Elsevier

World Development

Volume 14, Issues 10–11, October–November 1986, Pages 1277-1292
World Development

The global impact of information technology

https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-750X(86)90106-3Get rights and content

Abstract

The paper explores the impact of information technology on the worldwide distribution of income, employment and growth. A review of the empirical literature is used to quantify the impact of information technology on productivity in different sectors and groups of countries. An economic model of the global economy is then used to calculate the possible impact of information technology on international and domestic distribution and employment. A number of alternative possibilities are considered: (i) industrial countries are the most successful in introducing the new technology, (ii) the technology turns out to be capital-saving, rather than labor-displacing, (iii) the rate of diffusion to developing countries increases, (iv) the small-scale and decentralizing potential of information technology is exploited. The calculations suggest that indirect effects arising from international and intersectoral competition are at least as important as direct effects, and that the distribution of gains from information technology depends as much upon what technology is introduced as on where it is introduced.

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    This paper draws on the author's contribution to a book Stacking the Chips — Information Technology and the Global Distribution of Income by John Bessant and Sam Cole published by Francis Pinter, London, 1985. The work described here was supported by the UNITAR Project on the Future. The author is grateful for suggestions from a referee.

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