Abstract
Through the composition of two real-valued functions, we propose a new class of multi-period risk measure which is time consistent. The new multi-period risk measure is monotonous and convex when the two real-valued functions satisfy monotonicity and convexity. Based on this generic framework, we construct a specific class of time-consistent multi-period risk measure by considering the lower partial moment between the realized wealth and the target wealth at individual periods. With the new multi-period risk measure as the objective function, we formulate a multi-period portfolio selection model by considering transaction costs at individual investment periods. Furthermore, this stochastic programming model is transformed into a deterministic programming problem using the scenario tree technology. Finally, we show through empirical tests and comparisons the rationality, practicality and efficiency of our new multi-period risk measure and the corresponding portfolio selection model.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
References
Acerbi C (2002) Spectral measures of risk: a coherent representation of subjective risk aversion. J Bank Finance 26:1505–1518
Acerbi C, Tasche D (2002) On the coherence of expected shortfall. J Bank Finance 26:1487–1503
Artzner P, Delbaen F, Eber JM, Heath D (1999) Coherent measures of risk. Math Finance 9:203–228
Artzner P, Delbaen F, Eber JM, Heath D (1999) Coherent measures of risk. Math Finance 4:203–228
Bawa VS (1975) Optimal rules for ordering uncertain prospects. J Finance Econ 2:95–C121
Boda K, Filar JA (2006) Time consistent dynamic risk measures. Math Methods Oper Res 63:169–186
Chen ZP, Li G, Guo JE (2013) Optimal investment policy in the time consistent mean–variance formulation. Insur Math Econ 52:145–156
Chen ZP, Wang Y (2008) Two-sided coherent risk measures and their application in realistic portfolio optimization. J Bank Finance 32:2667–2673
Chen ZP, Yang L (2011) Nonlinearly weighted convex risk measure and its application. J Bank Finance 35:1777–1793
Cheridito P, Delbaen F, Kupper M (2006) Dynamic monetary risk measures for bounded discrete-time processes. Electr J Probab 11:57–106
Cheridito P, Kupper M (2011) Composition of time-consistent dynamic monetary risk measures in discrete time. Int J Theor Appl Finance 14:137–162
Detlefsen K, Scandolo G (2005) Conditional and dynamic convex risk measures. Finance Stoch 9:539–561
Epstein LG, Zin SE (1989) Substitution, risk aversion, and the temporal behavior of consumption and asset returns: a theoretical framework. Econometrica 57:937–969
Fishburn PC (1977) Mean-risk analysis with risk associated with below-target returns. Am Econ Rev 67:116–126
Föllmer H, Penner I (2006) Convex risk measures and the dynamics of their penalty functions. Stat Decis 24:61–96
Föllmer H, Schied A (2004) Stochastic finance: an introduction in discrete time, 2nd edn. Walter de Gruyter, Berlin
Gaivoronski A, Pflug GC (2004) Value-at-risk in portfolio optimization: properties and computational approach. J Risk 7:1–31
Geman H, Ohana S (2008) Time-consistency in managing a commodity portfolio: a dynamic risk measure approach. J Bank Finance 32:1991–2005
Jobert L, Rogers LCG (2008) Valuations and dynamic convex risk measures. Math Finance 18:1–22
Kall P, Wallace S (1994) Stochastic programming. Wiley, Chichester
Koopmans TC (1960) Stationary ordinal utility and impatience. Econometrica 28:287–309
Kovacevic R, Pflug GC (2009) Time consistency and information monotonicity of multiperiod acceptability functionals. Radon Ser Comput Appl Math 8:347–370
Kreps MK, Porteus EL (1978) Temporal resolution of uncertainty and dynamic choice theory. Econometrica 46:185–200
Li D, Ng WL (2000) Optimal dynamic portfolio selection: multi-period mean-variance formulation. Math Finance 10:387–406
Matthias U (2000) Lower partial moments as measures of perceived risk: an experimental study. J Econ Psychol 21(3):253–280
Morgan JP (1995) Risk metrics-technical document, 3rd edn. Guaranty Trust, New York
Pflug GC, Römisch W (2007) Modeling, measuring and managing risk. World Scientific, Singapore
Riedel F (2004) Dynamic coherent risk measures. Stoch Process Appl 112:185–200
Rockafellar RT, Uryasev S (2000) Optimization of conditional value-at-risk. J Risk 2:493–517
Roorda B, Schumacher JM, Engwerda JC (2005) Coherent acceptability measures in multiperiod models. Math Finance 15:589–612
Ruszczyński A (2010) Risk-averse dynamic programming for markov decision processes. Math Program 125:235–261
Shapiro A, Dentcheva D, Ruszczyński A (2009) Lectures on stochastic programming: modeling and theory. SIAM, Philadelphia
Shapiro A (2009) On a time consistency concept in risk averse multistage stochastic programming. Oper Res Lett 37:143–147
Shapiro A, Ahmed S (2004) On a class of minimax stochastic programs. SIAM J Optim 14:1237–1249
Wang T (1999) A class of dynamic risk measure. Working paper, University of British Columbia. http://web.cenet.org.cn/upfile/57263
Wang J, Forsyth PA (2011) Continuous time mean variance asset allocation: a time-consistent strategy. Eur J Oper Res 209:184–201
Xu DB, Chen ZP, Yang L (2012) Scenario tree generation approaches using K-means and LP moment matching methods. J Comput Appl Math 236:4561–4579
Acknowledgments
The authors are grateful to two anonymous reviewers and the editor-in-chief for their constructive comments, which have helped us to improve the paper significantly. This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Numbers 70971109, 71371152 and 11571270).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Chen, Z., Liu, J., Li, G. et al. Composite time-consistent multi-period risk measure and its application in optimal portfolio selection. TOP 24, 515–540 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11750-015-0407-7
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11750-015-0407-7