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Assessing the nature of nanotechnology: can we uncover an emerging general purpose technology?

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Abstract

Attention has increasingly shifted towards the long-run perspective on technological innovation, which suggests that progress comes in waves, each one originating with a major breakthrough or general purpose technology (GPT). This paper seeks to assess whether nanotechnology is likely to be (or become) a GPT, a characteristic that other researchers have sometimes assumed though not necessarily documented. Based on a survey of existing literature, this paper will explore the extent to which nanotechnology addresses three primary characteristics of a GPT: pervasiveness, innovation spawning, and scope for improvement. The paper draws on patent and patent citation databases to highlight the types of quantitative and qualitative information that would be necessary, and in some instances is still lacking, to characterize fully the nature of nanotechnology.

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Notes

  1. The disciplinary convergence hypothesis is not without its detractors (See for example, Khushf, 2004).

  2. These plots are subject to substantial right-side truncation due to the data being collected from the granted patents—these figures do not include information available in the US since 2001 on published applications.

  3. These scores (built from USPTO classes) for computer patents 1975–1979 were 0.63, 0.65, 0.66, 0.68, and 0.67, respectively, and are significantly higher than the scores for all patenting in those years (0.49 in each year).

  4. Another problem for any such analysis would arise if the placement of citations by examiners was driven by some internal USPTO job incentive.

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Acknowledgements

Authors contributed equally to this work. This research was undertaken at Georgia Tech through the Center for Nanotechnology in Society (CNS-ASU), supported by the National Science Foundation under NSF NSEC CNS SES #0531194, in collaboration with research sponsored under NSF NSEC CNS SES #0531146. We gratefully acknowledge helpful comments we received from Philip Shapira and participants at the Technology Transfer Society Annual Conference, September 27, 2006, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.

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Youtie, J., Iacopetta, M. & Graham, S. Assessing the nature of nanotechnology: can we uncover an emerging general purpose technology?. J Technol Transfer 33, 315–329 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10961-007-9030-6

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