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Erschienen in: Environmental Earth Sciences 5/2012

01.03.2012 | Special Issue

Optimal planning and operation of irrigation systems under water resource constraints in Oman considering climatic uncertainty

verfasst von: Niels Schütze, Sebastian Kloss, Franz Lennartz, Ahmed Al Bakri, Gerd H. Schmitz

Erschienen in: Environmental Earth Sciences | Ausgabe 5/2012

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Abstract

In this contribution, we introduce a stochastic framework for decision support for optimal planning and operation of water supply in irrigation. This consists of (1) a weather generator for simulating regional impacts of climate change on the basis of IPCC scenarios, (2) a tailor-made evolutionary optimization algorithm for optimal irrigation scheduling with limited water supply, (3) a mechanistic model for simulating water transport and crop growth in a sound manner, and (4) a kernel density estimator for estimating stochastic productivity, profit, and demand functions by a nonparametric method. As a result of several simulation/optimization runs within the framework, we present stochastic crop-water production functions (SCWPF) for different crops which can be used as a basic tool for assessing the impact of climate variability on the risk for the potential yield for specific crops and specific agricultural areas. A case study for an agricultural area in the Al Batinah region of the Sultanate of Oman is used to illustrate these methodologies. In addition, microeconomic impacts of climate change and the vulnerability of the agro-ecological system are discussed.

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Metadaten
Titel
Optimal planning and operation of irrigation systems under water resource constraints in Oman considering climatic uncertainty
verfasst von
Niels Schütze
Sebastian Kloss
Franz Lennartz
Ahmed Al Bakri
Gerd H. Schmitz
Publikationsdatum
01.03.2012
Verlag
Springer-Verlag
Erschienen in
Environmental Earth Sciences / Ausgabe 5/2012
Print ISSN: 1866-6280
Elektronische ISSN: 1866-6299
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-011-1135-4

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