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The impact of weather variability on British outbound flows

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Abstract

Climate can be understood both as a resource and a motivation for tourism. This study focuses on the second issue trying to establish the sensitivity to weather anomalies of the outbound flows from United Kingdom, the third biggest international tourist spender country. Using transfer function models it is possible to analyze the significance of the short-term weather conditions in the determination of outbound British flows and simulate the effects of different climate change scenarios. Results show how mean temperature, heat waves, air frost and sunshine days are the weather variables that can be significantly related to the dynamics of the outbound British flows time series.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Centre de Recerca Económica, Departament d’Economia Aplicada, Edifici Jovellanos, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Carretera Valldemossa km. 7.5, 07122, Palma de Mallorca, Spain

    Jaume Rosselló-Nadal, Antoni Riera-Font & Vivian Cárdenas

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  1. Jaume Rosselló-Nadal
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  2. Antoni Riera-Font
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  3. Vivian Cárdenas
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Correspondence to Jaume Rosselló-Nadal.

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Rosselló-Nadal, J., Riera-Font, A. & Cárdenas, V. The impact of weather variability on British outbound flows. Climatic Change 105, 281–292 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9873-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9873-y

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