Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Review of Industrial Organization 3/2013

01.11.2013

Persistence in R&D Performance and its Implications for the Granting of Subsidies

verfasst von: Pere Arqué-Castells

Erschienen in: Review of Industrial Organization | Ausgabe 3/2013

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

We study whether R&D subsidies can be used to encourage sustained R&D performance. To this end we measure the importance of true state dependence (TSD) in R&D performance and of subsidies’ inducement effects. Estimates that are based on a panel of Spanish manufacturing firms that are observed during the period 1998–2009 reveal that both magnitudes are positive and significant. Simulations that are carried out with the estimated parameters show that subsidies can generate permanent inducement effects for 9 % of Spanish manufacturing firms. The subsidy shares that are needed to generate permanent inducement effects among small firms (firms with fewer than 200 employees) are larger than those that are needed to generate permanent inducement effects among large firms (firms with 200 or more employees).

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Anhänge
Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich
Fußnoten
1
See Peters (2009) and Raymond et al. (2010) for a detailed explanation of the causes that may induce persistence in innovation activities.
 
2
Firms might possess certain characteristics that make them more “prone” to carry out R&D activities. If these characteristics persist over time, they will inevitably induce persistence in R&D performance as well.
 
3
The ESEE (Survey on Firm Strategies) has been conducted since 1990 by the Fundación SEPI under the sponsorship of the Spanish Ministry of Industry.
 
4
Our definition of R&D is consistent with the definition given in the Frascati Manual.
 
5
The exact question is “Did you search external R&D funding without success?”.
 
6
According to the Technological Innovation Panel survey (PITEC), on average, 81 % of Spanish firms’ R&D expenditures are funded with own internal funds while 16.7 % are funded with public funds (both from Spanish and European administrations) and only 2.3 % of come from other sources. So almost all external funding comes from the public sector.
 
7
The technical director of the ESEE told us that their internal checks clearly suggest that the outcomes of the question “Did you search external R&D funding without success?” can be used to infer whether firms applied for subsidies without success.
 
8
To construct the lags of some variables we also use data from the 1997 wave. We do not use previous years because information on subsidy applicants, which is key to identifying subsidies’ inducement effects, is only available since 1998.
 
9
To obtain the cleaned dataset we have simply deleted data points for which relevant variables are missing. We have also deleted some observations with subsidies higher than R&D expenditures that are not consistent with our empirical modeling. Recall that we model subsidies as a share of to-be-incurred R&D costs that should cover no more than 100 % of firms’ R&D expenditures (European Commission 2006).
 
10
A derivation of Eq. (1) can be obtained from the dynamic model of export market participation in the presence of sunk costs that was developed by Roberts and Tybout (1997) and adapted to the R&D participation decision by Mañez et al. (2009).
 
11
Notice that the way that subsidies enter Eq. (1) is consistent with the first order conditions of a firm that maximizes profits with respect to R&D expenditures where a share of R&D expenditures can be subsidized (see González et al. (2005) and Takalo et al. (2013)).
 
12
See “Appendix 1” for a detailed explanation of the specific models used to estimate Eq. (1).
 
13
On the other hand, the linear models do not need to parameterize the unobserved heterogeneity and are unaffected by the initial conditions problem (Heckman 1981). Two comprehensive papers that study TSD (in a different context) by means of several linear and non linear models are Hyslop (1999) and Stewart (2007).
 
14
Mundlak means are within means of the explanatory variables that aim to control for any possible source of correlation between the explanatory variables and the individual firm effect, thereby acting as a kind of firm fixed effect (see “Appendix 1” for a detailed explanation).
 
15
Except for the expected subsidy coverage, firm-specific averages of the explanatory variables have been excluded from the final specification due to the lack of within variation. It is important to realize that random effects and pooled probit models involve different normalisations (Arulampalam 1999). The coefficients that are shown in Table 7 have not been rescaled, and estimates of the RE and Wooldridge models should not be compared with the pooled probit; but the AMEs that are shown at the bottom of Table 7 have been rescaled and are comparable.
 
16
There are two possible explanations for this result: First, we can interpret our average variable cost variable as a productivity measure and take the negative sign as evidence that only more productive firms self-select into R&D. Alternatively, by noticing that our average variable cost variable is equal to 1 minus the profit margin we can also interpret the negative sign as evidence that firms with smaller profit margins have more difficulty in doing R&D (because much of R&D is internally financed from profits).
 
17
Note that these shocks are substantial for most of the firms in the sample, as the observed expected subsidy coverage is below 1 % for more than 89 % of the observations.
 
18
It could also be restored to its pre-shock level, but setting it equal to zero is even more demanding.
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Arulampalam, W. (1999). A note on estimated coefficients in random effects probit models. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61, 597–602.CrossRef Arulampalam, W. (1999). A note on estimated coefficients in random effects probit models. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61, 597–602.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Aschhoff, B. (2010). Who gets the money? The dynamics of R &D project subsidies in Germany. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 230(5), 522–546. Aschhoff, B. (2010). Who gets the money? The dynamics of R &D project subsidies in Germany. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 230(5), 522–546.
Zurück zum Zitat Blanes, J. V., & Busom, I. (2004). Who participates in R &D subsidy programs? The case of Spanish manufacturing firms. Research Policy, 33(10), 1459–1476.CrossRef Blanes, J. V., & Busom, I. (2004). Who participates in R &D subsidy programs? The case of Spanish manufacturing firms. Research Policy, 33(10), 1459–1476.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cameron, A. C., & Trivedi, P. K. (2009). Microeconometrics using stata. Lakeway Drive, TX: Stata Press. Cameron, A. C., & Trivedi, P. K. (2009). Microeconometrics using stata. Lakeway Drive, TX: Stata Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Cefis, E. (2003). Is there persistence in innovative activities? International Journal of Industrial Organization, 21, 489–515.CrossRef Cefis, E. (2003). Is there persistence in innovative activities? International Journal of Industrial Organization, 21, 489–515.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cefis, E., & Orsenigo, L. (2001). The persistence of innovative activities, a cross-countries and cross-sectors comparative analysis. Research Policy, 30, 1139–1158.CrossRef Cefis, E., & Orsenigo, L. (2001). The persistence of innovative activities, a cross-countries and cross-sectors comparative analysis. Research Policy, 30, 1139–1158.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat European Commission. (2006). Community framework for state aid for research and development and innovation. Official Journal of the European Union. (2006/C 323/01). European Commission. (2006). Community framework for state aid for research and development and innovation. Official Journal of the European Union. (2006/C 323/01).
Zurück zum Zitat David, P., Hall, B. H., & Toole, A. (2000). Is public R &D a complement or substitute for private R &D? A review of the econometric evidence. Research Policy, 29, 497–529.CrossRef David, P., Hall, B. H., & Toole, A. (2000). Is public R &D a complement or substitute for private R &D? A review of the econometric evidence. Research Policy, 29, 497–529.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Duguet, E., & Monjon, S. (2002). Creative destruction and the innovative core: Is innovation persistent at the firm level? Retrieved February 18, 2013, from University College London Web site: http://eprints.ucl.ac.uk/2556/. Duguet, E., & Monjon, S. (2002). Creative destruction and the innovative core: Is innovation persistent at the firm level? Retrieved February 18, 2013, from University College London Web site: http://​eprints.​ucl.​ac.​uk/​2556/​.
Zurück zum Zitat Eslava, M., Haltiwanger, J., Kugler, A., & Kugler, M. (2004). The effects of structural reforms on productivity and profitability enhancing reallocation: Evidence from Colombia. Journal of Development Economics, 75(2), 333–372. Eslava, M., Haltiwanger, J., Kugler, A., & Kugler, M. (2004). The effects of structural reforms on productivity and profitability enhancing reallocation: Evidence from Colombia. Journal of Development Economics, 75(2), 333–372.
Zurück zum Zitat Flaig, G., & Stadler, M. (1994). Success breeds success. The dynamics of the innovation process. Empirical Economics, 19, 55–68.CrossRef Flaig, G., & Stadler, M. (1994). Success breeds success. The dynamics of the innovation process. Empirical Economics, 19, 55–68.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat García-Quevedo, J. (2004). Do public subsidies complement business R &D? A meta-analysis of the econometric evidence. Kyklos, 57, 87–102.CrossRef García-Quevedo, J. (2004). Do public subsidies complement business R &D? A meta-analysis of the econometric evidence. Kyklos, 57, 87–102.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat González, X., Jaumandreu, J., & Pazó, C. (2005). Barriers to innovation and subsidy effectiveness. Rand Journal of Economics, 36(4), 930–949. González, X., Jaumandreu, J., & Pazó, C. (2005). Barriers to innovation and subsidy effectiveness. Rand Journal of Economics, 36(4), 930–949.
Zurück zum Zitat González, X., & Pazó, C. (2008). Do public subsidies stimulate private R &D spending? Research Policy, 37, 371–389.CrossRef González, X., & Pazó, C. (2008). Do public subsidies stimulate private R &D spending? Research Policy, 37, 371–389.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Geroski, P. A., Van Reenen, J., & Walters, C. F. (1997). How persistently do firms innovate? Research Policy, 26, 33–48.CrossRef Geroski, P. A., Van Reenen, J., & Walters, C. F. (1997). How persistently do firms innovate? Research Policy, 26, 33–48.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Heckman, J. J. (1981). The incidental parameters problem and the problem of initial conditions in estimating discrete time-discrete data stochastic process. In C. F. Manski & D. McFadden (Eds.), Structural analysis of discrete data with econometric applications. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Heckman, J. J. (1981). The incidental parameters problem and the problem of initial conditions in estimating discrete time-discrete data stochastic process. In C. F. Manski & D. McFadden (Eds.), Structural analysis of discrete data with econometric applications. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Huergo, E., & Jaumandreu, J. (2004). Firm’s age, process innovation and productivity growth. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 22, 541–559.CrossRef Huergo, E., & Jaumandreu, J. (2004). Firm’s age, process innovation and productivity growth. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 22, 541–559.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Huergo, E., & Trenado, M. (2010). The application for and the awarding of low-interest credits to finance R &D projects. Review of Industrial Organization, 37, 237–259.CrossRef Huergo, E., & Trenado, M. (2010). The application for and the awarding of low-interest credits to finance R &D projects. Review of Industrial Organization, 37, 237–259.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hyslop, D. (1999). State dependence, serial correlation and heterogeneity in intertemporal labor force participation of married woman. Econometrica, 67, 1255–1294.CrossRef Hyslop, D. (1999). State dependence, serial correlation and heterogeneity in intertemporal labor force participation of married woman. Econometrica, 67, 1255–1294.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mairesse, J., & Jaumandreu, J. (2005). Panel-data estimates of the production function and the revenue function: What difference does it make? Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 107(4), 651–672.CrossRef Mairesse, J., & Jaumandreu, J. (2005). Panel-data estimates of the production function and the revenue function: What difference does it make? Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 107(4), 651–672.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Malerba, F., & Orsenigo, L. (1999). Technological entry, exit and survival: An empirical analysis of patent data. Research Policy, 28, 643–660.CrossRef Malerba, F., & Orsenigo, L. (1999). Technological entry, exit and survival: An empirical analysis of patent data. Research Policy, 28, 643–660.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Malerba, F., Orsenigo, L., & Peretto, P. (1997). Persistence of innovative activities, sectoral patterns of innovation and international technological specialization. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 15, 801–826.CrossRef Malerba, F., Orsenigo, L., & Peretto, P. (1997). Persistence of innovative activities, sectoral patterns of innovation and international technological specialization. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 15, 801–826.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mañez, J., Rochina, M. E., Sanchis, A., & Sanchis, J. A. (2009). The role of sunk costs in the decision to invest in R &D. The Journal of Industrial Economics, 57(4), 712–735.CrossRef Mañez, J., Rochina, M. E., Sanchis, A., & Sanchis, J. A. (2009). The role of sunk costs in the decision to invest in R &D. The Journal of Industrial Economics, 57(4), 712–735.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mohnen, P., Palm, F. C., Schim van der Loeff, S., & Tiwari, A. (2008). Financial constraints and other obstacles: Are they a threat to economic activity? De Economist, 156, 201–214.CrossRef Mohnen, P., Palm, F. C., Schim van der Loeff, S., & Tiwari, A. (2008). Financial constraints and other obstacles: Are they a threat to economic activity? De Economist, 156, 201–214.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mundlak, Y. (1978). On the pooling of time series and cross section data. Econometrica, 46, 69–85.CrossRef Mundlak, Y. (1978). On the pooling of time series and cross section data. Econometrica, 46, 69–85.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Peters, B. (2009). Persistence of innovation: Stylised facts and panel data evidence. Journal of Technology Transfer, 34, 226–243.CrossRef Peters, B. (2009). Persistence of innovation: Stylised facts and panel data evidence. Journal of Technology Transfer, 34, 226–243.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Raymond, W., Mohnen, P., Palm, F., & Schim, S. (2010). Persistence of innovation in Dutch manufacturing: Is it spurious? Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(3), 495–504.CrossRef Raymond, W., Mohnen, P., Palm, F., & Schim, S. (2010). Persistence of innovation in Dutch manufacturing: Is it spurious? Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(3), 495–504.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Roberts, M. J., & Tybout, J. R. (1997). The decision to export in Colombia: An empirical model of entry with sunk costs. American Economic Review, 87, 545–564. Roberts, M. J., & Tybout, J. R. (1997). The decision to export in Colombia: An empirical model of entry with sunk costs. American Economic Review, 87, 545–564.
Zurück zum Zitat Stewart, M. (2007). The interrelated dynamics of unemployment and low-wage employment. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 511–531.CrossRef Stewart, M. (2007). The interrelated dynamics of unemployment and low-wage employment. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 511–531.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Sutton, J. (1991). Sunk costs and market structure. Cambridge: MA, MIT Press. Sutton, J. (1991). Sunk costs and market structure. Cambridge: MA, MIT Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Takalo, T., Tanayama, T., & Toivanen, O. (2013). Estimating the benefits of targeted R &D subsidies. The Review of Economics and Statistics (in press). doi:10.1162REST_a-00280. Takalo, T., Tanayama, T., & Toivanen, O. (2013). Estimating the benefits of targeted R &D subsidies. The Review of Economics and Statistics (in press). doi:10.​1162REST_​a-00280.
Zurück zum Zitat Wooldridge, J. (2005). Simple solutions to the initial conditions problem in dynamic nonlinear panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 20(1), 39–54.CrossRef Wooldridge, J. (2005). Simple solutions to the initial conditions problem in dynamic nonlinear panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 20(1), 39–54.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Persistence in R&D Performance and its Implications for the Granting of Subsidies
verfasst von
Pere Arqué-Castells
Publikationsdatum
01.11.2013
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Review of Industrial Organization / Ausgabe 3/2013
Print ISSN: 0889-938X
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7160
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11151-013-9381-0

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 3/2013

Review of Industrial Organization 3/2013 Zur Ausgabe