Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Megacities – megarisks

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We review the definitions, population trends, and characteristics of megacities. Characteristics of megacities are, apart from their size, their complexity in terms of administration, infrastructure, traffic, etc., and at the same time the speed of change. Vulnerabilities and risk potential are discussed using the examples of Mexico City and Mumbai. We present the experience accumulated in the 6 years work of the Earthquakes and Megacities Initiative (EMI, http://www-megacities.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/) with more than 20 large cities around the world, mostly located in the developing world. On this background we analyze obstacles that keep megacities from developing an efficient approach towards disaster mitigation and define a strategy that might overcome these problems. The key element of this strategy is the development of a Disaster Risk Management Master Plan (DRMMP) for cities. Currently the Istanbul Earthquake Master Plan (IEMP) serves as best example for an appropriate strategy for disaster reduction in megacities.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bilham R (1988) Earthquakes and urban growth. Nature 336:625–626

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bilham R (1995) Global fatalities in the past 2000 years: prognosis for the next 30. In: Rundle J, Klein F, Turcotte D (eds) Reduction and predictability of natural disasters, Santa Fe Institute Studies in the Sciences of Complexity, vol XXV. Addison Wesley

  • Bilham R (2004) Urban earthquake fatalities: a safer world, or worse to come? Seismol Res Lett 75(6):706–712

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chernov Yu K, Sokolov V Yu (1999) Correlation of seismic intensity with Fourier acceleration spectra. Phys Chem Earth 24(6):523–528

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gelbard A, Haub C, Kent M (1999) World population beyond six billion. Popul Bull 54(1):3–40

    Google Scholar 

  • Hough SE, Martin S, Bilham R, Atkinson GM (2002) The 26 January 2001 M 7.6 Bhuj, India. Earthquake: observed and predicted ground motion. Bull Seism Soc Am 92:2061–2079

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Husa K, Wohlschlägl H (1999) Megastädte der Dritten Welt im Globalisierungsprozess. Mexico City, Jakarta, Bombay – Vergleichende Fallstudien in ausgewählten Kulturkreisen, Abhandlungen zur Geographie und Regionalforschung, Band 6, Institut für Geographie der Universität Wien, ISBN 3-900830-40-1

  • Jaiswal K, Sokolov V, Sinha R, Wenzel F, Chernov Y (2004) Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for Mumbai (western India) area. In: Chen YT, Panza GF, Wu ZL (eds) IUGG special volume: earthquake hazard, risk, and strong ground motion. Seismological Press, Beijing, pp 7–30

  • Panza GF, Paskaleva I, Nunziata C (2004) Seismic ground motion in large urban areas. Pageoph Topical Volumes, Birkhäuser Verlag, Basel-Boston-Berlin, ISBN: 3-7643-7042-4, vol 161, No. 5/6, pp 943–1300

  • Puente S (1999) Social vulnerability to disasters in Mexico city: an assessment method. In: Mitchell JK (ed) Crucibles of hazard: mega-cities and disasters in transition. United Nations University Press, Tokyo, New York, Paris, ISBN 92-808-0987-3, pp 295–334

  • Sinha R, Adrash N (1999) A postulated earthquake damage scenario for Mumbai. Indian Soc Earthquake Technol 36(3):1

    Google Scholar 

  • Sokolov VYu (2002) Seismic intensity and Fourier acceleration spectra: revised relationship. Earthquake Spectra 18(1):161–187

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Telford Th (1995) Megacities: reducing vulnerability to natural disasters. Institution of Civil Engineers, Thomas Telford Publications, London, ISBN 0-7277-2068-6

  • UN [United Nations Population Division] (2000) World urbanization prospects: the 1999 revision. United Nations Population Division, New York, 128 pp

  • Yong C, Tsoi KL, Fehbi C, Zhenhuan G, Oija Z, Zhangli C (1988) The Great Tangshan earthquake of 1976: an anatomy of disaster. Pergamon Press, ISBN 0-080-344875-0, 162 pp

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Friedemann Wenzel.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Wenzel, F., Bendimerad, F. & Sinha, R. Megacities – megarisks. Nat Hazards 42, 481–491 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-006-9073-2

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-006-9073-2

Keywords

Navigation