A multi-objective fuzzy classification of large scale atmospheric circulation patterns for precipitation modeling

https://doi.org/10.1016/S0096-3003(97)10002-9Get rights and content

Abstract

A multi-objective fuzzy rule-based classification (MOFRBC) technique is applied in order to cluster and classify daily large scale atmospheric circulation patterns (CPs) and analyze the relationship between the CPs and local precipitation. The methodology is illustrated by means of an Arizona case study. For this purpose, three indices are calculated to measure the information content of the clustering method in terms of predicted precipitation. A thorough sensitivity analysis is provided to gain more understanding on the robustness of MOFRBC model. Furthermore, it is shown that extending the daily premises to two-day and three-day sequences of CPs improves the information content of the classification. The results are also compared with the original subjective clustering. For the Arizona case study MOFRBC seems to be a competitive technique with the advantage that the physical aspects can be better represented by fuzzy rules (which tend to mimic the human way of decision making) than by objective methods.

References (37)

  • A. Bárdossy et al.

    Fuzzy rule-based models for infiltration

    Water Resources Res.

    (1993)
  • P.O. Yapo

    Multi-objective global optimization algorithm with application to calibration of hydrologic models

  • A. Bárdossy et al.

    Fuzzy rule-based classification of atmospheric circulation patterns

    Int. J. Climatol.

    (1995)
  • J. Bartholy et al.

    A subjective macroclassification of atmospheric circulation in western United States

  • A. Comrie

    An enhanced synoptic climatology of ozone using a sequencing technique

    Phys. Geog.

    (1992)
  • H.H. Lamb

    Climate, Present, Past and Future

  • K.K. Hirschboeck

    Catastrophic flooding and atmospheric circulation anomalies

  • B. Yarnal

    Synoptic climatology in Environmental Analysis, Studies in Climatology Series

  • A. Bárdossy et al.

    Space-time model for daily rainfall using atmospheric circulation patterns

    Water Resources Res.

    (1992)
  • B.C. Hewitson et al.

    Large-scale conditions on local precipitation in tropical Mexico

    Geophys. Res. Lett.

    (1992)
  • I. Matyasovszky et al.

    Estimation of local precipitation statistics reflecting climate change

    Water Resources Res.

    (1993)
  • E.C. Özelkan et al.

    Relationship between monthly atmospheric circulation patterns and precipitation: Fuzzy logic and regression approaches

    Water Resources Res.

    (1996)
  • B.P. Shresta et al.

    Forcing function and Climate Change

  • F. Baur et al.

    Kalendar der Grosswetterlagen Europas 1881–1939

    (1944)
  • P. Hess et al.

    Katalog der Grosswetterlagen Europas

  • I.P. Krick

    Synoptic weather types of North America

  • R.D. Eliott

    The weather types of North America

    Weatherwise

    (1949)
    R.D. Eliott

    The weather types of North America

    Weatherwise

    (1949)
    R.D. Eliott

    The weather types of North America

    Weatherwise

    (1949)
    R.D. Eliott

    The weather types of North America

    Weatherwise

    (1949)
    R.D. Eliott

    The weather types of North America

    Weatherwise

    (1949)
    R.D. Eliott

    The weather types of North America

    Weatherwise

    (1949)
  • J. MacQueen

    Some methods for classification and analysis of multivariate observations

  • Cited by (0)

    View full text