Skip to main content
Log in

Asymptotic Tail Probabilities of Sums of Dependent Subexponential Random Variables

  • Published:
Journal of Theoretical Probability Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities of sums of dependent and real-valued random variables whose distributions are assumed to be subexponential and not necessarily of dominated variation. We propose two general dependence assumptions under which the asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities of the sums is the same as that in the independent case. In particular, the two dependence assumptions are satisfied by multivariate Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern distributions.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Albrecher, H., Asmussen, S., Kortschak, D.: Tail asymptotics for the sum of two heavy-tailed dependent risks. Extremes 9(2), 107–130 (2006)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  2. Asmussen, S.: Ruin Probabilities. World Scientific, Singapore (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Asmussen, S., Foss, S., Korshunov, D.: Asymptotics for sums of random variables with local subexponential behaviour. J. Theor. Probab. 16(2), 489–518 (2003)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  4. Asmussen, S., Rojas-Nandayapa, L.: Asymptotics of sums of lognormal random variables with Gaussian copula. Stat. Probab. Lett. 78 (2008, to appear)

  5. Bingham, N.H., Goldie, C.M., Teugels, J.L.: Regular Variation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1987)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  6. Chistyakov, V.P.: A theorem on sums of independent positive random variables and its applications to branching random processes. Theory Probab. Appl. 9, 640–648 (1964)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Davis, R.A., Resnick, S.I.: Limit theory for bilinear processes with heavy-tailed noise. Ann. Appl. Probab. 6(4), 1191–1210 (1996)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  8. Embrechts, P., Goldie, C.M.: On closure and factorization properties of subexponential and related distributions. J. Aust. Math. Soc. Ser. A 29(2), 243–256 (1980)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  9. Embrechts, P., Goldie, C.M., Veraverbeke, N.: Subexponentiality and infinite divisibility. Z. Wahrscheinlichkeitstheor. Verw. Geb. 49(3), 335–347 (1979)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  10. Embrechts, P., Klüppelberg, C., Mikosch, T.: Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance and Finance. Springer, Berlin (1997)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  11. Foss, S., Konstantopoulos, T., Zachary, S.: Discrete and continuous time modulated random walks with heavy-tailed increments. J. Theor. Probab. 20(3), 581–612 (2007)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  12. Geluk, J.: Asymptotics in the symmetrization inequality. Stat. Probab. Lett. 69(1), 63–68 (2004)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  13. Geluk, J., Ng, K.W.: Tail behavior of negatively associated heavy-tailed sums. J. Appl. Probab. 43(2), 587–593 (2006)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  14. Geluk, J.L., De Vries, C.G.: Weighted sums of subexponential random variables and asymptotic dependence between returns on reinsurance equities. Insur. Math. Econ. 38(1), 39–56 (2006)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Goldie, C.M.: Subexponential distributions and dominated-variation tails. J. Appl. Probab. 15(2), 440–442 (1978)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  16. Ko, B., Tang, Q.: Sums of dependent nonnegative random variables with subexponential tails. J. Appl. Probab. 45(1), 85–95 (2008)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  17. Kortschak, D., Albrecher, H.: Asymptotic results for the sum of dependent non-identically distributed random variables. Methodol. Comput. Appl. Probab. 10 (2008, to appear)

  18. Korshunov, D.A., Schlegel, S., Shmidt, F.: Asymptotic analysis of random walks with dependent heavy-tailed increments. Siberian Math. J. 44(5), 833–844 (2003)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  19. Kotz, S., Balakrishnan, N., Johnson, N.L.: Continuous Multivariate Distributions, 2nd edn. Models and Applications, vol. 1. Wiley, New York (2000)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  20. Lehmann, E.L.: Some concepts of dependence. Ann. Math. Stat. 37, 1137–1153 (1966)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  21. Leslie, J.R.: On the nonclosure under convolution of the subexponential family. J. Appl. Probab. 26(1), 58–66 (1989)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  22. Maulik, K., Resnick, S.: Characterizations and examples of hidden regular variation. Extremes 7, 31–67 (2004)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  23. Mikosch, T., Samorodnitsky, G.: The supremum of a negative drift random walk with dependent heavy-tailed steps. Ann. Appl. Probab. 10(3), 1025–1064 (2000)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  24. Mikosch, T., Samorodnitsky, G.: Ruin probability with claims modeled by a stationary ergodic stable process. Ann. Probab. 28(4), 1814–1851 (2000)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  25. Ng, K.W., Tang, Q., Yang, H.: Maxima of sums of heavy-tailed random variables. ASTIN Bull. 32(1), 43–55 (2002)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  26. Sgibnev, M.S.: Banach algebras of measures of class \(\mathcal{S}(\gamma )\) . Siberian Math. J. 29(4), 647–655 (1988)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  27. Tang, Q.: Insensitivity to negative dependence of asymptotic tail probabilities of sums and maxima of sums. Stoch. Anal. Appl. 26(3) (2008, to appear)

  28. Tang, Q., Vernic, R.: The impact on ruin probabilities of the association structure among financial risks. Stat. Probab. Lett. 77(14), 1522–1525 (2007)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  29. Teugels, J.L.: The class of subexponential distributions. Ann. Probab. 3(6), 1000–1011 (1975)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Qihe Tang.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Geluk, J., Tang, Q. Asymptotic Tail Probabilities of Sums of Dependent Subexponential Random Variables. J Theor Probab 22, 871–882 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10959-008-0159-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10959-008-0159-5

Keywords

Mathematics Subject Classification (2000)

Navigation