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Erschienen in: Transportation 5/2013

01.09.2013

A household-level activity pattern generation model with an application for Southern California

verfasst von: Chandra R. Bhat, Konstadinos G. Goulias, Ram M. Pendyala, Rajesh Paleti, Raghuprasad Sidharthan, Laura Schmitt, Hsi-Hwa Hu

Erschienen in: Transportation | Ausgabe 5/2013

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Abstract

This paper develops and estimates a multiple discrete continuous extreme value model of household activity generation that jointly predicts the activity participation decisions of all individuals in a household by activity purpose and the precise combination of individuals participating. The model is estimated on a sample obtained from the post census regional household travel survey conducted by the South California Association of Governments in the year 2000. A host of household, individual, and residential neighborhood accessibility measures are used as explanatory variables. The results reveal that, in addition to household and individual demographics, the built environment of the home zone also impacts the activity participation levels and durations of households. A validation exercise is undertaken to evaluate the ability of the proposed model to predict participation levels and durations. In addition to providing richness in behavioral detail, the model can be easily embedded in an activity-based microsimulation framework and is computationally efficient as it obviates the need for several hierarchical sub-models typically used in extant activity-based systems to generate activity patterns.

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Fußnoten
1
There is obviously some subjectivity in the activity purpose classification adopted here, though the overall consideration was to accommodate differences between the disaggregate activity purposes along such contextual dimensions as location of participation, physical intensity level, duration of participation, amount of structure in activity planning, and company type of participation (see Srinivasan and Bhat 2005). Of course, the classification was also based on the activity purpose taxonomy used in the 2000 Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) survey that provided the sample for the current analysis. Note also that we retain a “work-related” purpose as a maintenance activity as opposed to a mandatory work activity, and predict the work-related time allocation of each individual in the household if the individual is employed. In this regard, we will refer to work-related activity as a “non-work” activity in the current paper. Further, since no work-related activity participation time of any individual was joint with other individuals in the household (based on the survey data), we do not allow jointness in work-related activity participation among household members.
 
2
On the other hand, the model developed in this paper is a household-level activity pattern generation model that determines time-use within a defined period (such as a weekday or an entire week) across all possible combinations of the members of a household (including individual members by themselves) and activity purposes. This includes the discrete choice of no participation in certain combinations and the continuous choice of time allocated to each combination in which there is participation.
 
3
Of course, these formulas will need to be adjusted in minor ways to accommodate for the fact that there is no jointness in work-related activity, and that this activity purpose applies only to employed individuals in the household. But the formulas provide a clear magnitude effect assuming there were no restrictions on any of the I activity purposes. Also, technically speaking, there needs to be an additional alternative in both the discrete choice and the MDCEV structures that corresponds to all individuals in the household staying at home for the entire day. However, as will be discussed in the next section, we consider this alternative outside the MDCEV framework.
 
4
See Apps and Rees (2007), Del Boca and Flinn (2012) and Kato and Matsumoto (2009), who discuss the many types of intrahousehold resource allocation models, including Becker’s (1965) unitary model and extensions, non-cooperative and cooperative bargaining models (including Nash bargaining models), Chiappori’s (1988) collective models that include altruism, and Samuelson’s generalized household welfare function (GHWF). The paper by Apps and Rees is of particular relevance here. These authors show how the GHWF approach is a very general formulation that can accommodate elements of conflict and cooperation in household decision-making through the appropriate specification of exogenous variables, as we have also discussed in the main text. The essential position of the GHWF formulation is that many different types of processes are likely to be at work in intrahousehold decision-making, and it is not necessary that the researcher should adopt one specific process as being the (only) basis for decision-making. Rather, there is value in “abstracting from the process by which an allocation or preference ordering is reached”, especially when we are still nowhere close to identifying the specific process (or combination of processes) at work (see Lundberg 2005; Del Boca and Flinn 2012), and adopting a general “reduced-form” function that nonetheless captures elements of several different processes at once.
 
5
Zhang et al. (2009) provide a good review of utility forms, and discusses the Nash utility form as a specific case of the iso-elastic utility function form.
 
6
In the SCAG survey sample used in the empirical estimation of the current paper, 23.4% of households did not have any non-work activity participation at all during the weekday.
 
7
This procedure may be viewed as a form of two-stage allocation, in which the household and its members can be thought of as optimally allocating total available non-work time between in-home and total OH time in the first stage, followed by the allocation of total OH time across the discrete alternatives.
 
8
While we use the simple MDCEV model in the current empirical context, it is possible to extend the MDCEV framework to accommodate more flexible error structures using generalized versions of the MDCEV models (please see Pinjari and Bhat 2010a; Bhat et al. 2006 for such applications in the time-use context).
 
9
Future studies would benefit from exploring alternate forms of accessibility as well as the consideration of transit and non-motorized mode network skims (in addition to the highway network skims used here). The transit and non-motorized mode skims were not considered in our study due to data-related quality limitations.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
A household-level activity pattern generation model with an application for Southern California
verfasst von
Chandra R. Bhat
Konstadinos G. Goulias
Ram M. Pendyala
Rajesh Paleti
Raghuprasad Sidharthan
Laura Schmitt
Hsi-Hwa Hu
Publikationsdatum
01.09.2013
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Transportation / Ausgabe 5/2013
Print ISSN: 0049-4488
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-9435
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-013-9452-y

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