Abstract
Ecological niche modeling based on surface seawater (SST) and atmospheric (AT) temperature records was used to predict the potential range of distribution of Crassostrea gigas, focusing on the South American coast as a study case. In its native range, the species maintains self-sustaining populations at thermal regimes with mean SST ranging from 14.0° to 28.9°C for the warmest month and from −1.9° to 19.8°C for the coldest month of the year. Settlement is also constrained to mean AT varying between 15° and 31°C for the warmest month and between −23° and 14°C for the coldest month of the year. Latitudinal limits for the species’ distribution in South America predicted by the analysis of AT regimes were Valdivia-Chiloe Island (39.8º–42.0°S, Chile) and Pisco (13.4°S, Peru) on the Pacific coast, and San Julian port (49.3°S) (Argentina) and Garopaba-Rio Grande (28.0°–32.0°S, Brazil) on the Atlantic coast. Geographical limits of distribution predicted by analysis of SST regimes were Chiloe Island (42.0°S, Chile) and Mancora (4.1°S, Peru) on the Pacific coast, and Puerto Deseado ria (47.7°S, Argentina) and Paranaguá (25.7°S, Brazil) on the Atlantic coast. Therefore, SST regimes would expand the potential range on the Pacific coast equatorward relative to AT.
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Acknowledgments
We express our sincere gratitude to the experts that contributed to clarify the present status of the geographic distribution of the Pacific cupped oyster in different regions of the world. Oscar Frumento, from the National Patagonian Center (CENPAT) provided an excellent guidance in the search for atmospheric temperature databases. Lobo Orensanz and Andrés Rivas (CENPAT) supplied relevant bibliographic material. Leonardo Venerus, Carla Riva Rossi (CENPAT), and Fernando Hidalgo (National University of Mar del Plata, Argentina) offered valuable comments on an earlier version of this article. Our special thanks are due to Dr. Jennifer Ruesink and two anonymous reviewers for their dedicated work that substantially improved this article. This work was conducted as part of the research plan for the doctoral thesis of Mauro Carrasco supported by a fellowship from National Council for Scientific and Technical Research (CONICET, Argentina).
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Carrasco, M.F., Barón, P.J. Analysis of the potential geographic range of the Pacific oyster Crassostrea gigas (Thunberg, 1793) based on surface seawater temperature satellite data and climate charts: the coast of South America as a study case. Biol Invasions 12, 2597–2607 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-009-9668-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-009-9668-0