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Erschienen in: Water Resources Management 7/2014

01.05.2014

Voting Under Uncertainty: A Stochastic Framework for Analyzing Group Decision Making Problems

verfasst von: Kaveh Madani, Laura Read, Laleh Shalikarian

Erschienen in: Water Resources Management | Ausgabe 7/2014

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Abstract

Water resources policy making often involves consideration of a broader scope of environmental, economic, and social issues. This inevitably complicates policy making since consensus among multiple stakeholders with different interests is needed to implement decisions. This work employs several practical and popular voting methods to solve a multi-stakeholder hydro-environmental management problem. Conventionally, voting methods or social choice rules have been applied for consensus development in small groups and elections. This work combines voting methods with a Monte-Carlo selection, in order to help with social choice making under uncertainty. This process is intended to aid decision-makers with understanding of the risks associated with potential decision alternatives. The Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta’s water export conflict is solved here as a benchmark problem to illustrate the proposed framework for social decision making and analysis under uncertainty.

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Metadaten
Titel
Voting Under Uncertainty: A Stochastic Framework for Analyzing Group Decision Making Problems
verfasst von
Kaveh Madani
Laura Read
Laleh Shalikarian
Publikationsdatum
01.05.2014
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Water Resources Management / Ausgabe 7/2014
Print ISSN: 0920-4741
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-1650
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0556-8

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