Sustainability factors in dynamical systems modeling: Simulating the non-linear aspects of multiple equilibria
Section snippets
Introduction: why sustainability is important
Biophysical sustainability is the process of balancing resource stocks and flows within a dynamical system over time. Sustainability is a universal necessity, because, in the natural world, an ecosystem thrives on the symbiotic interaction of numerous individual organisms and communities of organisms that depend on each other biologically and ecologically. Thus, an ecosystem dynamically strives to be in equilibrium but often finds itself far from equilibrium in real world scenarios. But a
The Limits to Growth model
Early research on sustainability used the predictive power of computer modeling to simulate how dynamical systems would behave, and eventually brought attention to the stress on natural resources by growing human populations and the limited carrying capacity of the Earth's ecosystems. In the late 1950s, MIT Professor Jay Forrester established the field of “systems dynamics” by using mathematical modeling to analyze the behavior of complex engineering and social systems. Forrester's computer
The theory of multiple equilibria
According to Shackley (2000), “[In] a system with many interacting variables and feedbacks, the relative significance of which cannot be assessed a priori, many of which may realistically change on the time and space scales of interest, and which are heterogeneous in the sense that they include a wide range of natural and social processes, computer or simulation modeling sometimes seems the only viable research strategy.” This assumption was apparent when we contemplated the approach to be
Modeling multiple equilibria
As a quantitative tool, the goal of modeling the “multiple equilibria” technique is to provide predictive power for business leaders, political decision makers, and environmental scientists, and assist in better management of ecological, economic, and material resources in short-term and long-term sustainability scenarios (Jiang and Shi, 1995). In this section, we use computer modeling to simulate “dynamical systems” of a three (3) variable real world system. We make explicit the simulation of
Future research
As with the Limits to Growth model, our goal is to simulate possible, as well as, probable realities. The Club of Rome employed statistical data to model future scenarios based on past information and projecting those patterns into “standard runs”. These runs, in turn, could be used to simulate different trajectories by manipulating the data. While some trajectories were more optimistic than the original standard run, all future scenarios suggested inevitable resource exhaustion due to
References (24)
Network analysis applied to large-scale cyber-ecosystems
Ecol. Model.
(2004)Quantifying economic and ecological sustainability
Ocean Coast. Manage.
(2015)- et al.
Multiple equilibria and structural transition of non-monocentric urban configurations
Reg. Sci. Urban Econ.
(1982) - et al.
Environmental sustainability in an agricultural development project: a systems dynamics approach
J. Environ. Manage.
(2002) - et al.
Characterising performance of environmental models
Environ. Model. Softw.
(2013) System dynamics modeling of community sustainability in netlogo
TJHSST Computer Systems Lab Senior Research Project, 2008–2009
(2009)Rethinking World Politics: A Theory of Transnational Neopluralism
(2010)- et al.
An Introduction to Ecological Economics
(1997) Environmental Politics: The Age of Climate Change
(2011)- et al.
Environment and Society: An Introductory Analysis
(1977)
Environment, Energy, and Society
Multiple equilibria, periodic, and aperiodic solutions in a wind-driven, double-gyre, shallow-water model
J. Phys. Oceanogr.
Cited by (7)
Industry 4.0-based dynamic Social Organizational Life Cycle Assessment to target the social circular economy in manufacturing
2021, Journal of Cleaner ProductionCitation Excerpt :In the large body of literature that covers the meaning of sustainability (Olawumi and Chan. 2018; Avesani, 2020), many researchers have pointed out that this concept is multidimensional, including environmental, economic and social aspects (Ranjbari et al., 2021). All definitions agree that sustainability should provide economic development consistent with social equity and the capability of natural resources to regenerate (Amrutha and Geetha, 2020), while maintaining a state of dynamic equilibrium (Dorsey and Hardy, 2018). However, the growing sensitivity on climate change and environmental issues (D'Amato et al., 2017), has focused the most recent discussion of scholars, political leaders, and public opinion, on environmental sustainability while neglecting social sustainability (Amankwah‐Amoah and Syllias, 2020).
Transient dynamics: Equilibrium, collapse, and extinction in age-structured models. The case of the Northern cod stock
2019, Ecological ModellingCitation Excerpt :Due to the absence of a stock-recruitment function, density-independence models are appropriate only for representing the initial increase in abundance within an overexploited fish stock (White et al., 2013). Continuous-time dynamic systems have proven to be a useful tool to guarantee sustainability in different settings in which transient dynamics (Lafuite and Loreau, 2017) and multiple equilibria (Dorsey and Hardy, 2018) are evaluated numerically. There is a clear need for greater research on transient dynamics in density-dependence models (Stott, 2016).
THE DYNAMICAL ANALYSIS OF THE SUSTAINABILITY OF A RECYCLING MATHEMATICAL MODEL
2023, Economic Computation and Economic Cybernetics Studies and ResearchApplicability of Pedotransfer Models between Yield Parameters and Some Chemical Soil Properties of SoybeanPlant
2021, Journal of Tekirdag Agricultural FacultyTechnological sustainability or sustainable technology? A multidimensional vision of sustainability in manufacturing
2021, Sustainability (Switzerland)The relation between yield indices of maize plant and soil physicochemical characteristics
2020, Eurasian Journal of Soil Science