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An integrated earthquake vulnerability assessment framework for urban areas

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Abstract

In this paper, an integrated urban earthquake vulnerability assessment framework, which considers vulnerability of urban environment in a holistic manner and performs the vulnerability assessment for the neighborhood scale, is proposed. The main motivation behind this approach is the inability to implement existing vulnerability assessment methodologies for countries like Turkey, where the required data are usually missing or inadequate for the decision-makers in prioritization their limited resources for risk reduction in the administrative units from which they are responsible for. The methodology integrates socio-economical, structural, coastal, ground condition, vulnerabilities (fragilities), as well as accessibility to critical services. The proposed methodology is implemented for Eskisehir, which is one of the metropolitans of Turkey. In the implementation of the proposed framework, geographic information system (GIS) is used. While the overall vulnerabilities obtained for neighborhoods are mapped in GIS, the overall vulnerabilities obtained for buildings are visualized in 3D city model. The main reason behind using different mapping and visualization tools for vulnerabilities is to provide better ways for communicating with decision-makers. The implementation of the proposed vulnerability assessment methodology indicates that an urban area may have different vulnerability patterns in terms of structural, socio-economical, and accessibility to critical services. When such patterns are investigated, effective vulnerability reduction policies can be designed by the decision-makers. The proposed methodology well serves for this purpose.

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Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the anonymous reviewer for the accurate reading of the manuscript and providing valuable comments on the initial manuscript. This research work is partly supported by the Institute of Natural and Applied Sciences, Middle East Technical University (Project No: BAP-08-11-DPT2002K120510). The authors also express their thanks to Eskisehir Greater Metropolitan Municipality and Odunpazari Municipality for providing data for the application of the case study, Dr. Fatima Gunes for her invaluable efforts during the implementation of field surveys for socio-economical vulnerability, Prof. Dr. Ali Kocyigit for his contributions to the delineation of seismic source zones, and Mr. Mehmet Servi for providing the building damage data for Odunpazari.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Geodetic and Geographical Information Technologies and Earthquake Studies Department, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey

    H. S. B. Duzgun, S. Kemec & K. Ertugay

  2. Civil Engineering and Earthquake Studies Departments, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey

    M. S. Yucemen

  3. Department of Sociology, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey

    H. S. Kalaycioglu

  4. Department of Sociology, Ondokuz Mayıs University, Samsun, Turkey

    K. Celik

  5. Technological Engineering Services Co. Ltd., Po Box 45, Aksu, Ankara, Turkey

    A. Deniz

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  1. H. S. B. Duzgun
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Correspondence to H. S. B. Duzgun.

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Duzgun, H.S.B., Yucemen, M.S., Kalaycioglu, H.S. et al. An integrated earthquake vulnerability assessment framework for urban areas. Nat Hazards 59, 917–947 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-011-9808-6

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