Skip to main content
Log in

Incentive and informational properties of preference questions

  • Published:
Environmental and Resource Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Surveys are frequently used by businesses and governments to elicit information about the public’s preferences. They have become the most common way to gather preference information regarding goods, that are not (or are not yet) bought or sold in markets. In this paper we apply the standard neoclassical economic framework to generate predictions about how rational agents would answer such survey questions, which in turn implies how such survey data should be interpreted. In some situations, the standard economic model would be expected to have no predictive power. For situations where it does have predictive power, we compare different survey formats with respect to: (a) the information that the question itself reveals to the respondent, (b) the strategic incentives the respondent faces in answering the question, and (c) the information revealed by the respondent’s answer.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Adamowicz W, Louviere J and Williams M (1994). Combining revealed and stated preference measures for valuing environmental amenities. J Environ Econ Manage 26: 271–292

    Google Scholar 

  • Alberini A (1995). Efficiency vs. bias of willingness-to-pay estimates: bivariate and interval-data models. J Environ Econ Manage 29: 169–180

    Google Scholar 

  • Alberini A, Kanninen B and Carson RT (1997). Modeling response incentive effects in dichotomous choice contingent valuation data. Land Econ 73: 309–324

    Google Scholar 

  • Arrow K, Solow R, Portney PR, Leamer EE, Radner R and Schuman H (1993). Report of the NOAA panel on contingent valuation. Federal Register 58: 4601–4614

    Google Scholar 

  • Bateman IJ, Langford IH, Turner RK and Willis KG (1995). Elicitation and truncation effects in contingent valuation studies. Ecol Econ 12: 161–179

    Google Scholar 

  • Bateman IJ, Munro A, Rhodes B, Starmer C and Sugden R (1997). Does part-whole bias exist?: an experimental investigation. Econ J 107: 322–332

    Google Scholar 

  • Bateman IJ, Carson RT, Day B, Hanemann WM, Hanley N, Hett T, Jones-Lee M, Loomes G, Mourato S, Özdemiroglu E, Pearce DW, Sugden R and Swanson J (2002). Economic valuation with stated preference techniques: a manual. Edward Elgar, Northamptonm, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Becker GM, DeGroot MH and Marschak J (1964). Measuring utility by a single response sequential method. Behav Sci 9: 226–232

    Google Scholar 

  • Bergstrom T, Blume L and Varian H (1986). On the private provision of public goods. J Public Econ 29: 2–49

    Google Scholar 

  • Bishop RC and Heberlein TA (1979). Measuring values of extra-market goods: are indirect measures biased. Am J Agric Econ 61: 926–930

    Google Scholar 

  • Bishop RC, Heberlein TA (1990) The contingent valuation method. In: Johnson RL, Johnson GV (eds) Economic valuation of natural resources: issues, theory and applications. Westview Press, Boulder, CO

    Google Scholar 

  • Boxall PC, Adamowicz WL, Swait J, Williams M and Louviere J (1996). A comparison of stated preference methods for environmental valuation. Ecol Econ 18: 243–253

    Google Scholar 

  • Boyle KJ, Bishop RC and Welsh MP (1985). Starting point bias in contingent valuation bidding games. Land Econ 61: 188–194

    Google Scholar 

  • Boyle KJ, Johnson FR, McCollum D, Desvousges WH, Dunford RW and Hudson SP (1996). Valuing public goods: discrete versus continuous contingent-valuation responses. Land Econ 72: 381–396

    Google Scholar 

  • Brookshire DS, Ives BC and Schulze WD (1976). The valuation of aesthetic preferences. J Environ Econ Manag 3: 325–346

    Google Scholar 

  • Burton AC, Carson KS, Chilton SM and Hutchinson WG (2003). An experimental investigation of explanations for inconsistencies in responses to second offers in double referenda. J Environ Econ Manage 46: 472–489

    Google Scholar 

  • Cameron TA (1988). A new paradigm for valuing non-market goods using referendum data: maximum likelihood estimation by censored logistic regression. J Environ Econ Manage 15: 355–379

    Google Scholar 

  • Cameron TA and Huppert DD (1991). OLS versus ML estimation of non-market resources values with payment card interval data. J Environ Econ Manage 17: 230–246

    Google Scholar 

  • Cameron TA and Quiggin J (1994). Estimation using contingent valuation data from a ‘dichotomous choice with follow-up’ questionnaire. J Environ Econ Manage 27: 218–234

    Google Scholar 

  • Carlsson F and Martinsson P (2001). Do hypothetical and actual marginal willingness to pay differ in choice experiments?: application to the valuation of the environment. J Environ Econ Manage 41: 179–192

    Google Scholar 

  • Carson RT (1985) Three essays on contingent valuation. Unpublished Dissertation, University of California, Berkeley

    Google Scholar 

  • Carson RT, Steinberg D (1990) Experimental design for discrete choice voter preference surveys. In: 1989 Proceeding of the survey methodology section of the American Statistical Association. American Statistical Association, Washington

  • Carson RT, Hanemann WM, Mitchell RC (1987) The use of simulated political markets to value public goods. Discussion paper 87–7, Department of Economics, University of California, San Diego

  • Carson RT, Hanemann WM, Kopp RJ, Krosnick JA, Mitchell RC, Presser S, Ruud PA, Smith VK (1994) Prospective interim lost use value due to DDT and PCB contamination in the Southern California Bight. Report to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

  • Carson RT, Flores NE, Martin KM and Wright JL (1996). Contingent valuation and revealed preference methodologies: comparing the estimates for quasi-public goods. Land Econ 72: 80–99

    Google Scholar 

  • Carson RT, Groves T, Machina MJ (1997) Stated preference questions: context and optimal response. Paper presented at the National science foundation preference elicitation symposium, University of California, Berkeley

  • Carson RT, Groves T, List J (2004) Probabilistic influence and supplemental benefits: a field test of the two key assumptions behind using stated preferences. Paper presented at the European association of environmental and resource economists, Budapest, June

  • Champ PA and Bishop RC (2006). Is willingness to pay for a public good sensitive to the elicitation format?. Land Econ 82: 162–173

    Google Scholar 

  • Champ PA, Bishop RC, Brown TC and McCollum DW (1997). Using donation mechanism to value nonuse benefits from public goods. J Environ Econ Manage 33: 151–162

    Google Scholar 

  • Chapman RG and Staelin R (1982). Exploiting rank ordered choice set data within the stochastic utility model. J Market Res 19: 281–299

    Google Scholar 

  • Cronin FJ (1982) Valuing nonmarket goods through contingent markets. Report to U.S. Environmental Protection Agency by Battelle Memorial Institute, Richmond, Washington

  • Cummings RG and Taylor LO (1998). Does realism matter in contingent valuation surveys?. Land Econ 74: 203–215

    Google Scholar 

  • Cummings RG, Harrison GW and Rutström EE (1995). Homegrown values and hypothetical surveys: is the dichotomous choice approach incentive compatible. Am Econ Rev 85: 260–266

    Google Scholar 

  • Cummings RG, Elliott S, Harrison GW and Murphy J (1997). Are hypothetical referenda incentive compatible?. J Polit Econ 105: 609–621

    Google Scholar 

  • Farmer MC, Randall A (1996) Referendum voting strategies and implications for follow-up open-ended responses. Paper presented at the annual U.S.D.A. W-133 meeting, Jekyll Island, GA

  • Farquharson R (1969). Theory of voting. Yale University Press, New Haven

    Google Scholar 

  • Foster V, Bateman IJ and Harley D (1997). Real and hypothetical willingness to pay for environmental preservation: a non-experimental comparison. J Agric Econ 48: 123–138

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeman A (1991). Indirect methods for valuing changes in environmental risks with non-expected utility preferences. J Risk Uncertain 4: 153–165

    Google Scholar 

  • Gibbard A (1973). Manipulation of voting schemes: a general result. Econometrica 41: 587–601

    Google Scholar 

  • Green JR and Laffont JJ (1978). A sampling approach to the free rider problem. In: Sandmo, A (eds) Essays in public economics, pp. Lexington Books, Lexington, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Green DP, Jacowitz KE, Kahneman D and McFadden DL (1998). Referendum contingent valuation, anchoring, and willingness to pay for public goods. Resour Energy Econ 20: 85–116

    Google Scholar 

  • Greenhalgh C (1986). Research for new product development. In: Worcester, RM and Downham, J (eds) Consumer market research handbook, pp. Amsterdam, North-Holland

    Google Scholar 

  • Grether DM and Plott CR (1979). Economic theory of choice and the preference reversal phenomenon. Am Econ Rev 69: 623–638

    Google Scholar 

  • Groves T (1973). Incentives in teams. Econometrica 41: 617–631

    Google Scholar 

  • (1987). Information, incentives and economic mechanisms: essays in honor of Leonid Hurwicz. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis

    Google Scholar 

  • Haab TC and McConnell KE (1997). Referendum models and negative willingness to pay: alternative solutions. J Environ Econ Manage 32: 251–270

    Google Scholar 

  • Haab TC and McConnell KE (1998). Referendum models and economic values: theoretical, intuitive and practical bounds on willingness to pay. Land Econ 74: 216–229

    Google Scholar 

  • Haab TC and McConnell KE (2002). Valuing environmental and natural resources: econometrics of non-market valuation. Edward Elgar Publishers, Northampton

    Google Scholar 

  • Haab TC, Huang JC and Whitehead JC (1999). Are hypothetical referenda incentive compatible?: a comment. J Polit Econ 107: 186–196

    Google Scholar 

  • Hanemann WM (1984). Discrete/continuous models of consumer demand. Econometrica 52: 541–561

    Google Scholar 

  • Hanemann WM (1984). Welfare evaluations in contingent valuation: experiments with discrete responses. Am J Agric Econ 66: 335–379

    Google Scholar 

  • Hanemann WM (1991). Willingness to pay and willingness to accept: how much can they differ?. Am Econ Rev 81: 635–647

    Google Scholar 

  • Hanemann WM and Kanninen B (1999). The statistical analysis of discrete-response. In: Bateman, I and Willis, K (eds) Valuing the environment preferences: theory and practice of the contingent valuation method in the US, EC and developing countries, pp. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Hanemann WM, Loomis J and Kanninen B (1991). Statistical efficiency of double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation. Am J Agric Econ 73: 1255–1263

    Google Scholar 

  • (1993). Contingent valuation: a critical assessment. Amsterdam, North-Holland

    Google Scholar 

  • Hausman JA and Ruud P (1987). Specifying and testing econometric models for rank-ordered data. J Economet 34: 83–104

    Google Scholar 

  • Hensher DA (1994). Stated preference analysis of travel choice—the state of practice. Transportation 21: 107–133

    Google Scholar 

  • Herriges JA and Shogren JF (1996). Starting point bias in dichotomous choice valuation with follow-up questioning. J Environ Econ Manage 30: 112–131

    Google Scholar 

  • Hoehn J and Randall A (1987). A satisfactory benefit cost indicator from contingent valuation. J Environ Econ Manage 14: 226–247

    Google Scholar 

  • Holt CA (1986). Preference reversals and the independence axiom. Am Econ Rev 76: 508–515

    Google Scholar 

  • Horowitz JK (2006). The Becker-DeGroot-Marschak mechanism is not necessarily incentive compatible, even for non-random goods. Econ Lett 93: 6–11

    Google Scholar 

  • Hurwicz L (1986). Incentive aspects of decentralization. In: Arrow, KJ and Intriligator, MD (eds) Handbook of mathematical economics, vol. III., pp. Amsterdam, North-Holland

    Google Scholar 

  • Inforsino WJ (1986). Forecasting new product sales from likelihood of purchase ratings (with discussion). Market Sci 5: 372–390

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Johannesson M, Liljas B and Johansson PO (1998). An experimental comparison of dichotomous choice contingent valuation questions and real purchase decisions. Appl Econ 30: 643–647

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnson FR and Desvousges WH (1997). Estimating stated preferences with rated-pair data: environmental, health and employment effects of energy programs. J Environ Econ Manage 34: 79–99

    Google Scholar 

  • Kahneman D, Slovic P and Tversky A (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Cambridge University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Karni E and Safra Z (1987). Preference reversal and the observability of preferences by experimental methods. Econometrica 55: 675–685

    Google Scholar 

  • Kriström B (1990). A non-parametric approach to the estimation of welfare measures in discrete response valuation studies. Land Econ 66: 135–139

    Google Scholar 

  • Kriström B (1997). The practical problems of contingent valuation. In: Kopp, RJ, Pommerhene, WW and Schwartz, N (eds) Determining the value of non-marketed goods, pp. Kluwer, Boston

    Google Scholar 

  • Lankford RH (1985). Preferences of citizens for public expenditures on elementary and secondary education. J Econo 27: 1–20

    Google Scholar 

  • Lavrakas PJ and Traugott MW (2000). Election polls, the news media and democracy. Congressional Quarterly Press, Washington

    Google Scholar 

  • Lohmann S (1994). Information aggregation through costly political action. Am Econ Rev 84: 518–530

    Google Scholar 

  • Louviere JJ (1994). Conjoint analysis. In: Bagozzi, R (eds) Handbook of marketing research, pp. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Louviere JJ, Hensher DA and Swait JD (2000). Stated choice methods: analysis and application. Cambridge University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Lunander A (1998). Inducing incentives to understate and to overstate willingness to pay within the open-ended and the dichotomous-choice elicitation format. J Environ Econ Manage 35: 88–102

    Google Scholar 

  • Lupia A (1994). Shortcuts versus encyclopedias—information and voting behavior in California insurance reform elections. Am Polit Sci Rev 88: 63–76

    Google Scholar 

  • Machina MJ (1995). Non-expected utility and the robustness of the classical insurance paradigm. Geneva Papers Risk Insur Theory 20: 9–50

    Google Scholar 

  • Magat WA, Viscusi WK and Huber J (1988). Paired comparison and contingent valuation approaches to morbidity risk valuation. J Environ Econ Manage 15: 395–411

    Google Scholar 

  • McConnell KE (1990). Models for referendum data: the structure of discrete choice models for contingent valuation. J Environ Econ Manage 18: 19–34

    Google Scholar 

  • McDowell I and Newell C (1996). Measuring health: a guide to rating scales and questionnaires. Oxford University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • McFadden D (1974). Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior. In: Zarembka, P (eds) Frontiers in econometrics, pp. Academic Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • McFadden D (1980). Econometric models for probabilistic choice among products. J Bus 53: S13–S29

    Google Scholar 

  • McFadden D (1994). Contingent valuation and social choice. Am J Agric Econ 76: 689–708

    Google Scholar 

  • McFadden D (1999). Rationality for economists. J Risk Uncertain 19: 73–105

    Google Scholar 

  • McLeod DM and Bergland O (1999). Willingness-to-pay estimates using the double-bounded dichotomous-choice contingent valuation format: a test for validity and precision in a Bayesian framework. Land Econ 75: 115–125

    Google Scholar 

  • Mitchell RC, Carson RT (1986) The use of contingent valuation data for benefit-cost analysis in water pollution control. Report to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

  • Mitchell RC and Carson RT (1989). Using surveys to value public goods: the contingent valuation method. Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore

    Google Scholar 

  • Moulin H (1994). Social choice. In: Aumann, RJ and Hart, S (eds) Handbook of game theory with economic applications, pp. North-Holland, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Neil H, Cummings RG, Ganderton PT and Harrison GW (1994). Hypothetical surveys and real economic commitments. Land Econ 70: 145–154

    Google Scholar 

  • Payne S (1951). The art of asking questions. Princeton University Press, Princeton

    Google Scholar 

  • (2006). Environmental valuation in developed countries: case studies. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK

    Google Scholar 

  • Pearce DW and Markandya A (1989). Environmental policy benefits: monetary evaluation. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • (2002). Valuing the environment in developing countries. Edward Elgar, Northampton

    Google Scholar 

  • Pearce DW, Atkinson G and Mourato S (2006). Cost-benefit analysis and the environment: recent developments. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Peterson GL and Brown TC (1998). Economic valuation by the method of paired comparison, with emphasis on evaluation of the transitivity axiom. Land Econ 74: 240–261

    Google Scholar 

  • Popkin S (1991). The reasoning voter. University of Chicago Press, Chicago

    Google Scholar 

  • Posavac SS (1998). Strategic overbidding in contingent valuation: stated economic value of public goods varies according to consumers’ expectations of funding source. J Econ Psychol 19: 205–214

    Google Scholar 

  • Rabin M (1998). Psychology and economics. J Econ Liter 36: 11–46

    Google Scholar 

  • Randall A (1994). A difficulty with the travel cost method. Land Econ 70: 88–96

    Google Scholar 

  • Randall A, Ives BC and Eastman C (1974). Bidding games for valuation of aesthetic environmental improvements. J Environ Econ Manage 1: 132–149

    Google Scholar 

  • Richer J (1995). Willingness to pay for desert protection. Contemp Econ Policy 13: 93–104

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Romer T and Rosenthal H (1978). Political resource allocation, controlled agendas and the status quo. Public Choice 33: 27–43

    Google Scholar 

  • Rowe RD, Schulze WD and Breffle W (1996). A test for payment card biases. J Environ Econ Manage 31: 178–185

    Google Scholar 

  • Ruud PA (1983). Sufficient conditions for the consistency of maximum likelihood estimation despite misspecification of the distribution in multinomial choice models. Econometrica 51: 225–228

    Google Scholar 

  • Samuelson PA (1954). The pure theory of public expenditure. Rev Econ Stat 36: 387–389

    Google Scholar 

  • Satterthwaite M (1975). Strategy-proofness and arrow conditions: existence and correspondence theorems for voting procedures and welfare functions. J Econ Theory 10: 187–217

    Google Scholar 

  • Scott A (1965). The valuation of game resources: some theoretical aspects.Can Fish Rep 4: 27–47

    Google Scholar 

  • Seip K and Strand J (1992). Willingness to pay for environmental goods in Norway: a CV study with real payment. Environ Resour Econ 2: 91–106

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith VK and Desvousges WH (1986). Measuring water quality benefits. Kluwer, Boston

    Google Scholar 

  • Sudman S, Bradburn NM and Schwarz N (1996). Thinking about answers: the application of cognitive processes to survey methodology. Jossey-Bass Publishers, San Francisco

    Google Scholar 

  • Sugden R (1999). Alternatives to the neo-classical theory of choice. In: Bateman, IJ and Willis, KG (eds) Valuing environmental preferences: theory and practice of the contingent valuation method in the US, EU and developing countries, pp. Oxford University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Swait J and Louviere JJ (1993). The role of the scale parameter in the estimation and use of generalized extreme value models. J Market Res 30: 305–314

    Google Scholar 

  • Tversky A, Slovic P and Kahneman D (1990). The causes of preference reversal. Am Econ Rev 80: 204–217

    Google Scholar 

  • Varian H (1992). Microeconomic analysis. Norton, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Vickery W (1961). Counterspeculation, auctions and competitive sealed tenders. J Finance 16: 8–37

    Google Scholar 

  • Vossler CA, Kerkvliet J, Polasky S and Gainutdinova O (2003). Externally validating contingent valuation: an open-space survey and referendum in Corvallis, Oregon. J Econ Behav Organ 51: 261–277

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Richard T. Carson.

Additional information

Earlier versions of this paper have been presented as a plenary address to the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economics in Oslo, as an invited paper at the Japanese Forum on Environmental Valuation meeting in Kobe, and at a NOAA conference on stated preference methods.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Carson, R.T., Groves, T. Incentive and informational properties of preference questions. Environ Resource Econ 37, 181–210 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-007-9124-5

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-007-9124-5

Keywords

Navigation