Abstract
Cyclones are the most common natural disaster in Bangladesh. Here, we assess the economic impact of a relatively small cyclone, Cyclone Aila, which hit the Sundarbans region in 2009 and destroyed local infrastructure including many shrimp farms. In contrast to other studies, we found that the higher-income households in the study area (Koyra sub-district) were more vulnerable in both relative and absolute terms. The average damage costs for high income households were 42 % of the yearly income before Aila, whereas this was only 16 and 15 % for middle- and low-income groups, respectively. Higher-income households were also less resilient than middle- and low-income groups, also something rarely reported in the literature. By engaging in new opportunities, the poorest households, by our calculations, increased their income by 16 % compared to their income before Aila. Middle income households decreased their income slightly (by 4 %), while the income of the richest households dropped by about 50 % after the cyclone. Income was more equally distributed across the population after the cyclone than it was before, in particular in the highly and severely affected areas.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
References
Abdullah ANM (2014) Livelihood strategies of people surrounding the Sundarbans mangrove forest. PhD Thesis, Charles Darwin University, Darwin
Abdullah ANM, Stacey N, Garnett ST, Myers B (2016) Economic dependence on mangrove forest resources for livelihoods in the Sundarbans, Bangladesh. For Pol Econ 64:15–24
Adger WN (2006) Vulnerability. Global Environ Chang 16:268–281
Agrawala S, Ota T, Ahmed AU, Smith J, Aalst MV (2003) Development and climate change in Bangladesh: focus on coastal flooding and the Sundarbans. Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Paris
Akter S (2012) The role of microinsurance as a safety net against environmental risks in Bangladesh. J Environ Dev 21:263–280
Alam E, Collins AE (2010) Cyclone disaster vulnerability and response experiences in coastal Bangladesh. Disasters 34:931–954
Ali A (2003) Impacts of climate change on tropical cyclones and storm surges in Bangladesh. In: Quadir DA, Prasad K, Hussain MA (eds) Proceedings of the SAARC Seminar on climate variability in the South Asian region and its impact, 10–12 December, 2002. SAARC Meteorological Research Centre (SMRC), Dhaka, pp 130–136
Allen CR, Angeler DG, Garmestani AS, Gunderson LH, Holling CS (2014) Panarchy: theory and Application. Nebraska Cooperative Fish & Wildlife Research Unit, Paper 127. http://snr.unl.edu/necoopunit/downloads/Publications/Craig%20Allen/Panarchy.pdf. Accessed 15 Sept 2015
Allison EH, Ellis F (2001) The livelihoods approach and management of small-scale fisheries. Mar Policy 25:377–388
Arouri M, Nguyen C, Youssef AB (2015) Natural disasters, household welfare, and resilience: evidence from rural Vietnam. World Dev 70:59–77
Ayers J, Forsyth T (2009) Community based adaptation to climate change. Environment 51:22–31
Babulo B, Muys B, Nega F, Tollens E, Nyssen J, Deckers J, Mathijs E (2009) The economic contribution of forest resource use to rural livelihoods in Tigray, Northern Ethiopia. Forest Policy Econ 11:109–117
Barrett CB, Constas MA (2014) Towards a theory of resilience for international development applications. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 111:14625–14630
BBS (Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics) (2011) Report of household income and expenditure survey, 2010. Statistical Division, Ministry of Planning, Dhaka
BBS (Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics) (2012) Community report: Khulna Zila, population and housing census, 2011. Statistical Division, Ministry of Planning, Dhaka
Brooks N, Adger WN, Kelly PM (2005) The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implications for adaptation. Global Environ Chang 15:151–163
Brouwer R, Akter S, Brander L, Haque E (2007) Socioeconomic vulnerability and adaptation to environmental risk: a case study of climate change and flooding in Bangladesh. Risk Anal 27:313–326
Bui AT, Dungey M, Nguyen CV, Pham TP (2014) The impact of natural disasters on household income, expenditure, poverty and inequality: evidence from Vietnam. Appl Econ 46:1751–1766
Campbell J, Townsley P, Balasubramanian G, Mahapatra B, Muralidharan M (2001) Learning lessons from the cyclone. A study of DFID’s support for post-cyclone livelihoods rehabilitation in Orissa, India. IMM Ltd, Exeter
Campbell BM, Jeffrey S, Kozanayi W, Luckert M, Mutamba M, Zindi C (2002) Household livelihoods in semi-arid areas. Options and constraints. Centre for International Forestry Research (CIFOR), Bogor
Carter MR, Little PD, Mogues T, Negatu W (2007) Poverty traps and natural disasters in Ethiopia and Honduras. World Dev 35:835–856
Cavendish W (2002) Quantitative methods for estimating the economic value of resource use to rural households. Uncovering the hidden harvest: valuation methods for woodland and forest resources. Earthscan, London
Collins J (2014) A rising tide in Bangladesh: livelihood adaptation to climate stress. Aust Geogr 45:289–307
CRED (2011) EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database, Université Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium. www.emdat.be. Accessed 15 Sept 2015
Cutter SL (1993) Living with risk. Edward Arnold, London
Cutter SL (1996) Vulnerability to environmental hazards. Prog Hum Geog 20:529–539
Cutter SL, Burton CG, Emrich CT (2010) Disaster resilience indicators for benchmarking baseline conditions. J Homel Secur Emerg Manag 7:51
Dasgupta A, Baschieri A (2010) Vulnerability to climate change in rural Ghana: mainstreaming climate change in poverty-reduction strategies. J Int Dev 22:803–820
Dasgupta S, Huq M, Khan ZH, Ahmed MMZ, Mukherjee N, Khan MF, Pandey K (2010) Vulnerability of Bangladesh to cyclones in a changing climate—potential damages and adaptation cost. Policy Research Working Paper 5280, The World Bank, Washington, DC
De Haen H, Hemrich G (2007) The economics of natural disasters: implications and challenges for food security. Agr Econ 37:31–45
De Silva D, Yamao M (2007) Effects of the tsunami on fisheries and coastal livelihood: a case study of tsunami-ravaged southern Sri Lanka. Disasters 31:386–404
Devereux S (1999) Making less last longer. In: Informal safety nets in Malawi. IDS Discussion Paper 373, Institute of Development Studies, Brighton
DMB (Disaster Management Bureau) (2009) Summary of cyclone Aila. Situation Report 090525-02, Disaster Management Bureau, Dhaka
DoF (Department of Fisheries) (2009) Fishery Statistical Yearbook of Bangladesh 2007-08. Department of Fisheries, Ministry of Fisheries and Livestock, Dhaka
Dorosh P, del Ninno C, Shahabuddin Q (2004) The 1998 floods and beyond: towards comprehensive food security in Bangladesh. The University Press Limited and International Food Policy Research Institute Research (IFPRI), Dhaka and Washington, DC
Ellis F (2000) The determinants of rural livelihood diversification in developing countries. J Agr Econ 51:289–302
Fisher M (2004) Household welfare and forest dependence in Southern Malawi. Environ Dev Econ 9:135–154
Fothergill A, Peek L (2004) Poverty and disasters in the United States: a review of recent sociological findings. Nat Hazards 32:89–110
Gentle P, Maraseni TN (2012) Climate change, poverty and livelihoods: adaptation practices by rural communities in Nepal. Environ Sci Policy 21:24–34
Gini C (1936) On the measure of concentration with special reference to income and statistics. Colorado College Publication, General Series 208: 73–79
GOB (Government of Bangladesh) (2008) Cyclone Sidr in Bangladesh: damage, loss, and needs assessment for disaster recovery and reconstruction. Government of Bangladesh, Dhaka
GoB (Government of Bangladesh) (2015) Seventh five year development plan FY2016-FY2020. Accelerating Growth, Empowering Citizens. Government of Bangladesh, Dhaka
Greiving S, Fleischhauer F, Lückenkötter J (2006) Methodology for an integrated risk assessment of spatially relevant hazards. J Environ Plan Manag 49:1–19
Habiba U, Md Anwarul A, Rajib S, Abu Wali RH (2014) Salinity-induced livelihood stress in coastal region of Bangladesh. In: Anwarul A, Habiba U, Rajib S (eds) Water insecurity: a social dilemma. Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Bingley, pp 139–165
Hoque MM (1991) Field study and investigation on the damaged caused by Cyclone in Bangladesh. A report on April 1991 Cyclone. UNCRD Field Investigation Mission, United Nations Centre for Regional Development (UNCRD), Nagoya
Islam A, Shaw R, Mallick F (2013) National adaptation program of action. In: Shaw R, Mallick F, Islam A (eds) Climate change adaptation actions in Bangladesh. Springer, Japan, pp 93–106
Jakobsen KT (2012) In the eye of the storm—the welfare impacts of a hurricane. World Dev 40:2578–2589
Keil A, Zeller M, Wida A, Sanim B, Birner R (2008) What determines farmers’ resilience towards ENSO-related drought? An empirical assessment in central Sulawesi, Indonesia. Clim Change 86:291–307
Kelly PM, Adger WN (2000) Theory and practice in assessing vulnerability to climate change and facilitating adaptation. Clim Change 47:325–352
Khandlhela M, May J (2006) Poverty, vulnerability and the impact of flooding in the Limpopo Province, South Africa. Nat Hazards 39:275–287
Kumar U, Baten MA, Al-Masud A, Osman KS, Rahman MM (2010) Cyclone Aila: one year on. Natural disaster to human sufferings. Unnayan Onneshan, Dhaka
Mallick B, Rahaman KR, Vogt J (2011) Social vulnerability analysis for sustainable disaster mitigation planning in coastal Bangladesh. Disaster Prev Manag 20:220–237
Mamo G, Sjaastad E, Vedeld P (2007) Economic dependence on forest resources: a case from Dendi district, Ethiopia. Forest Policy Econ 9:916–927
Masozera M, Bailey M, Kerchner C (2007) Distribution of impacts of natural disasters across income groups: a case study of New Orleans. Ecol Econ 63:299–306
Masud-All-Kamal M (2013) Livelihood coping and recovery from disaster: the case of coastal Bangladesh. Curr Res J Soc Sci 5:33–44
McSweeney K (2005) Natural insurance, forest access, and compounded misfortune: forest resources in smallholder coping strategies before and after hurricane Mitch, Northeastern Honduras. World Dev 33:1453–1471
Mehrunnessa E, Sarker MH, Begum S (2010) Monitoring of cyclone Aila and its impact in Bangladesh. Climate Change and Extreme Weather: Regional Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction and Emergency Response in a Rapidly Changing World, 17–18 February 2010, Dhaka
MOEF (Ministry of Environment and Forest) (2005) National adaptation programme of action. Final report. MOEF, Government of Bangladesh, Dhaka
O’Donnell A, Wodon Q (2015) Synthesis and conclusion. In: O’Donnell A, Wodon Q (eds) Climate change adaptation and social resilience in the Sundarbans. Routledge, Oxon, pp 180–193
Paul BK (2009) Why relatively fewer people died? The case of Bangladesh’s Cyclone Sidr. Nat Hazards 50:289–304
Paul BK, Dutt S (2010) Hazard warnings and responses to evacuation orders: the case of Bangladesh’s cyclone Sidr. Geogr Rev 100:336–355
Paul SK, Routray JK (2010) Flood proneness and coping strategies: the experiences of two villages in Bangladesh. Disasters 34:489–508
Paul SK, Routray JK (2011) Household response to cyclone and induced surge in coastal Bangladesh: coping strategies and explanatory variables. Nat Hazards 57:477–499
Paumgarten F, Shackleton CM (2011) The role of non-timber forest products in household coping strategies in South Africa: the influence of household wealth and gender. Popul Environ 33:108–131
Pelling M (2011) Adaptation to climate change: from resilience to transformation. Routledge, London and New York
PEN (Poverty Environment Network) (2007) PEN technical Guidelines. Centre for International Forestry Research (CIFOR), Bogor. http://www1.cifor.org/pen/. Accessed 15 Sept 2015
Pomeroy RS, Ratner BD, Hall SJ, Pimoljinda J, Vivekanandan V (2006) Coping with disaster: rehabilitating coastal livelihoods and communities. Mar Policy 30:786–793
Rayhan MI (2010) Assessing poverty, risk and vulnerability: a study on flooded households in rural Bangladesh. J Flood Risk Manag 3:18–24
Shameem MIM, Momtaz S, Kiem AS (2015) Local perceptions of and adaptation to climate variability and change: the case of shrimp farming communities in the coastal region of Bangladesh. Clim Change 133:253–266
Toya H, Skidmore M (2007) Economic development and the impacts of natural disasters. Econ Lett 94:20–25
Van den Berg M (2010) Household income strategies and natural disaster: dynamic livelihoods in rural Nicaragua. Ecol Econ 69:592–602
Vedeld P, Angelsen A, Sjaastad E, Kobugabe-Berg G (2004) Counting on the environment: forest incomes and the rural poor. Environment Department Paper No. 98, World Bank, Washington, DC
Vivekananda J, Schilling J, Mitra S, Pandey N (2014) On shrimp, salt and security: livelihood risks and responses in South Bangladesh and East India. Environ Dev Sustain 16:1141–1161
Walker B, Holling CS, Carpenter SR, Kinzig A (2004) Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social–ecological systems. Ecol Soc 9(2):5
Yohe G, Tol RSJ (2002) Indicators for social and economic coping capacity: moving toward a working definition of adaptive capacity. Global Environ Chang 12:25–40
Zeileis A (2014) ineq: measuring inequality, concentration, and poverty. https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/ineq/index.html. Accessed 15 Sept 2015
Acknowledgments
An Australian government International Postgraduate Research Scholarship and a University Postgraduate Research Scholarship provided by Charles Darwin University (CDU) enabled the first author to undertake the research. The fieldwork was also generously supported by a grant provided by the Research Institute for Environment and Livelihoods (RIEL). The authors would like to thank the residents and local government authorities of the study sites in Koyra district for the participation and support in the data collection.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Abdullah, A.N.M., Zander, K.K., Myers, B. et al. A short-term decrease in household income inequality in the Sundarbans, Bangladesh, following Cyclone Aila. Nat Hazards 83, 1103–1123 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2358-1
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2358-1