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Risk analysis for drought hazard in China: a case study in Huaibei Plain

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Abstract

In recent decades, risk management is significant to mitigate the severe status caused by droughts. As one of the primary components in risk analysis, drought hazard analysis is basic but important. In this paper, the framework of drought risk analysis and the methodology for drought hazard analysis are presented, and Huaibei Plain of China is chosen as the study area. The whole study region is divided into three parts (northern, central, and southern) by geographical factors, and a developed index named drought comprehensive Z index (DCZI) containing hydrological and meteorological factors is employed for drought hazard analysis in each area. By comparison, it implicates that DCZI is applicable for Huaibei Plain and indicates drought extent more objectively. Moreover, the results of drought hazard analysis reflect that the northern area is affected by droughts more seriously. As for the whole region, there is a great probability of severe drought. Finally, some policy recommendations on drought management are also made.

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Acknowledgments

The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) under Grant Nos. 71020107026, 71273081 and 51109052; National Basic Research Program of China under the Grant No. 2012CB955704; the early major infrastructure projects of the Ministry of Water Resources of China (Research on National Drought Zoning and Drought Disaster Risk Assessment); and the Opening Foundation of Chengdu Institute of Plateau Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration (LMP2011002).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China

    Xiao-Chen Yuan, Ju-Liang Jin & Yi-Ming Wei

  2. School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China

    Xiao-Chen Yuan & Yi-Ming Wei

  3. School of Civil Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, 230009, China

    Yu-Liang Zhou & Ju-Liang Jin

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  1. Xiao-Chen Yuan
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Correspondence to Yi-Ming Wei.

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Yuan, XC., Zhou, YL., Jin, JL. et al. Risk analysis for drought hazard in China: a case study in Huaibei Plain. Nat Hazards 67, 879–900 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0614-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0614-1

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