nach oben

Population and Environment

Erschienen in:

01.03.2014 | Research Brief

Recovery migration to the City of New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina: a migration systems approach

Erschienen in: Population and Environment | Ausgabe 3/2014

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

Hurricane Katrina’s effect on the population of the City of New Orleans provides a model of how severe weather events, which are likely to increase in frequency and strength as the climate warms, might affect other large coastal cities. Our research focuses on changes in the migration system—defined as the system of ties between Orleans Parish and all other U.S. counties—between the pre-disaster (1999–2004) and recovery (2007–2009) periods. Using Internal Revenue Service county-to-county migration flow data, we find that in the recovery period, Orleans Parish increased the number of migration ties with and received larger migration flows from nearby counties in the Gulf of Mexico coastal region, thereby spatially concentrating and intensifying the in-migration dimension of this predominantly urban system, while the out-migration dimension contracted and had smaller flows. We interpret these changes as the migration system relying on its strongest ties to nearby and less-damaged counties to generate recovery in-migration.

Vorheriger Artikel Impact of population, age structure, and urbanization on carbon emissions/energy consumption: evidence from macro-level, cross-country analyses

Nächster Artikel A spatial analysis of population dynamics and climate change in Africa: potential vulnerability hot spots emerge where precipitation declines and demographic pressures coincide

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Louisiana parishes are equivalent to counties. We use the “City of New Orleans” and “Orleans Parish” interchangeably since they identify the same place.

The annual American Community Survey replaced the decennial census long-form data (known as Summary File 3) that provided economic, social, and migration data on the US population. The migration measures differ between the two sources.

Adamo, S. B. (2010). Environmental migration and cities in the context of global environmental change. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 2, 1–5.CrossRef

Andrienko, Y., & Guriev, S. (2004). Determinants of interregional mobility in Russia. The Economics of Transition, 12, 1–27.CrossRef

Bakewell, O. (2013a). Re-launching migration systems. Discussion Paper No. 2013-11. NORFACE Research Programme on Migration.

Bakewell, O. (2013b). Does many migrations a migration system make? Paper presented at the conference. Examining Migration Dynamics: Networks and Beyond. Theorizing the Evolution of European Migration Systems Project. University of Oxford.

Bennett, R. J., & Haining, R. P. (1985). Spatial structure and spatial interaction: Modelling approaches to the statistical analysis of geographical data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 148(1), 1–36.CrossRef

Bennett, R. J., Haining, R. P., & Wilson, A. G. (1985). Spatial structure, spatial interaction, and their integration: A review of alternative models. Environment and Planning A, 17, 625–645.CrossRef

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. W., Dercon, S., Geddes, A., & Thomas, D. S. G. (2011). The effect of environmental change on human migration. Global Environmental Change, 21S, S3–S11.CrossRef

Black, R., Arnell, N. W., Adger, W. N., Thomas, D., & Geddes, A. (2013). Migration, immobility and displacement outcomes following extreme events. Environmental Science & Policy, 27S, 32–43.CrossRef

Curtis, K. J., Fussell, E., & DeWaard, J. (2013) A harbinger of climate-induced migration? The impacts of hurricanes Katrina and Rita on the Gulf of Mexico migration system. Presentation to the Population Association of American Annual Meeting, New Orleans, Louisiana, April 11–13.

Curtis, K. J., & Schneider, A. (2011). Understanding the demographic implications of climate change: Estimates of localized population predictions under future scenarios of sea-level rise. Population and Environment, 33, 28–54.CrossRef

Cutter, S. L., Boruff, B. J., & Shirley, W. L. (2004). Social vulnerability to environmental hazards. Social Science Quarterly, 84(2), 242–261.CrossRef

de Haas, H. (2010). The Internal dynamics of migration processes: A theoretical inquiry. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 36(10), 1587–1617.CrossRef

DeWaard, J., Kim, K., & Raymer, J. (2012). Migration systems in Europe: Evidence from harmonized flow data. Demography, 49, 1307–1333.CrossRef

Engels, R. A., & Healy, M. K. (1981). Measuring interstate migration flows: An origin-destination network based on internal revenue service records. Environmental Planning A, 13, 1345–1360.CrossRef

Fawcett, J. T. (1989). Networks, linkages, and migration systems. International Migration Review, 23(3), 671–680.CrossRef

Findlay, A. M. (2011). Migrant destinations in an era of environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 21S, S50–S58.CrossRef

Findley, S. E. (1994). Does drought increase migration? A study of migration from rural Mali during the 1983–1985 drought. International Migration Review, 28(3), 539–553.CrossRef

Fothergill, A., & Peek, L. A. (2004). Poverty and disasters in the United States: A review of recent sociological findings. Natural Hazards, 32, 89–110.CrossRef

Frey, W. H. (2012). Population Growth in Metro America since 1980: Putting the volative 2000s in perspective. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institute, Metropolitan Policy Program.

Frey, W. H., Singer, A., & Park, D. (2007). Resettling New Orleans: The first full picture from the census. Metropolitan Policy Program: The Brookings Institution.

Fussell, E. (2009). Hurricane Chasers in New Orleans: Latino immigrants as a source of a rapid response labor force. Hispanic Journal of Behavioral Sciences, 31(3), 375–394.CrossRef

Fussell, E., Sastry, N., & VanLandingham, M. (2010). Race, socioeconomic status, and return migration to New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina. Population and Environment, 31, 20–42.CrossRef

Gray, C. L., & Mueller, V. (2012). Natural disasters and population mobility in Bangladesh. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109(16), 6000–6005.CrossRef

Greenwood, M. J. (1997). Internal migration in developed counties. In M. Rosenzweig & O. Stark (Eds.), Handbook of population and family economics (Vol. 1A, pp. 647–740). New York: Elsevier.CrossRef

Groen, J. A., & Polivka, A. E. (2010). Going home after Hurricane Katrina: Determinants of return migration and changes in affected areas. Demography, 47(4), 821–844.CrossRef

Henry, S., Schoumaker, B., & Beauchemin, C. (2004). The impact of rainfall on the first out-migration: A multi-level event-history analysis in Burkina Faso. Population and Environment, 25, 423–460.CrossRef

Hunter, L. M., & David, E. (2011). Displacement, climate change, and gender. In E. Piguet, A. Pécoud, & P. de Guchteneire (Eds.), Migration and climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Isserman, A. M., Plane, D. A., & McMillen, D. B. (1982). ) Internal migration in the United States: An evaluation of federal data. Review of Public Data Use, 10, 285–311.

Johnson, R. V., Bland, J. M., & Coleman, C. D. (2008). Impacts of the 2005 Gulf coast hurricanes on domestic migration: The U.S. Census Bureau’s response. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, LA, April 17–19, 2008.

Kates, R. W., Colten, C. E., Laska, S., & Leatherman, S. P. (2006). Reconstruction of New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina: A research perspective. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 103(40), 14653–14660.CrossRef

Koerber, K. (2006). Migration patterns and mover characteristics from the 2005 ACS gulf coast area special products. Presented at the Southern Demographic Association Conference, Durham, North Carolina, November 2–4, 2006.

Kritz, M. M., Lim, L. L., & Zlotnik, H. (1992). International migration systems: A global approach, international studies in demography. Oxford: Clarendon Press.

Laczko, F., & Aghazarm, C. (2009). Migration, environment, and climate change: Assessing the evidence. Geneva: International Organization for Migration.

Lansing, J. B., & Mueller, E. (Eds.). (1967). The geographic mobility of labor. Ann Arbor: Survey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan.

Lee, E. S. (1966). A theory of migration. Demography, 3, 47–57.CrossRef

Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S. R., Folke, C., Alberti, M., Redman, C. L., et al. (2007). Coupled human and natural systems. Ambio, 36(8), 639–649.CrossRef

Mabogunje, A. L. (1970). A systems approach to a theory of rural-urban migration. Geographic Analysis, 2, 1–18.CrossRef

Massey, D. S., Arango, J., Hugo, G., Kouoouci, A., Pellegrino, A., & Edward Taylor, J. (1998). Worlds in motion: Understanding international migration at the end of the millennium. Oxford: Clarendon Press.

McCarthy, K., Peterson, D. J., Sastry, N., & Pollard, M. (2006). The repopulation of New Orleans after Katrina. Santa Monica, CA: RAND.

McGranahan, G., Balk, D., & Anderson, B. (2007). The rising tide: Assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones. Environment and Urbanization, 19(1), 17–37.CrossRef

McHugh, K. E. (1987). Black migration reversal in the United States. Geographical Review, 77, 171–182.CrossRef

McLeman, R. A., & Hunter, L. M. (2010). Migration in the context of vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: insights from analogues. Climate Change, 1, 450–461.

McLeman, R. A., & Smit, B. (2006). Migration as an adaptation to climate change. Climatic Change, 76, 31–52.CrossRef

Molloy, R., Smith, C. L., & Wozniak, A. (2011). Internal migration in the United States. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 25, 173–196.CrossRef

Myers, C. A., Slack, T., & Singelmann, J. (2008). Social vulnerability and migration in the wake of disaster: The case of Hurricane Katrina and Rita. Population and Environment, 29, 271–291.CrossRef

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. (N.D.) NOAA’s list of coastal counties for the Bureau of the Census Statistical Abstract Series. Accessed September 12, 2012: https://www.census.gov/geo/landview/lv6help/coastal_cty.pdf.

Nelson, P. (1959). Migration, real income and information. Journal of Regional Science, 1(2), 43–74.CrossRef

Pais, J. F., & Elliott, J. R. (2008). Places as recovery machines: Vulnerability and neighborhood change after major hurricanes. Social Forces, 86, 1415–1453.CrossRef

Piguet, E., Pécoud, A., & Guchteneire, P. (2011). Introduction: Migration and climate change. In E. Piguet, A. Pécoud, & P. de Guchteneire (Eds.), Migration and climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Plane, D. A. (1987). The geographic components of change in a migration system. Geographical Analysis, 19, 283–299.CrossRef

Plane, D. A. (1999). Time series perspectives and physical geography analogies in migration research. In K. Pandit & S. D. Withers (Eds.), Migration and restructuring in the U.S.: A geographic perspective. Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield.

Plane, D. A., & Rogerson, P. A. (1986). Dynamic flow modeling with interregional dependency effects: An application to structural change in the U.S. migration system. Demography, 23(1), 91–104.CrossRef

Raymer, J., Wiśniowksi, A., Forster, J. J., Smith, P. W. F., & Bijak, J. (2013). Integrated modeling of European migration. Journal of the American Statistical Association. doi:10.1080/01621459.2013.789435.

Rogers, A. (1990). Requiem for the net migrant. Geographical Analysis, 22(4), 283–300.CrossRef

Sastry, N. (2009). Tracing the effects of Hurricane Katrina on the population of New Orleans: The displaced New Orleans Residents Pilot Study. Sociological Methods and Research, 38, 171–196.CrossRef

Schultz, J., & Elliott, J. R. (2013). Natural disasters and local demographic change in the United States. Population and Environment, 34, 293–312.CrossRef

Sjaastad, L. A. (1962). The costs and returns of human migration. Journal of Political Economy, 70, 80–93.CrossRef

Todaro, M. P. (1976). Internal migration in developing countries. Geneva: International Labor Office.

U.S. Census Bureau. (2011). Table 1. Intercensal estimates of the resident population for counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2010 (CO-EST00INT-01-22). Accessed January 11, 2013: http://www.census.gov/popest/data/intercensal/county/county2010.html.

U.S. Census Bureau. (2013). American Factfinder. Retrieved September 1, 2013. from www.factfinder.census.gov.

U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division. (2000). County-to-county migration flow files, outflows 1995–2000. Accessed April 18, 2013: http://www.census.gov/population/www/cen2000/ctytoctyflow/index.html.

U.S. Department of Homeland Security. (2006). Current housing unit damage estimates: Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma. February 12, 2006. Accessed November 20, 2013: www.huduser.org/publications/pdf/GulfCoast_Hsngdmgest.pdf.

Weber, L., & Peek, L. (2012). Documenting displacement: An introduction. In L. Weber & L. Peek (Eds.), Displaced: Life in the Katrina Diaspora (pp. 1–20). Austin, TX: University of Texas Press.

Wilson, S. G., & Fischetti, T. R. (2010). Coastline population trends in the United States: 1960–2008. Current population reports, P25-1139, Issued May 2010. http://www.census.gov/prod/2010pubs/p25-1139.pdf Accessed May 14, 2012.

Winkler, R. K. Johnson, C. Cheng, J. Beaudoin, P. Voss, & K. Curtis. (2013). Age-specific net migration estimates for U.S. counties, 1950–2010. Applied Population Laboratory, University of Wisconsin-Madison. Accessed September 12, 2013: http://www.netmigration.wisc.edu/.

Titel: Recovery migration to the City of New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina: a migration systems approach
Publikationsdatum: 01.03.2014
Erschienen in: Population and Environment / Ausgabe 3/2014
Print ISSN: 0199-0039
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7810
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-014-0204-5

Springer Professional

Abstract

Bitte loggen Sie sich ein, um Zugang zu Ihrer Lizenz zu erhalten.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 3/2014

Demographic scenarios by age, sex and education corresponding to the SSP narratives

A spatial analysis of population dynamics and climate change in Africa: potential vulnerability hot spots emerge where precipitation declines and demographic pressures coincide

Introduction: understanding the links between population dynamics and climate change

Impact of population, age structure, and urbanization on carbon emissions/energy consumption: evidence from macro-level, cross-country analyses

Enhancing engagement between the population, environment, and climate research communities: the shared socio-economic pathway process

Internal consistency of demographic assumptions in the shared socioeconomic pathways