Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

Storm surge modelling for the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Most of the countries around the North Indian Ocean are threatened by storm surges associated with severe tropical cyclones. The destruction due to the storm surge flooding is a serious concern along the coastal regions of India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Oman. Storm surges cause heavy loss of lives and property damage to the coastal structures and losses of agriculture which lead to annual economic losses in these countries. About 300,000 lives were lost in one of the most severe cyclones that hit Bangladesh (then East Pakistan) in November 1970. The Andhra Cyclone devastated part of the eastern coast of India, killing about 10,000 persons in November 1977. More recently, the Chittagong cyclone of April 1991 killed 140,000 people in Bangladesh, and the Orissa coast of India was struck by a severe cyclonic storm in October 1999, killing more than 15,000 people besides enormous loss to the property in the region. These and most of the world’s greatest natural disasters associated with the tropical cyclones have been directly attributed to storm surges. The main objective of this article is to highlight the recent developments in storm surge prediction in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12
Fig. 13
Fig. 14
Fig. 15

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ali A (1979) Storm surges in the Bay of Bengal and some related problems. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Reading, England, 227 pp

  • Chittibabu P (1999) Development of storm surge prediction models for the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea. Ph.D. Thesis, IIT Delhi, India, 262 pp

  • Chittibabu P, Dube SK, Rao AD, Sinha PC, Murty TS (2000) Numerical simulation of extreme sea levels using location specific high resolution model for Gujarat coast of India. Mar Geod 23:133–142. doi:10.1080/01490410050030698

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chittibabu P, Dube SK, Rao AD, Sinha PC, Murty TS (2002) Numerical simulation of extreme sea levels for the Tamilnadu (India) and Sri Lanka coasts. Mar Geod 25:235–244. doi:10.1080/01490410290051554

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Das PK (1972) A prediction model for storm surges in the Bay of Bengal. Nature 239:211–213. doi:10.1038/239211a0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Das PK (1994a) Prediction of storm surges in the Bay of Bengal. Proc Indian Natl Sci Acad 60:513–533

    Google Scholar 

  • Das PK (1994b) On the Prediction of storm surges. Sadhana 19:583–595. doi:10.1007/BF02835641

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Das PK, Sinha MC, Balasubramanyam V (1974) Storm surges in the Bay of Bengal. Q J R Meteorol Soc 100:437–449

    Google Scholar 

  • Das PK, Dube SK, Mohanty UC, Sinha PC, Rao AD (1983) Numerical simulation of the surge generated by the June 1982 Orissa cyclone. Mausam (New Delhi) 34:359–366

    Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Gaur VK (1995) Real time storm surge prediction system for the Bay of Bengal. Curr Sci 68:103–113

    Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Sinha PC, Rao AD, Rao GS (1985a) Numerical modelling of storm surges in the Arabian Sea. Appl Math Model 9:289–294. doi:10.1016/0307-904X(85)90067-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Sinha PC, Roy GD (1985b) The numerical simulation of storm surges along the Bangladesh coast. Dyn Atmos Oceans 9:121–133. doi:10.1016/0377-0265(85)90002-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Sinha PC, Roy GD (1986) The effect of continuously deforming coastline on the numerical simulation of storm surges in Bangladesh. Math Comput Simul 28:41–56. doi:10.1016/0378-4754(86)90086-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Sinha PC, Rao AD, Chittibabu P (1994) A real time storm surge prediction system: an application to east coast of India. Proc Indian Natl Sci Acad 60:157–170

    Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Rao AD, Sinha PC, Murty TS, Bahulayan N (1997) Storm surge in the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea: the problem and its prediction. Mausam (New Delhi) 48:283–304

    Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Chittibabu P, Rao AD, Sinha PC, Murty TS (2000a) Extreme sea levels associated with severe tropical cyclones hitting Orissa coast of India. Mar Geod 23:75–90. doi:10.1080/01490410050030652

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Chittibabu P, Rao AD, Sinha PC, Murty TS (2000b) Sea levels and coastal inundation due to tropical cyclones in Indian coastal regions of Andhra and Orissa. Mar Geod 23:65–73. doi:10.1080/01490410050030643

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Rao AD, Sinha PC, Chittibabu P (2000c) Storm surge modeling and prediction. In: Dwivedi AP (ed) Mathematical analysis and applications. Narosa Publishing House, New Delhi, India, pp 109–124

    Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Chittibabu P, Sinha PC, Rao AD, Murty TS (2004) Numerical modeling of storm surges in the head Bay of Bengal using location specific model. Nat Hazards 31:437–453. doi:10.1023/B:NHAZ.0000023361.94609.4a

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Sinha PC, Rao AD, Jain I, Agnihotri N (2005) Effect of Mahanadi river on the development of storm surge along the Orissa coast of India: a numerical study. Pure Appl Geophys 162:1673–1688. doi:10.1007/s00024-005-2688-5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dube SK, Jain I, Rao AD (2006) Numerical storm surge prediction model for the North Indian Ocean and the South China Sea. Disaster Dev 1:47–63

    Google Scholar 

  • Ghosh SK (1977) Prediction of storm surges on the east coast of India. Indian J Meteorol Geophys 28:157–168

    Google Scholar 

  • Gönnert G, Dube SK, Murty T, Siefert W (2001) Global storm surges: theory, observations and applications. Die Kueste, 623 pp

  • Heaps NS (1973) Three- dimensional numerical model for the Irish Sea. Geophys J R Astron Soc 35:99–120

    Google Scholar 

  • IOC-UNESCO (1999) Project proposal on storm surges disaster for the northern part of the Indian Ocean. Project no. IOC/INF-1131, Paris

  • Jain I, Chittibabu P, Agnihotri N, Dube SK, Sinha PC, Rao AD (2006a) Simulation of storm surges along Myanmar coast using a location specific numerical model. Nat Hazards 39:71–82. doi:10.1007/s11069-005-3176-z

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jain I, Chittibabu P, Agnihotri N, Dube SK, Sinha PC, Rao AD (2006b) Numerical storm surge prediction model for Gujarat coast of India and adjoining Pakistan coast. Nat Hazards 42:67–73. doi:10.1007/s11069-006-9060-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jelesnianski CP, Taylor AD (1973) NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL, WMPO-3, 33 pp

  • Johns B, Ali A (1980) The numerical modelling of storm surges in the Bay of Bengal. Q J R Meteorol Soc 106:1–8. doi:10.1002/qj.49710644702

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Johns B, Dube SK, Mohanty UC, Sinha PC (1981) Numerical simulation of the surge generated by the 1977 Andhra Cyclone. Q J R Meteorol Soc 107:915–934

    Google Scholar 

  • Johns B, Sinha PC, Dube SK, Mohanty UC, Rao AD (1983) Simulation of storm surges using a three-dimensional numerical model: an application to the 1977 Andhra Cyclone. Q J R Meteorol Soc 109:211–224. doi:10.1002/qj.49710945910

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Johns B, Rao AD, Dube SK, Sinha PC (1985) Numerical modelling of the tide surge interaction in the Bay of Bengal. Philos Trans R Soc Lond A 313:507–535. doi:10.1098/rsta.1985.0002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Joint Typhoon Warning Center (2007) Northern Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Best Track Data, Retrieved on 4 June 2007

  • Morey SL, Baig S, Bourassa MA, Dukhovskoy DS, O’Brien JJ (2006) Remote forcing contribution to storm-induced sea level rise during hurricane Dennis. Geophys Res Lett 33: L19603, doi:10.1029/2006GL027021

  • Murty TS (1984) Storm surges: meteorological ocean tides. Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Ottawa, Canada

    Google Scholar 

  • Murty TS, Henry RF (1983) Tides in the Bay of Bengal. J Geophys Res 88(c-10):6069–6076. doi:10.1029/JC088iC10p06069

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murty TS, Flather RA, Henry RF (1986) The storm surge problem in the Bay of Bengal. Prog Oceanogr 16:195–233. doi:10.1016/0079-6611(86)90039-X

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rao AD (1982) Numerical storm surge prediction in India. Ph.D. thesis, IIT Delhi, New Delhi, 211 pp

  • Rao NSB, Mazumdar S (1966) A technique for forecasting storm waves. Indian J Meteorol Geophys 17:333–346

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao YR, Chittibabu P, Dube SK, Rao AD, Sinha PC (1997) Storm surge prediction and frequency analysis for Andhra coast of India. Mausam (New Delhi) 48:555–566

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao AD, Jain I, Murthy MVR, Murty TS, Dube SK (2008) Impact of cyclonic wind field on interaction of surge-wave computations using Finite- element and Finite-difference models. Nat Hazards. doi:10.1007/s11069-008-9284-9

  • Report IMD (1999) Report on cyclonic disturbances over North Indian Ocean during 1998, Abridged report for circulation during the meeting of WMO/ESCAP panel on Tropical cyclones. RSMC-Tropical cyclones, New Delhi, 71 pp

  • Roy GD (1984) Numerical storm surge prediction in Bangladesh. Ph.D. Thesis, Indian Institute of Technology, Delhi, 188 pp

  • Roy GD, Humayuan Kabir ABM, Mandal MM, Haque MZ (1999) Polar coordinates shallow water storm surge model for the coast of Bangladesh. Dyn Atmos Oceans 29:397–413. doi:10.1016/S0377-0265(99)00012-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sielecki A (1968) An energy-conserving difference scheme for the storm surge equations. Mon Weather Rev 96:150–156

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sinha PC, Rao YR, Dube SK, Rao AD (1996) Numerical investigation of tide-surge interaction in Hooghly Estuary, India. Mar Geod 19:235–255. doi:10.1080/01490419609388082

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sinha PC, Jain I, Bhardwaj N, Rao AD, Dube SK (2008) Numerical modeling of tide-surge interaction along Orissa coast of India. Nat Hazards 45:413–427. doi:10.1007/s11069-007-9176-4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smith WHF, Sandwell DT (1997) Global Sea floor topography from satellite altimetry and ship depth soundings. Science 277(5334):1956–1962. doi:10.1126/science.277.5334.1956

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • UNISYS Hurricane Database (2008) UNISYS Corporation: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/n_indian/index.html

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology, New Delhi, 110 016, India

    S. K. Dube, Indu Jain & A. D. Rao

  2. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada

    T. S. Murty

Authors
  1. S. K. Dube
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Indu Jain
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. A. D. Rao
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. T. S. Murty
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to S. K. Dube.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Dube, S.K., Jain, I., Rao, A.D. et al. Storm surge modelling for the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea. Nat Hazards 51, 3–27 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-009-9397-9

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-009-9397-9

Keywords

Search

Navigation