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Erschienen in: Transportation 1/2016

01.01.2016

Rail freight transport and demand requirements: an analysis of attribute cut-offs through a stated preference experiment

verfasst von: María Feo-Valero, Leandro García-Menéndez, Salvador del Saz-Salazar

Erschienen in: Transportation | Ausgabe 1/2016

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Abstract

This paper analyses the choice between road and rail in Spain where rail market share for freight is still residual. Discrete choice models are estimated with data obtained through a two-phase fieldwork, thus allowing us to carry out a stated preference efficient design for each interviewee. We analyse the existence of attribute cut-offs and the presence of a segment of the population with a zero value of frequency. Our results show that ignoring the existence of cut-offs and segments of the population with polarised valuations can lead to erroneous conclusions in terms of the possibilities of rail for absorbing significant quota.

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Fußnoten
1
Simulations carried out (Rose et al. 2009) show that designs generated for MNL perform reasonably well with more advanced models such as mixed logit.
 
2
Models displayed in Table 8 were also estimated as multinomial logit, obtaining in all the cases lower R2 than the ones presented here.
 
3
In order to ensure that this result indeed reflects a non-compensatory behaviour and is not just the consequence of the relatively low proportion of scenario with acceptable delay levels (11 % of total observations display levels of delays in the rail alternative below the cut-off), model 2 was re-estimated with data obtained from the first SP experiment. In this experiment rail levels of delays were lower, resulting in a higher proportion of below cut-offs cases (25 %), and yet we obtain the same result: non-significant coefficient for the attribute and very high significance of the coefficient of the cut-off.
 
4
The sample enumeration method has been used to calculate variations in the rail probability. Model 3 forecasts have been calculated using the estimated mean for the parameter of frequency. In model 4 individuals have been randomly assigned to one of the two segments following the estimated mass probabilities.
 
5
The objective of the Ecobonus and Ferrobonus aid schemes is to reduce the cost of combined transport using short-sea shipping or electrified rail transport for at least part of the journey. It consists of a partial payment to the users covering the part of the external costs avoided compared to pure road transport.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Rail freight transport and demand requirements: an analysis of attribute cut-offs through a stated preference experiment
verfasst von
María Feo-Valero
Leandro García-Menéndez
Salvador del Saz-Salazar
Publikationsdatum
01.01.2016
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Transportation / Ausgabe 1/2016
Print ISSN: 0049-4488
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-9435
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-014-9566-x

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