions for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in 6 European cities: results from the APHEA project. Eur Respir J 10:1064–1071

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Banerjee A (1999) Panel data unit roots tests and cointegration: an overview. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 61:607–629

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Banerjee A, Marcellino M, Osbat C (2005) Testing for PPP: should we use panel methods? Empir Econ 30:77–91

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bell ML, Davis DL, Cifuentes LA, Krupnick AJ, Morgenstern RD, Thurston GD (2008) Ancillary human health benefits of improved air quality resulting from climate change mitigation. Environ Health 7:41

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Breitung J (2000) The local power of some unit root tests for panel data. In: Baltagi BH (ed) Advances in econometrics, vol. 15. Nonstationary panels, panel cointegration, and dynamic panels. JAY Press, Amsterdam, pp 161–178

  • Cao J, Garbaccio R, Ho MS (2009) China’s 11th five-year-plan and the environment: reducing SO2 emissions. Rev Environ Econ Policy 3:231–250

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chongqing Evening News (2009) Chongqing engaged the first time in emission permits trading: one ton of SO2 emission costs 6150 Yuan. http://news.sohu.com/20091226/n269219410.shtml. Viewed 20 May 2010

  • CNWEST News (2010) Shaanxi province auctioned emission permits again: 20.61 million Yuan for 4251 tons of SO2. http://news.cnwest.com/content/2010-09/28/content_3544957.htm. Viewed 20 May 2010

  • Dickey DA, Fuller W (1981) Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica 49:1057–1072

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dreger C, Reimers H (2005) Health care expenditures in OECD countries: a panel unit root and cointegration analysis. Int J Appl Econom Quant Stud 2:5–20

    Google Scholar 

  • Ekins P (1996a) How large a carbon tax is justified by the secondary benefits of CO2 abatement? Resour Energy Econ 18:161–187

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ekins P (1996b) The secondary benefits of CO2 abatement: how much emission reduction do they justify? Ecol Econ 16:13–24

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Electric Power Research Institute (2009) Health effects of sulfur dioxide. Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. http://mydocs.epri.com/docs/public/000000000001018635.pdf

  • European Environment Agency (EEA) (2010) The European environment-state and outlook 2010. European Environment Agency, Denmark

    Google Scholar 

  • Finus M, Rübbelke DTG (2008) Coalition formation and the ancillary benefits of climate policy. Stirling economics discussion papers 2008–2013. Department of Economics, University of Stirling

  • Hall A (1994) Testing for a unit root in time series with pretest data-based model selection. J Bus Econ Stat 12:461–470

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Health Effects Institute (2004) Health effects of outdoor air pollution in developing countries of Asia: a literature review. Health Effects Institute, Boston

    Google Scholar 

  • Hedley AJ, Wong CM, Thach TQ, Ma S, Lam TH, Anderson HR (2002) Cardiorespiratory and all-cause mortality after restrictions on sulfur content of fuel in Hong Kong: an intervention study. Lancet 360:1646–1652

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heng Y (2006) China’s sulfur dioxide emissions caused annual economic loss of 500 Billion Yuan. Elite reference (in Chinese). http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2006-08-14/164710721789.shtml. Viewed 20 May 2008

  • Im KS, Pesaran MH, Shin Y (2003) Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. J Econom 115:53–74

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Mitigation of Climate Change, B. Metz, O. Davidson, P. Bosch, R. Dave and L. Meyer, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Kao C (1999) Spurious regression and residual-based tests for cointegration in panel data. J Econom 90:1–44

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kao C, Chiang M (2000) On the estimation and inference of a cointegrated regression in panel data. Adv Econom 15:179–222

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lasch P, Kollas C, Rock J, Suckow F (2010) Potentials and impacts of short-rotation coppice plantation with aspen in Eastern Germany under conditions of climate change. Reg Environ Change 10:83–94

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lee CC (2005) Energy consumption and GDP in developing countries: a cointegrated panel analysis. Energy Econ 27:415–427

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levin A, Lin CF, Chu CSJ (2002) Unit roots tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite sample properties. J Econom 108:1–24

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maddala GS, Wu S (1999) A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 61:631–652

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McEvoy DM, Stranlund JK (2009) Self-enforcing international environmental agreements with costly monitoring for compliance. Environ Resour Econ 42:491–508

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Narayan PK, Narayan S (2008) Does environmental quality influence health expenditures? Empirical evidence from a panel of selected OECD countries. Ecol Econ 65:367–374

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • National Bureau of Statistics (2009) China statistical yearbook. China Stat Press, Beijing

  • Nemet GF, Holloway T, Meier P (2010) Implications of incorporating air-quality co-benefits into climate change policymaking. Environ Res Lett 5:014007

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Netcen (2004) Benefits table database: estimates of the marginal external costs of air pollution in Europe. BeTa version E1.02a. Created for European Commission DG Environment by Netcen

  • Ng S, Perron P (2001) Lag length selection and the construction of unit root tests with good size and power. Econometrica 69:1519–1554

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pedroni P (1999a) Critical values for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 61:653–670

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pedroni P (1999b) Fully modified OLS for heterogeneous cointegrated panels. Indiana University working paper, pp 1–40

  • Pedroni P (2000) Fully modified OLS for heterogeneous cointegrated panels. Adv Econom 15:93–130

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pedroni P (2004) Panel cointegration: asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis. Econom Theor 20:597–625

    Google Scholar 

  • Pittel K, Rübbelke DTG (2008) Climate policy and ancillary benefits: a survey and integration into the modeling of international negotiations on climate change. Ecol Econ 68:210–220

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rabl A, Spadar JV, McGavran PD (1998) Health risks of air pollution from incinerators: a perspective. Waste Manage Res 16:365–388

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sáez RM, Linares P (1999) The national implementation in the EU of the framework. CIEMAT, Madrid

  • Shanxi Report (2010) Survey on 90 million Yuan trading in SO2 emissions in Shuozhou. http://www.21cbh.com/HTML/2010-5-10/xNMDAwMDE3NjMxNA.html. Viewed 20 May 2010

  • Stein M (2008) When technology fails: a manual for self-reliance, sustainability, and surviving the long emergency, 2nd edn. Chelsea Green Publishing, Vermont

    Google Scholar 

  • Stock J, Watson M (1993) A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems. Econometrica 6:783–820

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sunyer J, Spix C, Quenel P, Ponce-de-Leon A, Ponka A, Barumandzadeh T, Touloumi G, Bacharova L, Wojtyniak B, Vonk J, Bisanti L, Schwartz J, Katsouyanni K (1997) Urban air pollution and emergency admissions for asthma in four European cities: the APHEA Project. Thorax 52:760–765

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • United Nation (2010) The millennium development goals report 2010. United Nations, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Wagner UJ (2001) The design of stable international environmental agreements: economic theory and political economy. J Econ Surv 15(3):377–411

    Google Scholar 

  • Xi’an Evening News (2010) Northwestern regions engaged the first time in emission permits trading: one ton of SO2 emission costs 4200Yuan. http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2010-06/06/c_12186879.htm. Viewed 20 May 2010

  • Zheng X, Yu Y, Zhang L, Zhang Y (2010) Do pollution drive up public health expenditure? A panel unit root and cointegration analysis. RUC Center of Energy Economics, working paper no. 2010003. School of economics, Renmin University of China. http://www.hanqing.ruc.edu.cn/admin/uploadfile/201005/20100520103320946.pdf

  • Zhu C, Ma Z, Wang C, Liu Z (2006) Analysis of variations of energy consumption related CO2 emissions in China. Ecol Environ 15(4):1029–1034 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Zou J (2010) Scenario analysis on China’s low-carbon development path and technology choice. RUC School of environment working paper, Renmin University of China

Download references

Acknowledgments

This study was supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, and the Research Funds of Renmin University of China (projects 10XNK059). We are grateful to two anonymous referees and the editor for their valuable comments. The usual disclaimer applies.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yihua Yu.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Zheng, X., Zhang, L., Yu, Y. et al. On the Nexus of SO2 and CO2 emissions in China: the ancillary benefits of CO2 emission reductions. Reg Environ Change 11, 883–891 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-011-0227-8

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-011-0227-8

Keywords

Navigation